O/U predictions on Junior A for each base?

I’m bored. I’ll play.

junior A goes down to 8500.

I almost said 9500, but then remembered the recent change

To add, Arches Brewing opened a year or two ago about two blocks from Greco and Pit Boss. Quiet little brewery, nice little outdoor “Biergarten,” fire pits, and good beer. Usually no food unless there’s a food truck.

Arches Brewing

both a great, as to the gyro, the sandwich and potatoes with sauce... is awesome but it’s like reserved for every once in a long while. It’s a lot of food.

1) Junior NYC A around 9,500
2) Virtually all awards will be reinstatements with the exception of the "growth" categories: ATL 73N, ATL 7ER, NYC 7ER, MSP 73N. And even those are somewhat doubtful (as they even admitted.)

Here's the back of my envelope for selected categories. The PROJ CAT is post-MOAD with VEOPs accounted for. The FORECAST is from the AUG AE, therefore that's what the plan is (ie: Ignore the "Posted Vacancies" on the AE as they are meaningless. Although my math correlates strongly with the posted vacancies.) The "possible reinstatements" ignore pilots who would be reinstating from A to B or to closed categories.

​​​​​​NYC 73NA: FORECAST = 91
PROJ = 102
8 Possible vacancies due to reinstatements
OVERSTAFFED BY 3





NYC 7ERA: FORECAST = 267
PROJ CAT = 288
+ 52 Possible vacancies due to reinstatements
- 5 Reinstatements in
26 Possible new vacancies



NYC 320A: PROJ CAT = 162
FORECAST = 160
+31 Possible vacancies due to reinstatements
- 83 reinstatements possibly in
OVERSTAFFED BY 50



ATL 73NA: FORECAST = 417
PROJ CAT = 331
+ 41 Possible vacancies due to reinstatements
- 41 Reinstatements possibly in
86 Possible new vacancies



DTW 73NA: FORECAST = 133
PROJ CAT = 89
+ 1 Possible vacancy due to reinstatement
- 36 Reinstatements possibly in
9 Possible new vacancies



MSP 73NA: FORECAST = 218
PROJ CAT = 169
+ 16 Possible vacancies due to reinstatements
- 12 Reinstatements possibly in
53 Possible new vacancies









NYC 220A: FORECAST = 135
PROJ CAT = 94
62 Possible vacancies due to reinstatements
87 Possible Reinstatements in
16 Possible New Vacancies

I eat there everyday I'm in CQ.

And most days in IQ

nyc 7ER a @ 6800!

6800 might be optimistic. Not sure if the icrew count of pilots senior to you with AE preferences includes guys who have reinstatements checked. My feeling is it does. For what it’s worth the plug pre MOAD on the ER in NYC was a Jun 01 hire. After the MOAD it was May 01. 717A in ATL was a 2014 hire pre MOAD and 2000 after. After reinstatements the wildcard will be what senior FO’s will do. Hours will be less and GS’s will be less for the next couple years. Some may consider going A.

That seems exceedingly junior given a sub-10k seniority list.

Maybe 6,900 as a pre - VEOP # but with the VEOPs gone 6900 is close to a post merger hire.