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People refuse to admit what they don't know. You have zero knowledge of what effect social distancing measures have on total deaths (not to be confused with "flattening the curve"). I'll reference the IMHE numbers numbers for the sake of discussion, but let's not forget at all where those numbers started. It's very convenient to say that the social distancing measures are the reason the models were so wrong to begin with. To use another cliche: heads you win, tails I lose.
"Everything we do before a pandemic will seem alarmist. Everything we do after will seem inadequate." - Michael Leavitt, former HHS Secretary under President George W. BushOriginally Posted by Anson Harris
Hey, come back with those goalposts....People refuse to admit what they don't know. You have zero knowledge of what effect social distancing measures have on total deaths (not to be confused with "flattening the curve"). I'll reference the IMHE numbers numbers for the sake of discussion, but let's not forget at all where those numbers started. It's very convenient to say that the social distancing measures are the reason the models were so wrong to begin with. To use another cliche: heads you win, tails I lose.
This is not over. I wouldn't be declaring those predictions inaccurate just yet.