Regardless, did the ALT knob also pull itself, immediately after the ALT window dialed itself to zero? That's getting to be even more astronomically unlikely odds.

Only way that scenario gets out of the realm of extreme exponential statistics is if the airplane is already in an assigned descent, and the window malfunctioned to an altitude lower than the terrain ahead. Right after one pilot left and the other became incap.

Doesn't even matter which pilot left, still astronomically unlikely. You can do the rough math, but the starting point is annual global sudden incap in airline ops which is single digits. You can google the number of global airline hours flown annually and derive the odds of that happening in any ten minute period. That's an infinitesmally small number, that only gets smaller after you account for the multiple malfunctions also required (ALT window, ALT knob, keypad).

 

I know. I caught that also....

 

Frankly, skimming this made me think of the ridiculous Netflix documentary on MH 370, with equally absurd 'alternate theories'. SMH.

I skimmed several portions, but got enough... "The Fathers statments" are... sad and unreliable. Families never think thier son/daughter was the cause. Atlas 3591 in Houston. The F-22 in Alaska in the winter of 2010 (that was initially suspected as 'hypoxia' incidnet, famous at the time. But when the FDR was recoved after the spring thaw, it showed CFIT at night. He was reaching backwards for something - likely a disconnected 02 hose, and inadvertently pushed the opposite rudder for leverage. Full back-stick seconds before impact prove he was fully concious, sadly). And on an on. There can be clear, incontrovertible evidence, and yet the families don't believe it. It can't be thier son. Besides, the first two sentences of this section directly contradict themselves. He "never suffered from depression", yet he "went thorugh a depressve epidisode in 2008.2009". Just because they don't know, or they don't have evidence - that is not proof, much less proof beyond a reasonable doubt, of the obvious.

So much faulty logic. Supposed "lack of evidence" does not prove the opposite. Some people will twist themselves into a pretzel of 1000 knots to convince themselves it's not the obvious cause staring you in the face. They would rather a statistically impossible "just suppose ifs". This is exactly how crazy conspiracy theories happen.

Honestly, Occam's Razor is child's play compared to this nonsense.

 

That is how accidents happen, but the swiss cheese holes or perfect storm are usually a bunch of fairly common errors/factors that all happen line up to make a one in a million event. It’s not multiple one in a million factors lining up to cause a one in a trillion or whatever event.

 

Yes these odds are a number so big we don't have a name for it.

 

Convenient Narrative considering the Euro push for single pilot ops lol