The end of the LOA
01-13-2021, 07:26 PM
#2
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Mar 2015
Posts: 332
Realistically, no. At least not until next year in my opinion. Travel will take time to recover. Lockdowns/quarantines suppress international leisure travel, and business travel will be last to bounce back. Keep at it and we'll turn the corner soon!
01-14-2021, 05:55 AM
#3
Gets Everyday Off
Joined APC: Aug 2016
Position: Relaxed
Posts: 6,945
Originally Posted by WhisperJet
Realistically, no. At least not until next year in my opinion. Travel will take time to recover. Lockdowns/quarantines suppress international leisure travel, and business travel will be last to bounce back. Keep at it and we'll turn the corner soon!
01-14-2021, 06:14 AM
#4
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Aug 2020
Posts: 2,219
The vaccine will take some time to distribute and become effective. Hopefully demand will be accelerating by fall and we can phase out of cheap tickets and start generating sustainable revenue next year. After that, all we need to do is wait for all of the promises to come true. We’ll be getting those 737-700’s, growing the list to 16,000 pilots, taking delivery on the A350, and making the 50 seaters a thing of the past. It could happen. 😉
01-14-2021, 07:11 AM
#5
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Nov 2018
Posts: 114
I wish they would kick the vaccinations into gear! The difference between vaccines delivered and shots given is disappointing. I love the optimism of Deltas prediction of a return to profit by the end of the year, but it certainly doesn’t feel like we are “winning” yet.
Well, maybe “winning” like Charlie Sheen is.
Well, maybe “winning” like Charlie Sheen is.
01-14-2021, 04:49 PM
#6
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: May 2006
Position: WB Bunkie
Posts: 1,246
I would say the more interesting question to ask, is which termination trigger will be the one to end the LOA. I would guess the 80% load for one quarter. Depending on how aggressive/low-yields the company will go this summer, I don’t think a Q3 with 80% is out of the realm of possibility. Not likely, but possible.
if the cash flow situation gets in hand, maybe 2 quarters of profitability Q3 and Q4, even if loads are 60-70%
if the cash flow situation gets in hand, maybe 2 quarters of profitability Q3 and Q4, even if loads are 60-70%
01-14-2021, 07:44 PM
#8
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jun 2007
Position: 767/757 CA
Posts: 2,610
Originally Posted by scns77
Be interesting to see travel demand after 26 Jan..... when the new CDC mandate goes into effect dictating a positive test upon return to CONUS mandatory for all residents
01-15-2021, 11:33 AM
#9
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Nov 2017
Posts: 2,099
Originally Posted by ugleeual
CdC already talking waivers to countries that cannot handle quick COVID testing... I’m thinking Mexico, Caribbean, South America, and possibly India on this list.
Where on the CDC website is this list?
01-15-2021, 11:56 AM
#10
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jun 2007
Position: 767/757 CA
Posts: 2,610
Originally Posted by FXLAX
Where on the CDC website is this list?
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-h...-idUSKBN29H2WR
Last edited by ugleeual; 01-15-2021 at 12:11 PM.
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