Originally Posted by cbire880 (Post 262818)

Yeah, I base the three years for someone hired today. We are not expect significant additional growth right now. Probably top out around 2300 pilots. We have just under 2100 right now. Junior upgrade this round was around 1250. Assuming average attrition of 30/month, that gives about 28-35 months based on which point of that hiring curve. Guys hired earlier this year will upgrade faster. That huge push from last fall to today really messes up predictions based on current events. The questions is when will the plateau hit.

Originally Posted by Joeshmoe (Post 262291)

Yes, dead serious. No, not obvious at all. Again, your quote was "The gouge came from the IFR oral guide." Before you decide to short circuit go back and read what you wrote. No big deal though. No harm no foul.

Originally Posted by madman moe (Post 262915)

Not saying you're wrong, but haven't I read somewhere that they said they're anticipating something like 700 new hires in '08?

Originally Posted by madman moe (Post 262915)

Not saying you're wrong, but haven't I read somewhere that they said they're anticipating something like 700 new hires in '08?

Originally Posted by ToiletDuck (Post 262917)

Yes I have and you're still missing the point which is somewhat troubling.

Originally Posted by citationdrvrmob (Post 266111)

Got the call about two hours after leaving the interview. S5, Jan 9, STL. Anyone else starting then? Gouge to follow.