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-   -   Attrition? (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/alaska/136218-attrition.html)

GearBoy 01-02-2022 04:40 PM

Attrition?
 
What is the attrition like at Alaska?

Someone on another thread mentioned new-hires leaving during Indoc and during training. I assume that these are pilots that took the first offer that came their way and are leaving when something better comes through.

How many 2-4 yr FOs are leaving?

Until Alaska has trouble attracting and retaining pilots, costing them money in training costs and cancelled flights, there’s no motivation for them to change the way they do things.

flysnoopy76 01-02-2022 05:18 PM


Originally Posted by GearBoy (Post 3345989)
What is the attrition like at Alaska?

Someone on another thread mentioned new-hires leaving during Indoc and during training. I assume that these are pilots that took the first offer that came their way and are leaving when something better comes through.

How many 2-4 yr FOs are leaving?

Until Alaska has trouble attracting and retaining pilots, costing them money in training costs and cancelled flights, there’s no motivation for them to change the way they do things.

There isn’t much attrition, just over 40 for the year, mostly junior folks leaving for better opportunities

GearBoy 01-02-2022 06:22 PM


Originally Posted by flysnoopy76 (Post 3346006)
There isn’t much attrition, just over 40 for the year, mostly junior folks leaving for better opportunities

???
How can that be the case if things are as bad as you guys say?

Well then, you guys better hope that self-help is a viable option. You are too far behind to get the improvements you seek with out it, IMO.

When I was there, we made it to mediation, once, years ago. Negotiations in mediation stalled and the pilots asked to be released for the 30-day cooling-off period. The mediator denied the request, saying that the two sides were too close in their positions, that he wanted both sides to go off and settle it. IMO, the pilots did not ask for enough and were too close to what management was offering. In effect the pilots shot themselves in the foot and took away any leverage that they might have had through self-help. The Union always wanted to appear reasonable in the eyes of a mediator or arbitrator. The problem with reasonable is that if you start negotiations with reasonable, you settle for less than reasonable.

good luck
You guys and gals are going to need it

PNWFlyer 01-02-2022 06:32 PM


Originally Posted by GearBoy (Post 3346030)
???
How can that be the case if things are as bad as you guys say?

Well then, you guys better hope that self-help is a viable option. You are too far behind to get the improvements you seek with out it, IMO.

When I was there, we made it to mediation, once, years ago. Negotiations in mediation stalled and the pilots asked to be released for the 30-day cooling-off period. The mediator denied the request, saying that the two sides were too close in their positions, that he wanted both sides to go off and settle it. IMO, the pilots did not ask for enough and were too close to what management was offering. In effect the pilots shot themselves in the foot and took away any leverage that they might have had through self-help. The Union always wanted to appear reasonable in the eyes of a mediator or arbitrator. The problem with reasonable is that if you start negotiations with reasonable, you settle for less than reasonable.

good luck
You guys and gals are going to need it

for me winning isn’t, you do.

FL410 01-03-2022 07:04 AM

As of December 1st, 38 have resigned in 2021. 36 FO's and 2 CA. If we have 3000 pilots that would be roughly 1.2% of the pilot group.

9mikemike 01-03-2022 07:59 AM


Originally Posted by FL410 (Post 3346168)
As of December 1st, 38 have resigned in 2021. 36 FO's and 2 CA. If we have 3000 pilots that would be roughly 1.2% of the pilot group.

Or more accurately, 15-20% of new hires

ElCaribe 01-03-2022 08:35 AM


Originally Posted by flysnoopy76 (Post 3346006)
There isn’t much attrition, just over 40 for the year, mostly junior folks leaving for better opportunities

Give it six months and then post the numbers. I’m guessing attrition will be triple what 2021 was; excluding new hires showing up to indoc.

9mikemike 01-03-2022 08:42 AM


Originally Posted by ElCaribe (Post 3346219)
Give it six months and then post the numbers. I’m guessing attrition will be triple what 2021 was; excluding new hires showing up to indoc.

What is happening in 4 months?

ElCaribe 01-03-2022 08:48 AM


Originally Posted by 9mikemike (Post 3346225)
What is happening in 4 months?

Just double the numbers. Not triple. ;)

9mikemike 01-03-2022 09:54 AM

Not likely to be an attention-getter at headquarters. It usually all works in their favor…Further delays on 737 deliveries, a buyer for more of the 320 fleet. Senior dudes checkin out…Staffing ends up perfect…They have lots of 4-leaf clover over at Angle Lake

flyprdu 01-03-2022 12:01 PM


Originally Posted by 9mikemike (Post 3346273)
Not likely to be an attention-getter at headquarters. It usually all works in their favor…Further delays on 737 deliveries, a buyer for more of the 320 fleet. Senior dudes checkin out…Staffing ends up perfect…They have lots of 4-leaf clover over at Angle Lake

Please explain how shrinking market share and high turnover is lucky.

Proplikepay 01-03-2022 12:04 PM

Currently about halfway through initial, and 3 of my classmates have departed for other carriers. Class started with 19 pilots I believe.

9mikemike 01-03-2022 01:00 PM


Originally Posted by flyprdu (Post 3346337)
Please explain how shrinking market share and high turnover is lucky.

You need to stop believing that you work for an airline….The boutique investment firm that you work for makes a ton of dough…Only sometimes by behaving like a traditional airline…

flyprdu 01-03-2022 01:17 PM


Originally Posted by 9mikemike (Post 3346363)
You need to stop believing that you work for an airline….The boutique investment firm that you work for makes a ton of dough…Only sometimes by behaving like a traditional airline…

I don't care how profitable the loyalty program is. Eventually if there's no destination market behind the points, people will leave. And the revenue with it.

Perhaps it's too long term for some people to imagine. Like climate change.

TheDuster 01-03-2022 03:25 PM


Originally Posted by 9mikemike (Post 3346273)
Not likely to be an attention-getter at headquarters. It usually all works in their favor…Further delays on 737 deliveries, a buyer for more of the 320 fleet. Senior dudes checkin out…Staffing ends up perfect…They have lots of 4-leaf clover over at Angle Lake

Reserves are getting hammered right now. Extended into off days is becoming the norm. Staffing is far from perfect. Some of this is COVID related, but we are far from properly staffed. People will continue to leave, and I’d expect those percentages to increase.

deraa 01-03-2022 05:26 PM

Low Timers
 
I’ve been flying with quite a few FOs who are moving on to Alaska. When I asked what kind of hours they had I was shocked. Some right at 2,000TT getting picked up now 😳

Barneyrubble 01-03-2022 06:31 PM


Originally Posted by deraa (Post 3346501)
I’ve been flying with quite a few FOs who are moving on to Alaska. When I asked what kind of hours they had I was shocked. Some right at 2,000TT getting picked up now 😳

Military? Other than that, I question the reliability of your post. I'm an IP and have rarely worked with anyone close to those mins.

NotTellin 01-03-2022 06:50 PM


Originally Posted by Barneyrubble (Post 3346532)
Military? Other than that, I question the reliability of your post. I'm an IP and have rarely worked with anyone close to those mins.

Don’t worry, I imagine you will be soon enough.

9mikemike 01-03-2022 07:09 PM


Originally Posted by flyprdu (Post 3346377)
I don't care how profitable the loyalty program is. Eventually if there's no destination market behind the points, people will leave. And the revenue with it.

Perhaps it's too long term for some people to imagine. Like climate change.

Not even talking about credit cards….Your last paragraph kinda says it all though doesn’t it…

cmrflyer 01-03-2022 08:17 PM

Thise numbers look so low, until you realize that idiots here walk around and pretend it’s a legacy airline. How many people at real legacy’s are actually leaving?
compare those numbers.
this place is pathetic.

NewGuy01 01-03-2022 08:45 PM


Originally Posted by cmrflyer (Post 3346565)
Thise numbers look so low, until you realize that idiots here walk around and pretend it’s a legacy airline. How many people at real legacy’s are actually leaving?
compare those numbers.
this place is pathetic.


I don’t think anyone is pretending this is a legacy after the last week.


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ForeverJunior 01-03-2022 08:52 PM

The lack of leadership at the executive level makes it painfully obvious that this airline is nowhere near a legacy. BM & JL have been in hiding. Haven't heard a peep from either one. We got one worthless E-Mail from CVM and another one from SD about a week ago - one day after the MEC sent out a comm expressing disappointment in management's mishandling the whole snow event meltdown. Angle Lake is reactive. They've always been reactive and one shouldn't expect them to change their ways. They are content with their "business plan" and they are way too stubborn to change for the better.

deraa 01-04-2022 12:59 AM


Originally Posted by NotTellin (Post 3346539)
Don’t worry, I imagine you will be soon enough.

this ^

filler

rickair7777 01-04-2022 07:35 AM


Originally Posted by cmrflyer (Post 3346565)
Thise numbers look so low, until you realize that idiots here walk around and pretend it’s a legacy airline. How many people at real legacy’s are actually leaving?
compare those numbers.
this place is pathetic.

It is a legacy, the definition is clear and simple and includes HAL and AS... grandfathered basically. All of the legacies also have regional feed. I think none of the other majors have regional feed.

Unlike the others, AS is also a niche LCC, and not a global player.

Maybe the legacy title makes some folks feel good, but it doesn't offer any extra pay or benefits :rolleyes:

Hot Dog 01-04-2022 08:38 AM

It’s a west coast Sun Country

flyprdu 01-04-2022 09:07 AM


Originally Posted by 9mikemike (Post 3346544)
Not even talking about credit cards….Your last paragraph kinda says it all though doesn’t it…

You still haven't said anything. You just mope about the inevitability of how powerless the pilots are here, which is a key ingredient in the self-fulfilling prophecy of why the pilot QOL is so substandard.

It's embarrassing.

MinRest 01-04-2022 11:36 AM


Originally Posted by Hot Dog (Post 3346753)
It’s a west coast Sun Country

No, Sun Country has a better contract.

DaGreenBanana 01-04-2022 12:48 PM


Originally Posted by MinRest (Post 3346821)
No, Sun Country has a better contract.

…until they buy you

9mikemike 01-04-2022 06:04 PM


Originally Posted by flyprdu (Post 3346764)
You still haven't said anything. You just mope about the inevitability of how powerless the pilots are here, which is a key ingredient in the self-fulfilling prophecy of why the pilot QOL is so substandard.

It's embarrassing.

Powerless has never been uttered by me…We certainly do have all the power… We certainly choose to never use it. At least you and I do. I have spent 23 years doing everything that ALPA is afraid to ask us to do. I assume that you have too…Judging by our success you and I must be the only two that do. If the other 2800 would start doing those things we would wield a large stick at the “table”. What will never get us that “stick” is pilot shortages, attrition, legacy hiring etc…For an “airline” like Alaska, those are phantom conditions that don't exist. Or at least not in the last 23 years.

Wingnutt 01-07-2022 07:32 PM


Originally Posted by Hot Dog (Post 3346753)
It’s a west coast Sun Country

This...exactely

Flaps1check 01-09-2022 06:17 AM

Is it true that we’ve had 9 pilots resign since the beginning of the year?

ForeverJunior 01-09-2022 06:59 AM


Originally Posted by Flaps1check (Post 3349377)
Is it true that we’ve had 9 pilots resign since the beginning of the year?

Yes, the number was at 9 as of January 5th.

NewGuy01 01-09-2022 07:05 AM


Originally Posted by Flaps1check (Post 3349377)
Is it true that we’ve had 9 pilots resign since the beginning of the year?


According to the podcast 9 as of January 5. Podcast was recorded the 7th. Or released the 7th. But they said in the podcast it was 9 gone for the period of January 1-5.


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rickair7777 01-09-2022 07:32 AM

May be just the beginning. Given the status quo, and hiring/retirements at the big three + FDX, the math favors leaving if you're under age 55 and are not a line-holding CA.

If you're under 40, I think the math says leave, period.

* Unless you're totally adverse to short-term furlough risk in the interest of long-term gain. Or absolutely must drive to work in PDX.

Hot Dog 01-09-2022 08:26 AM


Originally Posted by Flaps1check (Post 3349377)
Is it true that we’ve had 9 pilots resign since the beginning of the year?

It’s true, I’m one of them. Can’t wait to leave this dumpster fire regional, it was a complete waste of time. End of the month I’m done.

ForeverJunior 01-09-2022 08:28 AM


Originally Posted by Hot Dog (Post 3349482)
It’s true, I’m one of them. Can’t wait to leave this dumpster fire regional, it was a complete waste of time. End of the month I’m done.

Congrats for escaping the asylum. I'm envious.

Hot Dog 01-09-2022 08:32 AM


Originally Posted by ForeverJunior (Post 3349488)
Congrats for escaping the asylum. I'm envious.

Thanks, it wasn’t the initial plan but it’s not going to get any better any time soon (years probably). I Wish you all the best, and for those that can get out, now is the time. This is your year!!

ForeverJunior 01-09-2022 08:35 AM


Originally Posted by Hot Dog (Post 3349490)
Thanks, it wasn’t the initial plan but it’s not going to get any better any time soon (years probably). I Wish you all the best, and for those that can get out, now is the time. This is your year!!

Truth!
Only if I was 20 years younger.

Best of luck to you at your new job.

Spooledup 01-09-2022 08:37 AM

Im a line holding CA under 55 and I’m considering leaving. Pulling the trigger on a $160+/hr pay cut makes me sick though. I commute from the east coast and this airline has completely destroyed my quality of life.

Dec 15 to Jan 3 I had 1 full day at home.

If you plan on commuting at this airline, I’d seriously reconsider. My only hope is a merger with anyone other than Hawaiian. Rest assured, If I leave it will happen shortly thereafter.

NewGuy01 01-09-2022 02:04 PM


Originally Posted by rickair7777 (Post 3349427)
May be just the beginning. Given the status quo, and hiring/retirements at the big three + FDX, the math favors leaving if you're under age 55 and are not a line-holding CA.

If you're under 40, I think the math says leave, period.

* Unless you're totally adverse to short-term furlough risk in the interest of long-term gain. Or absolutely must drive to work in PDX.


Since you seem to be into math and I’ve been looking at the 2021 W2 numbers with envy:

What say you for a 45 year old with 4 years in at AS. Switching to United sometime this year?

How big will the pay hit be? How long to catch up?

Would live in base in either SEA or SFO.


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