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Old 08-30-2016 | 02:31 PM
  #31  
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Originally Posted by buscappy
well, actually, eps is simply earnings divided by shares. and earnings is simply net income - or profit. and profit sharing is tied, amazingly, to profit

so not sure what youre tryin to say there

the forecast eps are forecasts, though. and our ps will be based on the actual (pre-tax, pre-special charges) earnings, not calculated until well after Dec 31
Here's a question. Do the number of shares in the EPS change based on the stock buybacks we've been doing?

The actual PS number used is spelled out in he contract and it is calculated at the end of each QTR. So, we already should know how we're doing in Q1 and Q2 compared to last year.
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Old 08-30-2016 | 04:31 PM
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Originally Posted by Flyguppy
Here's a question. Do the number of shares in the EPS change based on the stock buybacks we've been doing?
Yup.

And that's pretty much the entire point...increase the value of each remaining share.

Fewer shares = higher EPS.
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Old 08-30-2016 | 05:00 PM
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Originally Posted by cadetdrivr
Yup.

And that's pretty much the entire point...increase the value of each remaining share.

Fewer shares = higher EPS.

possibly. but "the number of shares" is not a specific enough concept. there are authorized shares, issued shares, outstanding shares, treasury shares, and probably other categories I can't think of right now. when the co buys back outstanding shares, they become treasury shares, and possibly the divisor in eps (ie, num of shares) stays fixed. but, the share price (and multiple of eps) might still go up because investors like dividends and share buybacks

corp fin is more complicated, and complex, and case-by-case, than can be fully covered or understood on a pilot forum. that's why teams of i bankers and securities lawyers work 2500 hrs a yr on the stuff

but to the OP, yes, eps has everything to do with our eventual ps deposit in March
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Old 08-30-2016 | 05:27 PM
  #34  
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Originally Posted by buscappy
possibly. but "the number of shares" is not a specific enough concept. there are authorized shares, issued shares, outstanding shares, treasury shares, and probably other categories I can't think of right now. when the co buys back outstanding shares, they become treasury shares, and possibly the divisor in eps (ie, num of shares) stays fixed. but, the share price (and multiple of eps) might still go up because investors like dividends and share buybacks

corp fin is more complicated, and complex, and case-by-case, than can be fully covered or understood on a pilot forum. that's why teams of i bankers and securities lawyers work 2500 hrs a yr on the stuff

but to the OP, yes, eps has everything to do with our eventual ps deposit in March
You can sit here and argue that "eps has everything to do with our eventual ps deposit in March", but that's simply not true. You can use it as a wag, but that's about it. Too many variables.

Our profit sharing has EVERYTHING to do with pre-tax profit(PTP) and pre-tax margin(PTM). Specifically, 10% of PTP up to a PTM of 6.9% goes into the ps pool. 20% of PTP that is above PTM of 6.9% goes into the pool.

So if you want to get a bit closer to a real guess, you need to look at pre-tax profit for each quarter.

A quick glance at ir.united.com shows our performance thru the 2nd Q to be about 17% lower than 2015. I'm just looking at Income before Taxes.

So to those who think we'll get 17-18% vs. last year's 13%......keep on dreaming.

Last edited by Flyguppy; 08-30-2016 at 05:42 PM.
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Old 08-30-2016 | 05:59 PM
  #35  
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Any references to the 3rd and 4th quarter are estimates and could be way off.
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Old 08-31-2016 | 03:51 AM
  #36  
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Just a little tidbit of info about profit sharing: you need to be employed the whole year to recieve it. 2016 newhires won't recieve it until march 2018 for 2017 performance.
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Old 08-31-2016 | 04:03 AM
  #37  
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Originally Posted by Flyguppy
You can sit here and argue that "eps has everything to do with our eventual ps deposit in March", but that's simply not true. You can use it as a wag, but that's about it. Too many variables.

Our profit sharing has EVERYTHING to do with pre-tax profit(PTP) and pre-tax margin(PTM). Specifically, 10% of PTP up to a PTM of 6.9% goes into the ps pool. 20% of PTP that is above PTM of 6.9% goes into the pool.

So if you want to get a bit closer to a real guess, you need to look at pre-tax profit for each quarter.

A quick glance at ir.united.com shows our performance thru the 2nd Q to be about 17% lower than 2015. I'm just looking at Income before Taxes.

So to those who think we'll get 17-18% vs. last year's 13%......keep on dreaming.
PS is calculated excluding "Special Items". As of Q2, we are ahead of 2015 profit excluding special items.
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Old 08-31-2016 | 04:09 AM
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Originally Posted by Aquaticus
Just a little tidbit of info about profit sharing: you need to be employed the whole year to recieve it. 2016 newhires won't recieve it until march 2018 for 2017 performance.
Dang. Hired in Jan. Oh well, still pumped to be here!
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Old 08-31-2016 | 04:16 AM
  #39  
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Originally Posted by buscappy
possibly. but "the number of shares" is not a specific enough concept. there are authorized shares, issued shares, outstanding shares, treasury shares, and probably other categories I can't think of right now. when the co buys back outstanding shares, they become treasury shares, and possibly the divisor in eps (ie, num of shares) stays fixed. but, the share price (and multiple of eps) might still go up because investors like dividends and share buybacks

corp fin is more complicated, and complex, and case-by-case, than can be fully covered or understood on a pilot forum. that's why teams of i bankers and securities lawyers work 2500 hrs a yr on the stuff

but to the OP, yes, eps has everything to do with our eventual ps deposit in March
Huh?


How to calculate and report EPS is clearly defined in many areas not least of which is GAAP accounting rules. Common Shares outstanding are listed under Stockholder Equity in the Q2 UAL 10-Q and are all that matter when reporting under GAAP.

323 mil Q2 2016 vs 365 mil Q4 2015

Share buy backs do not impact PS nor are EPS calculations relevant to PS.

Last edited by Sunvox; 08-31-2016 at 04:27 AM.
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Old 08-31-2016 | 04:58 AM
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Originally Posted by Sunvox
Huh?


How to calculate and report EPS is clearly defined in many areas not least of which is GAAP accounting rules. Common Shares outstanding are listed under Stockholder Equity in the Q2 UAL 10-Q and are all that matter when reporting under GAAP.

323 mil Q2 2016 vs 365 mil Q4 2015

Share buy backs do not impact PS nor are EPS calculations relevant to PS.
But the buybacks do allow mgmt to remove shares from trading that way they can sprinkle them among top mgmt as bonuses and have little effect on shares issued just using current cash flow.
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