Not much has changed, or will change. There will be a turnover of pilots, as many in the world retire. And there will be plenty of eager beavers lined up to work for next to nothing, and schools pumping them with wonderful thoughts of traveling the world as a high paid A380 captain.

Same old, same old.

That's where you are wrong. The US isn't pumping out Americans only foreigners.

Note that I said "will be eager beavers lined up".

Today, foreigners in training. Sure. Very few people who can actually research the career would choose to pump a lot of time or money in it now.

But, in a few years, should there even be a REAL hint of a shortage of people who won't work for $18,000/yr, they'll line up... to work for $18k.

Heck, we'll have Indians, Chinese, and Russian pilots here.

I don't see some of these places reject applicant's right off the bat yet they can't fill classes. Eagle is the one that comes to mind.

That's funny being that chuck Colgan is no longer part of the company and hiring is handled by Mesaba now

It's coming, who do you all think will be the first? Me? I'm going with Mesa, odds are 2 to 1 -what say you?

Eagle is glute backwards too.

We have the same amount sims we always have. It might be that the sims are getting used more for recurrent training, since you have more sim sessions with AQP.

You won't just walk in to a 121 carrier after being out of this biz for ten years, trust me on this one. The only reason I may have a snowballs chance is the fact that I teach flying in order to stay current.

Oil price is the real variable...it could kill the economy and the career hopes of most junior airline pilots.