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400 retirements. Yep.
Not sure why so much hiring. Could they be planning actual block hour growth? Who knows. Hopefully.
No advertised block hour growth.
Maybe all this hiring makes sense if:Originally Posted by Probe
Only seat/mile growth, no advertised block hour growth. No additional pilots needed for this growth. Mil/medical/early outs? Also returning from mil/medical. Net probably low double digits.400 retirements. Yep.
Not sure why so much hiring. Could they be planning actual block hour growth? Who knows. Hopefully.
No advertised block hour growth.
-TK moves out of Denver (money on ORD-easier to have Labor keep a watch)
-Good bet vast majority of current Instructors will NOT follow the job there.
-Majority of current Instructors have DEN 737 Cap Seniority..that's where they will go. The more junior ones go to the right seat DEN 737
where they will be in the top 1/3.
-How many DEN displacements can you guess? (Not to mention the HUGE expense of displacements)
-Big vacancy needed for Instructors locating to new TK.
-Takes a WHOLE bunch more time to bring an Instructor on line.
MANY bodies off the line at the same time for good period of time (2 years all told for the process,maybe?)
Bottom line, I think they are PADDING now for the eventual removal of HUNDREDS of pilots off the line required to train, either as instructor or the DEN displaced guys.
I think all this talk of cities bidding so mgmt gets the best deal is just a ruse. Sure, they want to extract as much as they can and are having the cities participate in a bidding war to achieve this. In reality, I believe they have decided from the onset it will be in ORD. If this was really about TOTAL cost, they would keep TK in DEN. Minimize the distance and you minimize cost. One of the largest costs will be the loss of Instructors and how that affects the line/displacements and training pipeline.
The difference in what mgmt extracts out of each city is pocket change.
Moving TK is not about cost, it's all about control...IMHO.