Q3 2023 Earnings
#121
Line Holder
Joined: Dec 2022
Posts: 1,372
Likes: 141
Well, looking at the 10Q I could be wrong but.... it looks like the "operation only lost" $63,000,000 in the first 9 months of the year. They took a write off to purchase $150,000,00.00 of ground equipment, and wrote off $100,000,000 in deferred heavy mx (whatever that means). Total wages & Salaries went up by 30% but ASMs only went up by 15%. They Sold 100M worth of owned AC but spent $600M more on A/C rent. Seems like not being able to Staff, (too little, too late contract cycle wise) not expanding training dept quickly enough, displacing people to staff new bases (causing more attrition) which prevented us from flying the A/C we already had and now we have this Pratt Issue that is further going to hurt. It seems like the ULCC Model is losing some money, but the real issue is mishandling of crew & Aircraft capacity?.... I dunno, could be way off but seems like maybe it's more of a management related issue than Business model?
This is fundamentally why Southwest was able to scale with at the time was a far inferior product. Employee buy in goes a long way. The employees there made that place an efficiency machine that was able keep people happy and get them where they wanted to go. We don’t do that. We get them there sometimes and late usually while ****ing them off in the process. Can’t scale without repeat business. Only so much low hanging fruit and we’ve picked it all.
Look at the top two in charge and their history. Merger, bankruptcy, strike, scabs, toxic work environments. Should we be surprised?
#122
The REAL Bluedriver
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 6,935
Likes: 0
From: Airbus Capt
Well, looking at the 10Q I could be wrong but.... it looks like the "operation only lost" $63,000,000 in the first 9 months of the year. They took a write off to purchase $150,000,00.00 of ground equipment, and wrote off $100,000,000 in deferred heavy mx (whatever that means). Total wages & Salaries went up by 30% but ASMs only went up by 15%. They Sold 100M worth of owned AC but spent $600M more on A/C rent. Seems like not being able to Staff, (too little, too late contract cycle wise) not expanding training dept quickly enough, displacing people to staff new bases (causing more attrition) which prevented us from flying the A/C we already had and now we have this Pratt Issue that is further going to hurt. It seems like the ULCC Model is losing some money, but the real issue is mishandling of crew & Aircraft capacity?.... I dunno, could be way off but seems like maybe it's more of a management related issue than Business model?
#123
The REAL Bluedriver
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 6,935
Likes: 0
From: Airbus Capt
Well, looking at the 10Q I could be wrong but.... it looks like the "operation only lost" $63,000,000 in the first 9 months of the year. They took a write off to purchase $150,000,00.00 of ground equipment, and wrote off $100,000,000 in deferred heavy mx (whatever that means). Total wages & Salaries went up by 30% but ASMs only went up by 15%. They Sold 100M worth of owned AC but spent $600M more on A/C rent. Seems like not being able to Staff, (too little, too late contract cycle wise) not expanding training dept quickly enough, displacing people to staff new bases (causing more attrition) which prevented us from flying the A/C we already had and now we have this Pratt Issue that is further going to hurt. It seems like the ULCC Model is losing some money, but the real issue is mishandling of crew & Aircraft capacity?.... I dunno, could be way off but seems like maybe it's more of a management related issue than Business model?
"The culprit according to Spirit is “softer demand for our product and discounted fares in our markets.” I will actually touch on that more tomorrow when I look at Frontier, but suffice it to say for now that there is a ton of capacity in Las Vegas and Florida where the ultra low cost carriers are concentrated, and demand is just not there to support it all.
In Q3, Spirit’s unit revenue plunged 17.4 percent to 9.14 cents vs last year. Overall total revenue per passenger dropped 13.5 percent, but it was only that good because ancillary revenue stayed fairly flat. Actual fare revenue dropped a shocking 27.8 percent year-over-year. As you’ll see tomorrow, this impacts Frontier as well, but the difference is that Frontier says it sees things stabilizing. Spirit says otherwise. We continue to see discounted fares for travel booked through the pre-Thanksgiving period. And, unfortunately, we have not seen the anticipated return to a normal demand and pricing environment for the peak holiday periods."
Having more jets and seats in the air will definitely not help the current ULCC situation.
#124
I found this quoted on another message board, not sure the source:
"The culprit according to Spirit is “softer demand for our product and discounted fares in our markets.” I will actually touch on that more tomorrow when I look at Frontier, but suffice it to say for now that there is a ton of capacity in Las Vegas and Florida where the ultra low cost carriers are concentrated, and demand is just not there to support it all.
In Q3, Spirit’s unit revenue plunged 17.4 percent to 9.14 cents vs last year. Overall total revenue per passenger dropped 13.5 percent, but it was only that good because ancillary revenue stayed fairly flat. Actual fare revenue dropped a shocking 27.8 percent year-over-year. As you’ll see tomorrow, this impacts Frontier as well, but the difference is that Frontier says it sees things stabilizing. Spirit says otherwise. We continue to see discounted fares for travel booked through the pre-Thanksgiving period. And, unfortunately, we have not seen the anticipated return to a normal demand and pricing environment for the peak holiday periods."
Having more jets and seats in the air will definitely not help the current ULCC situation.
"The culprit according to Spirit is “softer demand for our product and discounted fares in our markets.” I will actually touch on that more tomorrow when I look at Frontier, but suffice it to say for now that there is a ton of capacity in Las Vegas and Florida where the ultra low cost carriers are concentrated, and demand is just not there to support it all.
In Q3, Spirit’s unit revenue plunged 17.4 percent to 9.14 cents vs last year. Overall total revenue per passenger dropped 13.5 percent, but it was only that good because ancillary revenue stayed fairly flat. Actual fare revenue dropped a shocking 27.8 percent year-over-year. As you’ll see tomorrow, this impacts Frontier as well, but the difference is that Frontier says it sees things stabilizing. Spirit says otherwise. We continue to see discounted fares for travel booked through the pre-Thanksgiving period. And, unfortunately, we have not seen the anticipated return to a normal demand and pricing environment for the peak holiday periods."
Having more jets and seats in the air will definitely not help the current ULCC situation.
#125
I found this quoted on another message board, not sure the source:
"The culprit according to Spirit is “softer demand for our product and discounted fares in our markets.” I will actually touch on that more tomorrow when I look at Frontier, but suffice it to say for now that there is a ton of capacity in Las Vegas and Florida where the ultra low cost carriers are concentrated, and demand is just not there to support it all.
In Q3, Spirit’s unit revenue plunged 17.4 percent to 9.14 cents vs last year. Overall total revenue per passenger dropped 13.5 percent, but it was only that good because ancillary revenue stayed fairly flat. Actual fare revenue dropped a shocking 27.8 percent year-over-year. As you’ll see tomorrow, this impacts Frontier as well, but the difference is that Frontier says it sees things stabilizing. Spirit says otherwise. We continue to see discounted fares for travel booked through the pre-Thanksgiving period. And, unfortunately, we have not seen the anticipated return to a normal demand and pricing environment for the peak holiday periods."
Having more jets and seats in the air will definitely not help the current ULCC situation.
"The culprit according to Spirit is “softer demand for our product and discounted fares in our markets.” I will actually touch on that more tomorrow when I look at Frontier, but suffice it to say for now that there is a ton of capacity in Las Vegas and Florida where the ultra low cost carriers are concentrated, and demand is just not there to support it all.
In Q3, Spirit’s unit revenue plunged 17.4 percent to 9.14 cents vs last year. Overall total revenue per passenger dropped 13.5 percent, but it was only that good because ancillary revenue stayed fairly flat. Actual fare revenue dropped a shocking 27.8 percent year-over-year. As you’ll see tomorrow, this impacts Frontier as well, but the difference is that Frontier says it sees things stabilizing. Spirit says otherwise. We continue to see discounted fares for travel booked through the pre-Thanksgiving period. And, unfortunately, we have not seen the anticipated return to a normal demand and pricing environment for the peak holiday periods."
Having more jets and seats in the air will definitely not help the current ULCC situation.
#126
Line Holder
Joined: Dec 2022
Posts: 1,372
Likes: 141
Why are you so drunk on the ULCC koolaide? It’s a garbage product that customers love to hate as much as the DMV. Its success depends upon finding an endless number of passengers to anger and you and every other employee making less than their peers. It’s in the definition. Ultra Low Cost. Airbus isn’t cutting is a deal. The oil company isn’t cutting us a deal. That cost savings only comes in the form of efficiency (southwest) but we have incompetent management, and savings on labor.
#127
Line Holder
Joined: Sep 2016
Posts: 1,163
Likes: 36
I found this quoted on another message board, not sure the source:
"The culprit according to Spirit is “softer demand for our product and discounted fares in our markets.” I will actually touch on that more tomorrow when I look at Frontier, but suffice it to say for now that there is a ton of capacity in Las Vegas and Florida where the ultra low cost carriers are concentrated, and demand is just not there to support it all.
In Q3, Spirit’s unit revenue plunged 17.4 percent to 9.14 cents vs last year. Overall total revenue per passenger dropped 13.5 percent, but it was only that good because ancillary revenue stayed fairly flat. Actual fare revenue dropped a shocking 27.8 percent year-over-year. As you’ll see tomorrow, this impacts Frontier as well, but the difference is that Frontier says it sees things stabilizing. Spirit says otherwise. We continue to see discounted fares for travel booked through the pre-Thanksgiving period. And, unfortunately, we have not seen the anticipated return to a normal demand and pricing environment for the peak holiday periods."
Having more jets and seats in the air will definitely not help the current ULCC situation.
"The culprit according to Spirit is “softer demand for our product and discounted fares in our markets.” I will actually touch on that more tomorrow when I look at Frontier, but suffice it to say for now that there is a ton of capacity in Las Vegas and Florida where the ultra low cost carriers are concentrated, and demand is just not there to support it all.
In Q3, Spirit’s unit revenue plunged 17.4 percent to 9.14 cents vs last year. Overall total revenue per passenger dropped 13.5 percent, but it was only that good because ancillary revenue stayed fairly flat. Actual fare revenue dropped a shocking 27.8 percent year-over-year. As you’ll see tomorrow, this impacts Frontier as well, but the difference is that Frontier says it sees things stabilizing. Spirit says otherwise. We continue to see discounted fares for travel booked through the pre-Thanksgiving period. And, unfortunately, we have not seen the anticipated return to a normal demand and pricing environment for the peak holiday periods."
Having more jets and seats in the air will definitely not help the current ULCC situation.
https://crankyflier.com/2023/10/30/a...1ifL71HbCFYJd0
#128
The REAL Bluedriver
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 6,935
Likes: 0
From: Airbus Capt
#129
A lot of those decisions were made years ago by the genius that thought firing all the gate agents and ground staff and outsourcing was a good idea. Looked good on a spreadsheet but now you have a bunch of people that literally make the operation function and none of them have skin in the game.
#130
Line Holder
Joined: Apr 2013
Posts: 759
Likes: 52
Doesn't matter if it's for different reasons if neither company can come close to making a profit. Now you are going to merge with billions in merger expenses ?? How on earth do you think this model will make money?? A giant JetBlue that hasn't been profitable for a long time.
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post



