Amateur Drones - Safety Discussion
#21
My guess...rather than requiring #2 up front, the FAA (under congressional pressure) will grant waivers and relaxations to see-and-avoid for UAVs. As they proliferate, they'll take out a few manned airplanes, including perhaps an airliner. The resulting backlash will ground or severely restrict the UAV fleet for several years while they implement #2.
Sadly, I believe this "guess" will prove to be all too prescient.
#22
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The integration is going to involve an exemption for see-and-avoid. There is no suitable technical alternative at this time. There are two possible approaches to see-and-avoid substitute for UAVs...
First off ADS-B and Next-Gen will not solve see-and-avoid for UAVs. They were not designed for that.
1) Enhanced TCAS, possibly based on ADS-B. ADS-B would probably have to be modified to accommodate this. Anyone who has used TCAS knows that it's far from reliable...sometimes it just doesn't "see" other aircraft, probably due to antenna placement. This is OK, since TCAS is a backup to see-and-avoid and ATC separation...but it's not good enough to be a primary defense. A reliable TCAS-like solution would be expensive and would require retrofit on at least 121/135 aircraft and maybe all aircraft. The alphabet groups will not be happy about subsidizing a massive ATC system upgrade just for the convenience of UAV proponents, and presumably they'll prevail.
2) Self-contained sensors within the UAV to give see-and-avoid equivalent capability against any aircraft, even one without a transponder. This probably makes the most sense but would require multiple, expensive (and heavy) sensors on each UAV, probably a combination of electro-optic and radar, capable of scanning large sectors. The UAV crowd will probably fight having to implement a robust solution since if you start piling on a lot of weight it starts to defeat the point of unmanned.
3) Leverage materials and electronics advances to miniaturize and soften UAVs to the point where they can't really hurt a manned airplane (ie nerf-drone). This might eventually work for many, but not all applications.
My guess...rather than requiring #2 up front, the FAA (under congressional pressure) will grant waivers and relaxations to see-and-avoid for UAVs. As they proliferate, they'll take out a few manned airplanes, including perhaps an airliner. The resulting backlash will ground or severely restrict the UAV fleet for several years while they implement #2.
First off ADS-B and Next-Gen will not solve see-and-avoid for UAVs. They were not designed for that.
1) Enhanced TCAS, possibly based on ADS-B. ADS-B would probably have to be modified to accommodate this. Anyone who has used TCAS knows that it's far from reliable...sometimes it just doesn't "see" other aircraft, probably due to antenna placement. This is OK, since TCAS is a backup to see-and-avoid and ATC separation...but it's not good enough to be a primary defense. A reliable TCAS-like solution would be expensive and would require retrofit on at least 121/135 aircraft and maybe all aircraft. The alphabet groups will not be happy about subsidizing a massive ATC system upgrade just for the convenience of UAV proponents, and presumably they'll prevail.
2) Self-contained sensors within the UAV to give see-and-avoid equivalent capability against any aircraft, even one without a transponder. This probably makes the most sense but would require multiple, expensive (and heavy) sensors on each UAV, probably a combination of electro-optic and radar, capable of scanning large sectors. The UAV crowd will probably fight having to implement a robust solution since if you start piling on a lot of weight it starts to defeat the point of unmanned.
3) Leverage materials and electronics advances to miniaturize and soften UAVs to the point where they can't really hurt a manned airplane (ie nerf-drone). This might eventually work for many, but not all applications.
My guess...rather than requiring #2 up front, the FAA (under congressional pressure) will grant waivers and relaxations to see-and-avoid for UAVs. As they proliferate, they'll take out a few manned airplanes, including perhaps an airliner. The resulting backlash will ground or severely restrict the UAV fleet for several years while they implement #2.
I agree ADS-B and NextGen won't solve the see and avoid issue, they will however be relied on heavily to get to a point the FAA will actually say it is safe enough. As you said at the end, the lobbyists will prevail. Looking at the points you made there are few of those aspects already in the test phases.
1. They are already testing use of the ADS-B system for avoidance, still requires the other aircraft to be using a transponder. Pred B ADS-B
2. There is work being done with due regard radar to bring SA to the UAS operator on the ground. This allows them to see the other aircraft, transponder or not. Due Regard Radar
The implementation of NextGen will also bring another layer of feel good to the FAA in the fact that the transition from ground based radar tracking to satellite based tracking will allow controllers to see real time movement. Rather than the 4-5 second delay they have now.
I typed this out on my iPad so if something is off or the links don't work I apologize.
Last edited by ErnDollas; 03-06-2013 at 08:28 PM. Reason: To fix my hyperlinks. I put them in incorrectly at first.
#23
There's more than a couple things in that mess that could've wreaked havoc with the plane as everything runs through the leading edge...
#24
If I was going to be hitting anything in flight, that's what I would want to be in. I watched a show on the 737 and business jet mid-air over Brazil. Hard to believe that a business jet's winglet sliced through a 737's wing, but it did.
#25
I'm sorry I didn't mean it that way either. The Herk is built like an A-10. They just don't build them like that anymore.
If I was going to be hitting anything in flight, that's what I would want to be in. I watched a show on the 737 and business jet mid-air over Brazil. Hard to believe that a business jet's winglet sliced through a 737's wing, but it did.
If I was going to be hitting anything in flight, that's what I would want to be in. I watched a show on the 737 and business jet mid-air over Brazil. Hard to believe that a business jet's winglet sliced through a 737's wing, but it did.
The Herk is built like a tank; redundant back-up systems when it comes to electrics & hydraulics...not much you can back up on structure and some things can't be backed up, of course...
...I'm lucky I still fly her!!!
#26
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jun 2008
Posts: 3,716
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