Notices
View Poll Results: Will AA declare bankruptcy?
Yes
219
70.65%
No
91
29.35%
Voters: 310. You may not vote on this poll

Bankruptcy

Old 08-19-2022 | 11:37 AM
  #1171  
Line Holder
 
Joined: Jul 2015
Posts: 1,588
Likes: 4
From: MD-88 FO
Default

Originally Posted by thrust
So… UAL is in worse shape than AA?
Their risk of a credit downgrade is greater. That’s what that chart is showing. Fortunately for them they’re starting at a higher credit rating than American is. American is a B-. I think United was showing B+.
Reply
Old 08-19-2022 | 05:55 PM
  #1172  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Dec 2019
Posts: 2,262
Likes: 119
Default

Yes, yes…. Everyone stinks…
Reply
Old 08-20-2022 | 03:00 PM
  #1173  
Al Czervik's Avatar
You scratched my anchor
 
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 5,126
Likes: 84
Default

Originally Posted by thrust
So… UAL is in worse shape than AA?
This would put UAL above AA in debt.

https://airlineweekly.com/2022/08/un...OULh43XpuqbuX0
Reply
Old 08-20-2022 | 08:30 PM
  #1174  
Sike's Avatar
Atmospheric Penetrator
20 Years
30 Countries Visited
 
Joined: Aug 2005
Posts: 248
Likes: 1
Default

United is definitely flexing on their international expansion. However, it remains to be seen if these routes will be profitable. Overseas competitors generally offer a better product at a lower price.
Reply
Old 08-22-2022 | 10:46 PM
  #1175  
ClappedOut145's Avatar
Line Holder
 
Joined: Apr 2020
Posts: 1,132
Likes: 81
From: AOG
Default

Originally Posted by FAIPMAFIA
We all know who Dera is. He went to ATLAS and recently just got hired at United.
Dera is very much still at Atlas. The former MEC chairman recently left Atlas for UA.
Reply
Old 09-11-2022 | 01:43 AM
  #1176  
Line Holder
 
Joined: Dec 2021
Posts: 65
Likes: 0
From: Captain
Default

Can someone please shed some light as to what happened to the pilots during the 2011 bankruptcy? If AA goes bankrupt again which chapter do you think it’ll be? How will it affect the pilots? Do you see AA failing and closing its doors or will they continue to be bailed out by the government?
Reply
Old 09-11-2022 | 03:36 AM
  #1177  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Dec 2019
Posts: 2,262
Likes: 119
Default

I think most people are of the opinion that nothing would happen to the pilots in bankruptcy. AA is still has a viable business plan. Still generates cash flow and has lots of assets (yes lots tied to debt). The pilots are not overstaffed or over paid compared to the market. Just has a debt problem and incompetent management . Chapter 11 helps relieve the debt problem. Not liquidate or part out. At worst they completely dump the pension on the PBGC, but that affects less than half the pilot group. Maybe a judge forces some culling in management bloat.

Chapter 7 is on no one’s mind I know, even with a recession.
Reply
Old 09-11-2022 | 05:57 AM
  #1178  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Apr 2011
Posts: 3,490
Likes: 138
Default

Originally Posted by AllYourBaseAreB
Chapter 11 helps relieve the debt problem.
No doubt. 9B in market cap flying west lifts owners right out of the world's biggest fleet.
Reply
Old 09-11-2022 | 07:17 AM
  #1179  
JulesWinfield's Avatar
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Jan 2018
Posts: 2,835
Likes: 276
Default

Originally Posted by AllYourBaseAreB
I think most people are of the opinion that nothing would happen to the pilots in bankruptcy. AA is still has a viable business plan. Still generates cash flow and has lots of assets (yes lots tied to debt). The pilots are not overstaffed or over paid compared to the market. Just has a debt problem and incompetent management . Chapter 11 helps relieve the debt problem. Not liquidate or part out. At worst they completely dump the pension on the PBGC, but that affects less than half the pilot group. Maybe a judge forces some culling in management bloat.

Chapter 7 is on no one’s mind I know, even with a recession.
They’ve only had positive cash flow 2 out of the last 12 years.
Reply
Old 09-11-2022 | 07:41 AM
  #1180  
TransWorld's Avatar
Gets Everyday Off
 
Joined: Aug 2016
Posts: 6,995
Likes: 1
From: Fully Retired
Default

Originally Posted by JulesWinfield
They’ve only had positive cash flow 2 out of the last 12 years.
When I bought my house, I had negative cash flow that year. Was that a sign of financial weakness? I don’t think so.

Buying a bunch of new airplanes each year results in negative cash flow for those years.
Reply
Related Topics
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post
aa73
American
200
10-09-2022 08:10 AM
tuktukdriver
Major
42
11-16-2013 08:29 AM
EmbraerFlyer
Major
1
10-08-2008 10:35 AM
redbaron84
Major
1
12-25-2005 09:49 PM

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On


Thread Tools
Search this Thread
Your Privacy Choices