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Spirt filed for Chapter 11 again


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Spirt filed for Chapter 11 again

Old 12-10-2025 | 04:34 AM
  #541  
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We lost 90M in Oct. it’s better than the ~100M a month every other month. It’s still losing A LOT of money.
Its like saying the dog only sh1t on the living room rug this month and not the living room AND the dining room.
He’s still sh1tting in the house.
something has to give.
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Old 12-10-2025 | 06:20 AM
  #542  
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Originally Posted by Acehole
We lost 90M in Oct. it’s better than the ~100M a month every other month. It’s still losing A LOT of money.
Its like saying the dog only sh1t on the living room rug this month and not the living room AND the dining room.
He’s still sh1tting in the house.
something has to give.
without upcoming DIP, you have about 3.5-4.5 months left with cash on hand before reaching minimum liquidity levels . With the DIP it extends another month. That time frame factors in all reductions as well.
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Old 12-10-2025 | 06:39 AM
  #543  
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Originally Posted by Acehole
We lost 90M in Oct. it’s better than the ~100M a month every other month. It’s still losing A LOT of money.
Its like saying the dog only sh1t on the living room rug this month and not the living room AND the dining room.
He’s still sh1tting in the house.
something has to give.
You have a way with words.
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Old 12-10-2025 | 09:05 AM
  #544  
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Originally Posted by Acehole
We lost 90M in Oct. it’s better than the ~100M a month every other month. It’s still losing A LOT of money.
Its like saying the dog only sh1t on the living room rug this month and not the living room AND the dining room.
He’s still sh1tting in the house.
something has to give.
Kick the dog
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Old 12-10-2025 | 09:39 AM
  #545  
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Originally Posted by redhot
without upcoming DIP, you have about 3.5-4.5 months left with cash on hand before reaching minimum liquidity levels . With the DIP it extends another month. That time frame factors in all reductions as well.
The October financials that came out yesterday show the increase in cash of $250M from the DIP draw already and they burned $77M of that in October. They will likely burn another $150M of that in Nov/Dec which we are in now and need another DIP draw either this month or next. It runs out in April or May if they draw the rest of the DIP.

The biggest problem is that they can't generate any cash by selling assets, because all asset sales go to DIP repayment first. Just like the $30M for selling gates went to pay back the DIP loans and Spirit doesn't retain it for operations.

This is a canary in the coal mine for what's about the happen if they don't get to cash flow positive.
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Old 12-10-2025 | 11:16 AM
  #546  
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Originally Posted by FriendlyPilot

This is a canary in the coal mine for what's about the happen if they don't get to cash flow positive.
I think the canary stopped singing around 2019, it stopped breathing in 2021. By mid 2022 it was beginning to decompose. In 2023 a stray cat came by and decided it was too rancid to touch and now it’s been picked over by rats and roaches. There’s not much but a few feathers and frail little skeleton left.
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Old 12-10-2025 | 11:54 AM
  #547  
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Originally Posted by FriendlyPilot
The October financials that came out yesterday show the increase in cash of $250M from the DIP draw already and they burned $77M of that in October. They will likely burn another $150M of that in Nov/Dec which we are in now and need another DIP draw either this month or next. It runs out in April or May if they draw the rest of the DIP.

The biggest problem is that they can't generate any cash by selling assets, because all asset sales go to DIP repayment first. Just like the $30M for selling gates went to pay back the DIP loans and Spirit doesn't retain it for operations.

This is a canary in the coal mine for what's about the happen if they don't get to cash flow positive.
Frontier is a counter point on your predictive cash burn rate. They lost ~70M in each of the previous two quarters but predicting a profit in Q4. Perhaps Spirits moves have paid off more than we know yet? Time will tell.
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Old 12-10-2025 | 12:12 PM
  #548  
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Originally Posted by Stayontarget
Frontier is a counter point on your predictive cash burn rate. They lost ~70M in each of the previous two quarters but predicting a profit in Q4. Perhaps Spirits moves have paid off more than we know yet? Time will tell.
I can’t tell you how many times over the last 5 years NK management has stated on an earnings call about profit at a certain quarter. Never happened.

And maybe Frontier can eke out a small profit during the busy holiday season while having lower end pilot labor costs.
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Old 12-10-2025 | 12:46 PM
  #549  
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Originally Posted by CincoDeMayo
I can’t tell you how many times over the last 5 years NK management has stated on an earnings call about profit at a certain quarter. Never happened.

And maybe Frontier can eke out a small profit during the busy holiday season while having lower end pilot labor costs.
Thanks Cat.
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Old 12-10-2025 | 02:56 PM
  #550  
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Originally Posted by CincoDeMayo
I can’t tell you how many times over the last 5 years NK management has stated on an earnings call about profit at a certain quarter. Never happened.

And maybe Frontier can eke out a small profit during the busy holiday season while having lower end pilot labor costs.
Im referring to the turnaround time. Even if they break even how do you go from losing 70M to gaining 10-40M in a quarter? What changed?

That’s all we are talking about here. Minimizing the cash burn for Spirit. Perhaps Spirits recent moves will cause a similar turn around for the better.
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