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Old 05-07-2020 | 04:51 PM
  #11  
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Originally Posted by THEKERNALKLINK
Great info, but not the whole story. Personally, my airline (Southwest) has so much debt that is not on the books now, but they are obligated to pay, and would need to pay in order to keep an operable fleet. This does not take that in to account. I am speaking of new aircraft on order. Our fleet is old! I think we are going to end up a 300-400 aircraft company going forward over the next 10 years, but even at that rate of shrinking, we do have to replace the aging fleet. If for any other reason, is to improve our cost per seat per mile.
Thats not debt.
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Old 05-07-2020 | 05:12 PM
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In generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), debt to asset ratio does NOT use just cash and unencumbered assets.

To put it in a personal example. Assuming you have $5,000 cash. Suppose you had bought a house for $100,000 and have a mortgage for $80,000. Also, suppose you have a car worth $10,000 paid off and unencumbered.

You have $80,000 debt and $115,000 in assets. Your debt to asset ratio is $80,000 / $115,000 = 0.70.

It is not figured as $80,000 debt with $10,000 in unencumbered assets and $5,000 in cash for an incorrect debt to asset ratio of $80,000 / $15,000 = 5.33.

That house asset has value. If you default on your mortgage the bank will come to take your asset. They will take your $100,000 home. They consider it an asset.
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Old 05-07-2020 | 05:31 PM
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Originally Posted by TransWorld
In generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), debt to asset ratio does NOT use just cash and unencumbered assets.

To put it in a personal example. Assuming you have $5,000 cash. Suppose you had bought a house for $100,000 and have a mortgage for $80,000. Also, suppose you have a car worth $10,000 paid off and unencumbered.

You have $80,000 debt and $115,000 in assets. Your debt to asset ratio is $80,000 / $115,000 = 0.70.

It is not figured as $80,000 debt with $10,000 in unencumbered assets and $5,000 in cash for an incorrect debt to asset ratio of $80,000 / $15,000 = 5.33.
that is indeed how this was figured....
Total Debt/Cash+Assets
SWA:13/15.5+5=0.63
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Old 05-07-2020 | 05:39 PM
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American Airlines
  • Total Cash-11B
  • Total Debt-46B
  • Total Unencumbered Assets-5B
  • Debt to Asset Ratio-2.875
Debt / (Cash + Unencumbered Assets) = 46B / (11B + 5B) = 2.875

The Total Of (Cash + Unencumbered Assets + Encumbered Assets) has to be used for the denominator of the Ratio.
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Old 05-07-2020 | 05:43 PM
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Originally Posted by Privateer89
that is indeed how this was figured....
Total Debt/Cash+Assets
SWA:13/15.5+5=0.63
That is not what I said, I said Cash plus Unencumbered Assets plus ENCUMBERED Assets. You did not add in the encumbered assets (which are not specified here).
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Old 05-07-2020 | 05:46 PM
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Originally Posted by THEKERNALKLINK
Great info, but not the whole story. Personally, my airline (Southwest) has so much debt that is not on the books now, but they are obligated to pay, and would need to pay in order to keep an operable fleet. This does not take that in to account. I am speaking of new aircraft on order. Our fleet is old! I think we are going to end up a 300-400 aircraft company going forward over the next 10 years, but even at that rate of shrinking, we do have to replace the aging fleet. If for any other reason, is to improve our cost per seat per mile.
Used aircraft market is darn cheap right now, and lots of aircraft on the market. MAX aircraft with VERY low time and cycles. Some of them just finished and never actually delivered. Boeing might even throw in a SWA paint job just to get them out of the Renton factory employee parking lot.
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Old 05-07-2020 | 06:19 PM
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Originally Posted by TransWorld
That is not what I said, I said Cash plus Unencumbered Assets plus ENCUMBERED Assets. You did not add in the encumbered assets (which are not specified here).
Good catch thanks! I’m too lazy to look all that up but that would put AA and Spirit in better shape with a newer fleets. And SWA’s older fleet would be a hit. One could argue the need for a new fleet at this point in time.
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Old 05-07-2020 | 08:43 PM
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Originally Posted by Privateer89
Good catch thanks! I’m too lazy to look all that up but that would put AA and Spirit in better shape with a newer fleets. And SWA’s older fleet would be a hit. One could argue the need for a new fleet at this point in time.
You could make that argument but then how do you explain AA and DAL using MD80's (until now)? Allegiant made big money flying old MD80's. Even Skywest flew the Brasilia (and CRJ50) well past their prime and made a ton of money doing it. There is a cost advantage to the newer aircraft but those old birds - at the right company - can still make lots of money.
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Old 05-08-2020 | 06:58 AM
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Originally Posted by THEKERNALKLINK
Great info, but not the whole story. Personally, my airline (Southwest) has so much debt that is not on the books now, but they are obligated to pay, and would need to pay in order to keep an operable fleet. This does not take that in to account. I am speaking of new aircraft on order. Our fleet is old! I think we are going to end up a 300-400 aircraft company going forward over the next 10 years, but even at that rate of shrinking, we do have to replace the aging fleet. If for any other reason, is to improve our cost per seat per mile.
So you're saying you don't believe passenger loads will return to 2019 levels until 2030?
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Old 05-08-2020 | 07:50 AM
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Originally Posted by TheBlueBaron
So you're saying you don't believe passenger loads will return to 2019 levels until 2030?

Such an absurd prediction with no follow on explanation.

I think we're going to 3000 aircraft over the next 10 years. Because....


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