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-   -   Spirit Mulls Adding Smaller Jets (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/spirit/113003-spirit-mulls-adding-smaller-jets.html)

Super EZ E 01-15-2019 09:46 AM


Originally Posted by 3inthegreen (Post 2742161)
Well, if you call 255 airplanes with firm orders for 153 more plus a new fleet type rudderless sure. They also have a new contract far better than ours. We are the ones searching the ends of the earth for Airbus slots and used 319s. I’d say we are much more rudderless right now, as we celebrate WiFi with cake cutting ceremonies.

Pist did you notice the stock price today? $17.17? Not good. Clearly wall street see an issue with JB. $17 a share qualifies as no rudder.

Tranquility 01-15-2019 10:32 AM


Originally Posted by Super EZ E (Post 2743434)
Pist did you notice the stock price today? $17.17? Not good. Clearly wall street see an issue with JB. $17 a share qualifies as no rudder.

Our share price is higher than LUV. Does that mean we are more profitable or have a better balance sheet?? (Answer to both of those questions is no....) Don’t conflate stock price directly with the success of a business.

FNGFO 01-15-2019 10:37 AM


Originally Posted by 3inthegreen (Post 2743146)
For the 3rd Quarter

Our GAAP pre tax income was $96.5 million
JetBlue had a GAAP pre tax income of $68 million.

We had an adjusted pre tax income of $100.5 million.
JetBlue had an adjusted pre tax income of $180 million

JetBlue had a one time expense of $112 million in regards to refleeting the 190s.

JetBlue’s niche is the East Coast, the Caribbean, South America, the West Coast and they have a very loyal customer group in most of there markets. Seems like their rudder works just fine.

You don’t understand what is meant by niche. SWA has a very loyal customer base. It’s not because of the areas they serve. It’s the product they bring. B6 seems to be working to find what it will hang it’s hat on in the future.

I suspected there was some kind of one time payment that was made, but didn’t know what and said as much. Still, they have about the same cash reserves as NK and their stock is worth 1/3-1/4 as much.

They’re not about to fall to pieces or anything, but the answer you’d get by asking them what they want to be when they grow up would be helter skelter at the moment. Or, more succinctly, as the original poster suggested, rudderless.

symbian simian 01-15-2019 11:44 AM


Originally Posted by FNGFO (Post 2743470)
You don’t understand what is meant by niche. SWA has a very loyal customer base. It’s not because of the areas they serve. It’s the product they bring. B6 seems to be working to find what it will hang it’s hat on in the future.

I suspected there was some kind of one time payment that was made, but didn’t know what and said as much. Still, they have about the same cash reserves as NK and their stock is worth 1/3-1/4 as much.

They’re not about to fall to pieces or anything, but the answer you’d get by asking them what they want to be when they grow up would be helter skelter at the moment. Or, more succinctly, as the original poster suggested, rudderless.

That is the least meaningful comparison, we could split our stock in four and it suddenly would be worth less than JB's.

I think much more meaningful is JB's market-cap compared to ours:
5.25B vs 4B, and we are half their size.

nkbux 01-15-2019 12:03 PM


Originally Posted by 3inthegreen (Post 2743146)
For the 3rd Quarter

Our GAAP pre tax income was $96.5 million
JetBlue had a GAAP pre tax income of $68 million.

We had an adjusted pre tax income of $100.5 million.
JetBlue had an adjusted pre tax income of $180 million

JetBlue had a one time expense of $112 million in regards to refleeting the 190s.

JetBlue’s niche is the East Coast, the Caribbean, South America, the West Coast and they have a very loyal customer group in most of there markets. Seems like their rudder works just fine.

To Wall Street we look much better...rudderless or not... we are a VERY healthy company from a financial standpoint and have a corporate balance sheet to envy... spirit CANNOT operate like AA or even JetBlue...I’m glad those guys got a contract after us that had higher rates and work rules etc... just sets us up for a victory in 2020...but make no mistake... we’re in a better position for fruition in the future and we know what that looks like... and not to beat a dead horse BUT... if you wanna compare W2’s by all means do so... I’ll keep my low premiums and move on... with that said... they’ll move far ahead of us if the profit sharing checks are legit which they should be... that’s an absolute MUST on the next round

FNGFO 01-15-2019 12:05 PM


Originally Posted by symbian simian (Post 2743499)
That is the least meaningful comparison, we could split our stock in four and it suddenly would be worth less than JB's.

I think much more meaningful is JB's market-cap compared to ours:
5.25B vs 4B, and we are half their size.

Actually it’s a very apt comparison because it’s an indicator of Wall Street’s confidence in the company, and its fairly low with them.

nkbux 01-15-2019 12:05 PM


Originally Posted by FNGFO (Post 2743520)
Actually it’s a very apt comparison because it’s an indicator of Wall Street’s confidence in the company, and its fairly low with them.

This dude gets it!

JulesWinfield 01-15-2019 12:09 PM


Originally Posted by FNGFO (Post 2743520)
Actually it’s a very apt comparison because it’s an indicator of Wall Street’s confidence in the company, and its fairly low with them.

Do you know what stock splitting is? It sounds like you don't.

TrojanCMH 01-15-2019 12:11 PM

Spirit Mulls Adding Smaller Jets
 

Originally Posted by FNGFO (Post 2743520)
Actually it’s a very apt comparison because it’s an indicator of Wall Street’s confidence in the company, and its fairly low with them.



This isn’t true at all. I don’t know if we are confused and arguing different things but stock price means nothing. It’s the direction it’s going and the market cap. If Spirit puts out 100 stocks and they are worth $1 and JetBlue puts out 10 stocks worth $10 then the stocks are worth the same and they go up and down from there as the company performs or underperforms. Apple stock is at $150 and google is $1000. Does that mean google is worth 7 times as much as apple in your mind?


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Xjrstreetcar 01-15-2019 12:24 PM

Thinking basic finance should be added to grade school curricula...

3inthegreen 01-15-2019 12:42 PM


Originally Posted by Super EZ E (Post 2743434)
Pist did you notice the stock price today? $17.17? Not good. Clearly wall street see an issue with JB. $17 a share qualifies as no rudder.

Well Allegiant stock closed today at $119.44......so....this now means they are 600% more valuable than JetBlue, 400% better off than American, and 110% stronger than Microsoft!

3inthegreen 01-15-2019 12:43 PM


Originally Posted by FNGFO (Post 2743520)
Actually it’s a very apt comparison because it’s an indicator of Wall Street’s confidence in the company, and its fairly low with them.

Then wall streets confidence is THROUGH THE ROOF with Allegiant!! $119.44 a share!!! Wow!!!

3inthegreen 01-15-2019 01:06 PM


Originally Posted by nkbux (Post 2743517)
To Wall Street we look much better...rudderless or not... we are a VERY healthy company from a financial standpoint and have a corporate balance sheet to envy... spirit CANNOT operate like AA or even JetBlue...I’m glad those guys got a contract after us that had higher rates and work rules etc... just sets us up for a victory in 2020...but make no mistake... we’re in a better position for fruition in the future and we know what that looks like... and not to beat a dead horse BUT... if you wanna compare W2’s by all means do so... I’ll keep my low premiums and move on... with that said... they’ll move far ahead of us if the profit sharing checks are legit which they should be... that’s an absolute MUST on the next round

If you look at our balance sheet, you'll find we are being ran much more like AA and aren't nearly as HEALTHY as you think we are.

Delta Long Term Debt to Asset Ratio: 17%
American Long Term Debt to Asset Ratio: 42%
Spirit Long Term Debt to Asset Ratio: 37%

Delta Cash to Debt Ratio: 20%
American Cash to Debt Ratio: 20%
Spirit Cash to Debt Ratio: 18%

Spirit has alot of debt man, and if we get a new order that debt will only go up.

Name User 01-15-2019 05:24 PM


Originally Posted by Super EZ E (Post 2741806)
I don't know where the guy gets his AA left seat flow but my TWA buddies that are 98 hires upgraded last month to A320. That was the first time they could hold left seat. They are very junior LGA Res Capts. Don't forget the 10 years they spent on the street!!!

FYI AA upgrade is five years to group 2 (Airbus/737).

FNGFO 01-15-2019 05:46 PM


Originally Posted by JulesWinfield (Post 2743524)
Do you know what stock splitting is? It sounds like you don't.

When was their last split? A quick search says 10+ years ago. Probably not a lot to do with their stock dropping 40% over the last 3 years.

FNGFO 01-15-2019 05:49 PM


Originally Posted by TrojanCMH (Post 2743526)
This isn’t true at all. I don’t know if we are confused and arguing different things but stock price means nothing. It’s the direction it’s going and the market cap. If Spirit puts out 100 stocks and they are worth $1 and JetBlue puts out 10 stocks worth $10 then the stocks are worth the same and they go up and down from there as the company performs or underperforms. Apple stock is at $150 and google is $1000. Does that mean google is worth 7 times as much as apple in your mind?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

At no point did I argue the value of the company via stock price. Something two other posters also score points with using terrible comparisons.

Tons of things go into stock values, but it’s also a very basic indicator, imperfect as it is,in market confidence in the performance and prospects of a company.

FNGFO 01-15-2019 05:52 PM


Originally Posted by 3inthegreen (Post 2743553)
Then wall streets confidence is THROUGH THE ROOF with Allegiant!! $119.44 a share!!! Wow!!!

Poor comparison. Allegiant is a vacation travel company that plays with airplanes on the side. There’s a lot more that goes into their stock valuation and profit margin than pure airfares.

A look at B6’s stock versus traditional airlines shows pretty weak performance.

Qotsaautopilot 01-15-2019 05:55 PM


Originally Posted by nkbux (Post 2743517)
To Wall Street we look much better...rudderless or not... we are a VERY healthy company from a financial standpoint and have a corporate balance sheet to envy... spirit CANNOT operate like AA or even JetBlue...I’m glad those guys got a contract after us that had higher rates and work rules etc... just sets us up for a victory in 2020...but make no mistake... we’re in a better position for fruition in the future and we know what that looks like... and not to beat a dead horse BUT... if you wanna compare W2’s by all means do so... I’ll keep my low premiums and move on... with that said... they’ll move far ahead of us if the profit sharing checks are legit which they should be... that’s an absolute MUST on the next round

What happens in 2020? Last I checked we are subsidizing spirit for another 4 years, 1 month, and 2 weeks- minimum. More like 7 years.

TrojanCMH 01-15-2019 06:09 PM


Originally Posted by FNGFO (Post 2743775)
At no point did I argue the value of the company via stock price. Something two other posters also score points with using terrible comparisons.



Tons of things go into stock values, but it’s also a very basic indicator, imperfect as it is,in market confidence in the performance and prospects of a company.



As long as you don’t think that the actual price of a stock is indicative of the value of a company then we agree. Your previous post just led me to believe that you thought that the higher the stock price meant the more successful/valuable company. If that were the case Allegiant would be the most successful airline in the US. All I was saying is that stock price has nothing to do with that. Stock price is arbitrary... Has to do with how many stocks were issued when they went public and whether they’ve been split or not.


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nkbux 01-15-2019 06:16 PM


Originally Posted by Qotsaautopilot (Post 2743781)
What happens in 2020? Last I checked we are subsidizing spirit for another 4 years, 1 month, and 2 weeks- minimum. More like 7 years.


I meant to type 2022... but sadly your absolutley right in that regard!

For the record... I’m well aware that stock price is not solely indicative of a companies value...and honestly I was completely clueless as to our debt to asset ratio being so much higher than Deltas... not unaware that we had incurred debt...maybe some old mad dogs will clean up the balance sheet

Sherpa 01-15-2019 06:56 PM

2022? 5 year contract plus negotiation, Contract 2028.

nkbux 01-15-2019 06:59 PM


Originally Posted by Sherpa (Post 2743845)
2022? 5 year contract plus negotiation, Contract 2028.

Yes probably... is it out of the realm of possibility for early openers in 2022? Never too early to start a want list! I never said we’d have a deal without ever seeing section 6

hayimcow 01-15-2019 08:23 PM


Originally Posted by DickBurns (Post 2743390)
Don't be so sure we wouldn't still be under contract 2010 had we voted no.

Absolutely we would. Frontier plus 1. Minus 1 year.

hayimcow 01-15-2019 08:24 PM

[QUOTE=nkbux;2743847]Yes probably... is it out of the realm of possibility for early openers in 2022? Never too early to start a want list! I never said we’d have a deal without ever seeing section 6[/QUOTE

hayimcow 01-15-2019 08:25 PM

[QUOTE=hayimcow;2743897]

Originally Posted by nkbux (Post 2743847)
Yes probably... is it out of the realm of possibility for early openers in 2022? Never too early to start a want list! I never said we’d have a deal without ever seeing section 6[/QUOTE

It’s too early.


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