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Old 01-19-2016 | 06:48 PM
  #11  
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Originally Posted by ackattacker
Nailed it! Somebody buy this man a beer, and for the love of god somebody shut down this duplicate thread before the contagion spreads.
I think it'll closely resemble the AA list. Maybe not quite as severe but something like it. I really think team misfit should get the pure nic. Give them what they richly deserve and a 20 year fence in Phoenix. Since it's so great why would anyone ever want to leave?
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Old 01-19-2016 | 08:13 PM
  #12  
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I think the legacy AA guys will do the best, but still will be ****ed, because it's going to be nowhere near the 75% superiority they want. Nic, no Nic, I really don't know.
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Old 01-20-2016 | 05:25 AM
  #13  
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Originally Posted by EMBFlyer
I'm guessing the panel will issue a list comprised of some, all or none of the proposals. I'll also venture a guess that some people will be happy. Some will be ****ed and some will move on with their lives and focus on trying to fix the mess that the JCBA got us into. I'll also go on record with a guess that there is absolutely nothing the regular line pilots can do about it and posting on a message board will do nothing to aid anyone's cause.

(I'll also bet cacti and eaglefly will be along shortly to pontificate.)
Assumed the AA/US/AWA guys were all discussing on another board, because in terms of amount of poo slinging per pilot effected, this SLI hearing has to be near the bottom.
At DL/NW SLI arbitration hearings, there were daily testimony synopsis and rebuttals with rebuttals to those rebuttals.
Even the UAL/CAL merger seemed to have a more widespread contention.
Other than a handful (less than a dozen) pilots posting about hearings that will control the destiny of over 13,000 for their careers, this has been a veritable blackout.
Figured that a majority of the discussion was just taking place on a different board.
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Old 01-20-2016 | 05:41 AM
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Originally Posted by beancounter
I think the legacy AA guys will do the best, but still will be ****ed, because it's going to be nowhere near the 75% superiority they want. Nic, no Nic, I really don't know.
Wasn't 75% seniority based on a pure Nic inclusion ?

No pure Nic, no 75% "superiority" needed. Another reason I think a complete hybrid is on the way. Freund even admitted the arbs had no requirement to first merge the East/West pilots by way of the Nic as a matter of law, only because in the West's opinion it was the most fair and equitable. If not using a pure Nic provides a more fair and equitable final result and they can justify that, it may be the way to go.

If so, it would dilute all three proposals and rebalance the lists in varying degrees at different places, so no real winners or losers, except those who believe their committee's pure proposal was the only fair and equitable one.
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Old 01-20-2016 | 06:34 AM
  #15  
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Originally Posted by full of luv
Assumed the AA/US/AWA guys were all discussing on another board, because in terms of amount of poo slinging per pilot effected, this SLI hearing has to be near the bottom.
At DL/NW SLI arbitration hearings, there were daily testimony synopsis and rebuttals with rebuttals to those rebuttals.
Even the UAL/CAL merger seemed to have a more widespread contention.
Other than a handful (less than a dozen) pilots posting about hearings that will control the destiny of over 13,000 for their careers, this has been a veritable blackout.
Figured that a majority of the discussion was just taking place on a different board.
I'm sure all involved parties read their own representative's interpretations of each day's events. I have no doubt every group said, "We killed that guy on the stand today" and "the arbs totally got it when we ran through our slides". There is no such thing as a neutral party so I'm content to just let the "web experts" explain what's going to happen without responding. While I'm waiting for the results, I read the transcripts and draw my own conclusions about possible outcomes.
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Old 01-20-2016 | 07:01 AM
  #16  
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Originally Posted by flyinawa
I'm sure all involved parties read their own representative's interpretations of each day's events. I have no doubt every group said, "We killed that guy on the stand today" and "the arbs totally got it when we ran through our slides". There is no such thing as a neutral party so I'm content to just let the "web experts" explain what's going to happen without responding. While I'm waiting for the results, I read the transcripts and draw my own conclusions about possible outcomes.
Just going on transcripts myself as well. I recall reading both some East and West assessments (East reps and Leonidas), but haven't found or read specific comment by AAPSIC on their interpretations of anything outside their testimony. Have I missed something or is there comment by them somewhere in addition to the transcripts ?
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Old 01-20-2016 | 08:01 AM
  #17  
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Originally Posted by full of luv
Assumed the AA/US/AWA guys were all discussing on another board, because in terms of amount of poo slinging per pilot effected, this SLI hearing has to be near the bottom.
At DL/NW SLI arbitration hearings, there were daily testimony synopsis and rebuttals with rebuttals to those rebuttals.
Even the UAL/CAL merger seemed to have a more widespread contention.
Other than a handful (less than a dozen) pilots posting about hearings that will control the destiny of over 13,000 for their careers, this has been a veritable blackout.
Figured that a majority of the discussion was just taking place on a different board.
Most of the guys I fly with feel that the arbitrators will do what they're going to do and that the hearings where just for show. And a pretty boring show at that. So, nothing really worth talking about. Also there's no point in arguing since there's no point in changing anyone's opinion except the arbitrators, and they aren't listening to us. Some folks might have minor curiosity about how other people interpret the likely outcome, but on this board any such discussion will be quickly drowned by 2 or 3 annoying and vocal characters, so, sane people just keep quiet. It's like how that one crazy FA results in a van full of silent pilots not wanting to set anything off.
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Old 01-20-2016 | 09:37 AM
  #18  
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Originally Posted by ackattacker
Most of the guys I fly with feel that the arbitrators will do what they're going to do and that the hearings where just for show. And a pretty boring show at that. So, nothing really worth talking about. Also there's no point in arguing since there's no point in changing anyone's opinion except the arbitrators, and they aren't listening to us. Some folks might have minor curiosity about how other people interpret the likely outcome, but on this board any such discussion will be quickly drowned by 2 or 3 annoying and vocal characters, so, sane people just keep quiet. It's like how that one crazy FA results in a van full of silent pilots not wanting to set anything off.
One annoying, vocal character opined how AAPSIC was destroyed in the hearings, but alas here, just like in life, opinions vary and it is indeed a crazy world, especially that of the future AA pilot.

Within a few years, I expect this place to be certifiable. Should be an interesting show that is anything BUT boring.
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Old 01-20-2016 | 10:53 AM
  #19  
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Originally Posted by dynap09

West with the biggest gains from an individual pilot career perspective (NIC correction + merger benefits).
I seriously doubt the NIC will be used in the award. If the west is lucky, they may get some sort of credit.

AA good. I thought the AA case around pay / career expectations felt pretty strong actually. Feels like they should get credited somehow as a result.
Not sure how you cam to that conclusion. Without the merger, AA did not really have a plan B for the creditors and the plan including shrinking and furloughing. The "bankruptcy of convenience" wasn't really out of convenience but necessity. They were loosing money since '08. The Arbs in other awards already stated that career expectations outside of about 5 yrs are meaningless.

East. Still good with merger pay increases but career progression may not be as strong as others.
Had a stronger career progression that L-AA. The bottom guy hired in '13, would have progress to approx 50% seniority by 2021 based on pure retirements.

Random guess:

Longevity weighted lower than west and east to benefit AA - I'll guess 25%.
Sounds reasonable

Career expectation bonus - not 75%, but maybe 25% if used. This was AA's thing, but harder to follow technically.
Anything beyond five years is hokum.
I see career expectations to be low on the list.


No idea on the bypassed pilots. It seems weird to credit for seats not being flown by someone on a list... Interested to see where that lands. Similar with US Airways "third list" - be interesting to see how that's handled.
I see the Letter T slots being handled as furloughed and stapled to the bottom. You only get credit for what you brought to the party.


We will know in a couple of months or so.
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Old 01-20-2016 | 11:12 AM
  #20  
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So am I the only one with the bolls to make a prediction? Opening me up to ridicule once list is published? You boys are no "fun" lol
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