CLT Guy |
01-07-2016 05:35 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by chrisreedrules
(Post 2042282)
If you look at the retirement numbers in the next 5 years, anyone already at the regionals will have either upgraded, or moved on to bigger and better things. Anyone coming on in the next year or two will likely upgrade quick and move on quick as well. Even though the AAG wholly owned flows are currently projecting a long time, retirement numbers tell a different story.
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I agree with you. Regional pilots will make it to a major with or without a flow, provided that they don't have excessive checkride failures or other issues.
At PSA (I hate to keep bringing PSA up, but it applies here), there have been a lot of new hires lately that came in with a great deal of experience. Mostly Endeavor guys, but also some Mesa, Envoy, part 135/91, etc... Those guys already have 7-10 years in the industry, and are just as attractive to some of the Majors and LCC's as guys much senior to them.
PSA is now losing more people off of the bottom 1/2 of the seniority list than we are losing off of the top 1/2 of the list. This will likely continue, and accelerate. I know a few guys went to United, Delta, and JetBlue, a couple guys went to work for the FAA, others to 121 cargo companies.
This will be true of many other airlines that get a lot of lateral transfers. Dates of flow are completely unpredictable.
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