New hire schedules...
12-17-2016, 07:17 PM
#51
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2007
Posts: 295
Originally Posted by TurboBeaver
Out of the 300+ new hire projected in 17' approx 170-200 will be assigned ANC depending on who's "reliable source" you believe.
As of bid 17-01, there are 452 crew members assigned to ANC.
Taking the low end of 170 new hires, thats a 37% increase in 1 year.
As of bid 17-01, there are 452 crew members assigned to ANC.
Taking the low end of 170 new hires, thats a 37% increase in 1 year.
So while I agree the commute will get worse I don't think it will be directly proportional to the number of ANC vacancies. What worries me more about the commute is if after they get a couple more 747s they have them continue eastward to CGN from SDF. That might make more sense than having 3 half empty 747s fly SDF-ANC-Asia every night. It would be great to get rid of the ANC-SDF-ANC death march but would suck for commuting to ANC.
12-17-2016, 09:05 PM
#52
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Feb 2013
Posts: 1,339
Originally Posted by J Dawg
You are assuming that all of those 452 current crewmembers will be staying put. Some will retire, some will upgrade to ANC CA, some will upgrade to Lower 48 CA, and some will bid out. Also, some of the new hires and vacancy awardees will move and not deal with the commute.
So while I agree the commute will get worse I don't think it will be directly proportional to the number of ANC vacancies.
So while I agree the commute will get worse I don't think it will be directly proportional to the number of ANC vacancies.
- Hope you're correct.
Originally Posted by J Dawg
What worries me more about the commute is if after they get a couple more 747s they have them continue eastward to CGN from SDF. That might make more sense than having 3 half empty 747s fly SDF-ANC-Asia every night. It would be great to get rid of the ANC-SDF-ANC death march but would suck for commuting to ANC.
Eventually they'll pull 76s from Pacific crossings (use 74s and MDs instead) and now there's the extra bonus of making 76 bunks irrelevant. Score! I doubt 74s will be seeing Atlantic crossing as long as we have MDs.
I'm frequently wrong though so the first 74 Atlantic crossing will probably be flown tomorrow..
12-17-2016, 09:34 PM
#54
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Joined APC: Jul 2005
Posts: 249
While predicting network planning is voodoo science at best, lift in Asia and domestic lift are the primary drivers as to the placement of the 747-8. Asia is desperate for lift but many airports are slot limited. As such, they need the biggest equipment available.
Picked up line number from Russian carrier, first UPS -8F delivery by Sept., for a total of three aircraft delivered next year. Total of 8 747-8's by Oct 2018.
Picked up line number from Russian carrier, first UPS -8F delivery by Sept., for a total of three aircraft delivered next year. Total of 8 747-8's by Oct 2018.
12-17-2016, 11:02 PM
#55
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Joined APC: Feb 2013
Posts: 1,339
Originally Posted by mrvmo
If the system bid closed today the Jr. Captain would be seniority number #2265.....hard to believe.....and I highly doubt it will end up that way. As things stand now that is where Jr. Cap is going.....A300 SDF.
Did you use IPA's Seniority Anysis for your predictions?
I'm guessing the most junior captain will become an '04 hire. Was the first '04 class in January?
I used a FICO score calculator and 3 dice for my prediction.
12-18-2016, 04:17 AM
#58
Tri-tanic operator
Joined APC: Jul 2006
Position: Doggie
Posts: 2,382
Originally Posted by mrvmo
Yes......please read my whole statement.
A few company mock bids will be interesting, but I bet the last minute system bidders
will make any mock bid predictions highly inaccurate.
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