Bethune on pilot shortage
#41
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Apr 2011
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From: retired 767(dl)
I saw a chart once that plotted accidents in incidents by age in some aviation publication. It showed accidents/incidents increasing rapidly between 60-65. I remember thinking that must be how they came up with the age 60 rule. Interesting there still needs to be someone under 60 with someone over 60 in the cockpit. The chart also showed the least accidents/incidents around age 35.
#42
My point about the Buffalo crash still stands. Both pilots had well above the mins, especially (obviously) the Captain. The problem is the status quo regional model, period. It needs to go.
GF
#43
It's amazing how many pilots don't recognize this.
#44
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Sep 2009
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From: Left seat of a Jet
And pilots of airliners with 15,000 hours have crashed, too. The point is initial and continuing training, air discipline in following the regulations and good sense and basic altitude matter more. Numerous busts, run-ins with the law, and failure to abide the regs and an airplane will even the score. Not only Colman, but Pinnacle 3407 and the recent TEB Lear 35 accident show an airplane will weed the incompetent or lax.
GF
GF
#46
Banned
Joined: May 2014
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From: Tom’s Whipping boy.
Chain of events, fatigue, ..... that help any?
#48
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Joined: Aug 2013
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And pilots of airliners with 15,000 hours have crashed, too. The point is initial and continuing training, air discipline in following the regulations and good sense and basic altitude matter more. Numerous busts, run-ins with the law, and failure to abide the regs and an airplane will even the score. Not only Colman, but Pinnacle 3407 and the recent TEB Lear 35 accident show an airplane will weed the incompetent or lax.
GF
GF
The 1500 hour rule is a definite step up from a safety perspective. It doesn't matter if a 20,000 hour Captain was in the seat when the Pan Am jet plowed into a Kenner neighborhood in New Orleans on takeoff during a TS off runway 10, what matters is we have learned from that and other accidents, have a reasonable standard and it makes sense for the following reasons:
1. It is safer. More time equals more opportunity to make mistakes and learn from them. That translates to better judgment and decision-making.
2. It aids organized labor in translating a predictable career path and career progression into a coherent labor contract. Constantly moving the goal-posts isn't fair to the profession as a whole and makes it extremely difficult for both sides to negotiate a fair agreement.
3. It aids in supply and demand (on the pilot side) of the equation. We still have not recovered from the lost decade of aviation in America. Management had a decided advantage for about 15 years in the supply side of the equation. They had pay for training, stagnant wages, and sh!tty benefits for their pilots for the entire 90's and well into 2005.
As a side note, we need to keep reminding both our association and law makers no changes will be acceptable on the 1500 hour rule, or the age 65 rule. Can't play the game with moving goal posts. Additionally, it's not just a 1500 hour rule. There are exceptions that lower it to 900 hours. A prospective new hire pilot can graduate HS, get his/her ratings and a college degree and become marketable and hirable in just 5 years from date of graduation. I have seen some do it in 3 years by getting their private pilot done their senior year of HS and staying in school over the summers. Go to a school with the quarter system and you can get in the airlines pretty quick.
#49
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Joined: Aug 2013
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Question: How many "inactive" ATP's are out there in the USA by pilots younger than age 60? How many Commercial pilots with Instrument ratings are out there that are also "inactive" or not engaged in commercial/professional aviation?
Why ask these two questions above??? Because, when you figure that out you'll also discover that so many pilots were "run out" of the profession in the 90's and early 2000's because of a stagnant profession and no career path.
Those pilots who bailed on aviation did so because they saw no path, no carrot and stick to keep them going. They couldn't feed their families, etc. I know 6 pilots who graduated with me from college in 1991, and who are not flying. They found jobs making more money and never looked back.
We simply can't afford any more lost decades in this profession. The risks of losing money in the profession out weigh any perceived gains by moving the goal posts to 70 or 67.
In reality you can start this profession on your 23rd birthday. We need to stop worrying about flying longer. How about just get into the profession earlier? I don't care if you get hired at 23 or 33. Figure it out and get r done. If you get to a major by 27 or 28 you are doing great and will likely enjoy a great career.
#50
Number Last
Joined: Sep 2017
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From: Boeing voice activated systems and ACARS commander
Before CRM ... The regional aircraft of the day ... Training as it was back in the day ... Probably have to go to the basement of the library to find that one on microfiche.
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