If none of the senior pilots that are local like you bid reserve, because there is no SC threat, how do you think that might impact the number of SC that those who are on reserve(junior) will get assigned?

Since we are speculating(and without all the deets) I think the assigned SC for those remaining on reserve will go up. If you reduce the number subjected to SC, those that are subjected to SC will be more miserable due to more SC assignments. Seems pretty common sensical to me. When you tip the scales to better the life of the more senior, the more junior have to pick up the slack.

I know, we are a seniority based system so eating the juniors is tasty and nutritious.

As it stands right now SC conversions are already incredibly high. As it stands right now reserve isn't very commutable for many people, but especially the new hires who are forced into reserve can't afford to live in expensive domiciles or can't uproot their lives to move across the country try to live in base for a year or two. So IF things fall apart like you describe how much worse would it really be? I see a lot of upside, and the downside is a very slim chance that it's slightly worse than the status quo. It's worth noting that UAL is the ONLY legacy airline where reserve goes junior because of the horrible work rules, so if we get industry standard work rules why do you think UAL pilots would buck the trend and reserve would stay junior?

Your analysis certainly could be correct. As I said, the devil is in the details.

I would add the note that today's update is interesting when you compare the list of open items from 4/3 versus the list of open items as of now. Seems the company is coming to it's senses. Hopefully that continues and continues quickly.
4/3 - update

4/22 - update

I think things will move along now once AA becomes a TA, SK wouldn’t want to be outgunned by aA and if we couldn’t be first hopefully we pattern bargain and come ahead at the end. I’m optimistic and hopeful.

/s/ at the end means sarcasm....

Trying to count 10am as an approvement just because it says it in the contract instead of just 117 is insanity, especially when the standard now is 1400+ day 1 at every other major airline.

Ah, a useful lesson in internet linguistics- thank you.

It's less bullet points, yes, but the biggest problems (FSB, short call caps, FDO's) are all still open items.

I don't think you'll find that the majority believes those are the biggest problems.

While most airlines have gotten rid of BS items that can rank qol I don’t see United getting rid of theirs. More likely they will be economically disincentivized from using them and the union rather than trying to get rid of them all together will settle for making the company pay more when using those items.

If done properly this is actually best case for us. Why not offer add pay for these items most of us hate? Some people will be more than happy to sit at an airport for 4 hours or slide their day off if they are getting paid something decent for it. It appears that FDOs are already gone for Global anyway, I’m guessing basic reserve could be next.