Go Back  Airline Pilot Central Forums > Airline Pilot Forums > Major > United
Junior B756 CA @ 5 years? >

Junior B756 CA @ 5 years?

Search

Notices

Junior B756 CA @ 5 years?

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 01-05-2023 | 03:58 PM
  #121  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Mar 2018
Posts: 3,633
Likes: 209
Default

Originally Posted by hummingbear
If you’ll read my post I referenced the qualities of a “truly random sample”- didn’t say our phone polling system was bias free. Still, if you think APC is more representative than even a poorly randomized phone survey I’ll respectfully disagree.

No, you're still not understanding. A 600-ct, random sample of pilots at United Airlines will not represent the "average" will of the 15000-ish. The only way to eliminate sample bias would be to make it not random, but targeted. And you'd need more than 600 people to do it. The NC isn't designing the poll, but you also have to know what you are asking for the poll to do to get accurate results.
Reply
Old 01-05-2023 | 04:01 PM
  #122  
Line Holder
 
Joined: Feb 2017
Posts: 1,631
Likes: 80
Default

Originally Posted by m3113n1a1
Just a casual unsolicited observation from a Delta guy. It's really interesting reading this thread and noting the difference between how Delta guys view improving reserve vs United guys. At Delta there's a lot of support for improving reserve (which is already pretty good at Delta), but here there's seemingly zero. I wonder why there's such a difference?
because everything at United is seniority, down to kicking someone off the jumpseat with 3 minutes to push. the really senior people are making 787 Captain money, haven’t been on reserve in ages, and feel that “reserve is a choice” and/or “I suffered, so everyone else needs to.

The same people who no doubt complain about getting 90 hour lines each month, yet somehow fail to realize that all these unfilled positions would only help them out with their own seniority/position if they got filled.

I don’t know…it’s baffling.
Reply
Old 01-05-2023 | 04:04 PM
  #123  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Mar 2018
Posts: 3,633
Likes: 209
Default

Originally Posted by m3113n1a1
Just a casual unsolicited observation from a Delta guy. It's really interesting reading this thread and noting the difference between how Delta guys view improving reserve vs United guys. At Delta there's a lot of support for improving reserve (which is already pretty good at Delta), but here there's seemingly zero. I wonder why there's such a difference?

I think you may be reading that improving reserve at the cost of something else isn't worth it. I think most people will agree improving reserve is a good thing, but probably not the the most important thing in terms of the buckets of negotiating capital we have. Also, our reassignment rules (not necessarily the pay associated with getting reassigned) are better in many ways than Delta, which most people probably wouldn't give away for improved reserve rules.
Reply
Old 01-05-2023 | 04:24 PM
  #124  
dmeg13021's Avatar
Line Holder
 
Joined: Mar 2014
Posts: 927
Likes: 110
Default

Let me guess, reserve improvements fall just below LTD, retirement improvements, sick leave accrual, vacation pay, and PBS seniority abrogation?
Reply
Old 01-05-2023 | 04:31 PM
  #125  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Aug 2020
Posts: 2,657
Likes: 116
Default

Originally Posted by dmeg13021
Let me guess, reserve improvements fall just below LTD, retirement improvements, sick leave accrual, vacation pay, and PBS seniority abrogation?
Yes, but above optional hats, and beards.😂
Reply
Old 01-05-2023 | 05:21 PM
  #126  
dmeg13021's Avatar
Line Holder
 
Joined: Mar 2014
Posts: 927
Likes: 110
Default

A fair retort my friend!
Reply
Old 01-06-2023 | 03:03 AM
  #127  
ugleeual's Avatar
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Jun 2007
Posts: 3,042
Likes: 47
From: 767/757 CA
Default

Delta is hiring…
Reply
Old 01-06-2023 | 05:47 AM
  #128  
Line Holder
 
Joined: May 2016
Posts: 452
Likes: 15
Default

Originally Posted by ThumbsUp
No, you're still not understanding. A 600-ct, random sample of pilots at United Airlines will not represent the "average" will of the 15000-ish. The only way to eliminate sample bias would be to make it not random, but targeted. And you'd need more than 600 people to do it. The NC isn't designing the poll, but you also have to know what you are asking for the poll to do to get accurate results.
You don't understand statistics.
Reply
Old 01-06-2023 | 06:48 AM
  #129  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Mar 2018
Posts: 3,633
Likes: 209
Default

Originally Posted by Random Task
You don't understand statistics.
Lol. I certainly hope I do, as most of my career was defined by it. Maybe this isn’t obvious to others, so here is a brief explanation.

My opinion is that what constitutes a pilot’s contractual desires is heavily affected by what BES they hold, commuter vs non-commuter, reserve vs non-reserve, WB vs NB, etc. The only way to assess the opinions of all of those groups in a statically meaningful way is by modifying the sample frame for each group. I haven’t received a call, so this survey may be so broad brush that it doesn’t matter anyway.
Reply
Old 01-06-2023 | 07:07 AM
  #130  
Line Holder
 
Joined: Dec 2018
Posts: 1,150
Likes: 9
Default

Originally Posted by ThumbsUp
Lol. I certainly hope I do, as most of my career was defined by it. Maybe this isn’t obvious to others, so here is a brief explanation.

My opinion is that what constitutes a pilot’s contractual desires is heavily affected by what BES they hold, commuter vs non-commuter, reserve vs non-reserve, WB vs NB, etc. The only way to assess the opinions of all of those groups in a statically meaningful way is by modifying the sample frame for each group. I haven’t received a call, so this survey may be so broad brush that it doesn’t matter anyway.
this is generally correct even though BES maybe too much of a microsegmentation.

you can still get a representative sample with the 600. It jus depends what (if any) segments you have
Reply
Related Topics
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post
KNOT on CALL
Major
42
12-11-2014 01:02 AM
Dave Behnke
Cargo
109
08-27-2014 01:45 PM
unclepetey
Regional
9
04-09-2008 03:03 PM
757Slug
Cargo
79
12-20-2007 07:44 AM
captain_drew
Hangar Talk
2
04-14-2006 04:46 PM

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



Your Privacy Choices