There's a lot of theories and speculation about what's going on behind closed doors at our company. April 2nd is around the corner so what do you think will happen based on just facts?

My theory:

1. United will negotiate new rates for the Q400 and not the Saabs.

2. File Chapter 11 which is what it wanted all along anyway.

3. Not only keep operating the Q's but get at least 15 more and park the Saabs.

4. Expressjet will come in with the 135's and take over most of the Saab flying for a while.

5. The company will probably get the courts to allow furlough out of seniority while it gets more Q's on board.

6. Our contract is tossed and we take pay cuts and other concessions.


It'll at least be interesting to look back a year from now and see what actually happened. I'm sure with whatever pans out, the shareholders are not going to be happy and with good reason.

 

Don't forget, April fool's day is on April 1st !

Pilots can't save a company by taking pay cuts, management knows that.

 

I agree with your theory except I do not think there would be furloughs... Especially out of order. We are only staffed for a little over half of our Saabs right now so parking them all wouldnt be be as bad of a hit as some think or cause a major overstaffing issue. IMO of course

 

How many saabs does Colgan have

 

Around 30 I think

 

If bankruptcy is declared we need to get rid of the LIDO contract. Those updates are a good 2+ hrs a month.

 

Out of seniority furloughs will never happen. There is no precedent for it. If the judge needs more money to offset costs, he will just cut deeper.

 

Check this rumor out. I got a text from a fellow pilot saying he saw the CEO of SkyWest in downtown memphis. He claims that they were there for a potential buy. Lets see how far this rumor goes.

 

Already been claimed by someone.

 

If they can't get merge XJT, ASA and Skywest yet, I hate to see the new mess if it's true.