How accurate is your info. on Republic? I am interviewing in a week and 5-6 month is actually ideal for me to start as I have a few commitments to get over with.

I would love to see regional retirements incorporated into this. Lots of guys in their 50s

In my opinion there is a pilot shortage and it is definitely a pilot’s market. However, the jobs with decent pay and better QOL will never have a problem finding pilots. The jobs that have lower pay and QOL and still had people lined up to work for them because no other flying jobs were available is now no longer happening. We are really struggling at my Part 91 flight department, as well as other flight departments in the area to find people to staff the airplanes. I know people, myself included are leaving part 91/135 gigs to get on with the regionals and LCCs with better pay and work rules than our current jobs. I believe the jobs that are abusive to pilots will eventually die out or will be forced to change for better QOL and work rules for pilots. The jobs that make things better for pilots will thrive and have no problems finding quality applicants. Just my .02.

There was a pay shortage, not a lack of pilots.

There is no pilot shortage!
There never was.
There will always be more pilots than “desirable” jobs.
Desirable meaning pay and QOL.

I think there's a bubble there too but will come later than the legacies by about ten years. But it will be a small bubble because many of them will get on with majors in the next five years (easily worth it at age 55, especially if the kids are out of the house and you can live without picking your days off for a couple years).

It's not accurate at all, and hasn't been for 2-3 months. We've opened more class dates and there's not much of a wait these days.

A CJO should be good for 6 months, so just tell them what your timetable is and they should work with you.

Haiku attempt?

I lack that type of creativity, it’s a coincidence.

It’s not worth committing Haiku over. 😫