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Compass shut down or bough by DAL

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Old 03-23-2018, 03:02 PM
  #51  
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Originally Posted by NeverFlexTO View Post
Endeavor is starting to hire street captains/award captains out of Indoc training...and has 20 year captains in MSP on reserve. Again not sure how you’re going to staff the airplanes. The legacy ASA guys chased the planes because they stayed in ATL and there lifers, we don’t have that...

Skywest is having horrific staffing problems as well...

For those at RAH who think our guys will come there, why wouldn’t our guys just go to a spirit or frontier and be FOs rather than start back at year 1 pay? Many are starting to do that now...

I’m not buying the whole “the pilots will follow the planes” no body gives two poops about flying a 175, a majority of pilots go to an airline for QOL and where they live. You won’t sell me on the quick upgrade cause the majors are plucking FOs from regionals. If most of our guys start new at any of those places listed above, there’s a high probability they’ll have to commute from one coast to the other...not a very attractive option. So again why not a Frontier/Spirit/Allegiant and ride it out till a major calls

So again, I’ll ask whose going to fly these planes without a merger...
This 100%. That's why I'm not too worried. If there are mergers it will be because there are NOT enough pilots, not because there are NOT enough jobs. It will all work itself y'all. We are a very fortunate generation of pilots to be where we are right now. Get your time, enjoy the ride.
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Old 03-24-2018, 02:51 PM
  #52  
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Originally Posted by BobbyLeeSwagger View Post
This 100%. That's why I'm not too worried. If there are mergers it will be because there are NOT enough pilots, not because there are NOT enough jobs. It will all work itself y'all. We are a very fortunate generation of pilots to be where we are right now. Get your time, enjoy the ride.
With the current hiring and attrition at Endeavor, we have the staffing to grow by 15 to 20 planes a year. I do think it’d be smart for DL to make Compass a wholly owned again though.
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Old 03-24-2018, 03:39 PM
  #53  
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Originally Posted by NeverFlexTO View Post
Endeavor is starting to hire street captains/award captains out of Indoc training...and has 20 year captains in MSP on reserve. Again not sure how you’re going to staff the airplanes. The legacy ASA guys chased the planes because they stayed in ATL and there lifers, we don’t have that...

Skywest is having horrific staffing problems as well...

For those at RAH who think our guys will come there, why wouldn’t our guys just go to a spirit or frontier and be FOs rather than start back at year 1 pay? Many are starting to do that now...

I’m not buying the whole “the pilots will follow the planes” no body gives two poops about flying a 175, a majority of pilots go to an airline for QOL and where they live. You won’t sell me on the quick upgrade cause the majors are plucking FOs from regionals. If most of our guys start new at any of those places listed above, there’s a high probability they’ll have to commute from one coast to the other...not a very attractive option. So again why not a Frontier/Spirit/Allegiant and ride it out till a major calls

So again, I’ll ask whose going to fly these planes without a merger...
Comair and ExpressJet/ASA thought they were safe also. Never underestimate Delta or this industry for that matter. Skywest and GoJet are still attracting pilots with their subpar contracts. And if Endeavor or Republic were to get the Compass planes and open a West Coast base I think you’d see they’d be able to staff without a merger.
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Old 03-24-2018, 06:08 PM
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Originally Posted by gojo View Post
Comair and ExpressJet/ASA thought they were safe also. Never underestimate Delta or this industry for that matter. Skywest and GoJet are still attracting pilots with their subpar contracts. And if Endeavor or Republic were to get the Compass planes and open a West Coast base I think you’d see they’d be able to staff without a merger.
I suppose all things are POSSIBLE but why would they want to? They certainly don't have 400 or so E-175 type rated and line qualified pilots just sitting around, not even Republic. When a group of 650 already qualified pilots exist, why would anyone wish to spend the additional money to recreate what already exists?

Even under the best of circumstances you aren't going to get 400 people recruited, their ATP done, and through sim training without an enormous expense. While I have no idea what an E-175 sim goes for an hour, or how much it costs for instructors, or how much you spend on recruiters per new hire, the new hire salary and hotel expenses while going through training alone must be north of $20K a head, and that doesn't even count the signing bonuses that are now being given. That's an asset that in training alone is - at an absolute minimum - worth $12 million or so, and very likely double that.

And this for a group who have already 100% COMPLETED training, so you aren't going to be paying for training attrition either. Nor are you going to want to be parking dozens of aircraft while you crank 400 people through training.


Now clearly, all things are possible, and I will admit I've seen companies do stupider things, but I think what BobbyLeeSwagger posted makes more sense.
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Old 03-24-2018, 07:19 PM
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Originally Posted by Excargodog View Post
I suppose all things are POSSIBLE but why would they want to? They certainly don't have 400 or so E-175 type rated and line qualified pilots just sitting around, not even Republic. When a group of 650 already qualified pilots exist, why would anyone wish to spend the additional money to recreate what already exists?

Even under the best of circumstances you aren't going to get 400 people recruited, their ATP done, and through sim training without an enormous expense. While I have no idea what an E-175 sim goes for an hour, or how much it costs for instructors, or how much you spend on recruiters per new hire, the new hire salary and hotel expenses while going through training alone must be north of $20K a head, and that doesn't even count the signing bonuses that are now being given. That's an asset that in training alone is - at an absolute minimum - worth $12 million or so, and very likely double that.

And this for a group who have already 100% COMPLETED training, so you aren't going to be paying for training attrition either. Nor are you going to want to be parking dozens of aircraft while you crank 400 people through training.


Now clearly, all things are possible, and I will admit I've seen companies do stupider things, but I think what BobbyLeeSwagger posted makes more sense.
Although you make some good points, Delta won’t move all the airplanes at once. It’d be gradual.
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Old 03-24-2018, 08:02 PM
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Originally Posted by animation View Post
Although you make some good points, Delta won’t move all the airplanes at once. It’d be gradual.
Gradual or immediate, it doesn't change the value of the pilot group.
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Old 03-24-2018, 08:05 PM
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Originally Posted by Excargodog View Post
Gradual or immediate, it doesn't change the value of the pilot group.
It doesn't, but Comair and ASA pilots were just as valuable.
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Old 03-24-2018, 09:07 PM
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Originally Posted by mpet View Post
Were they? I don't seem to remember a pilot shortage when comair got shut down and by your logic endeavor pilots are just as valuable as comair pilots were and I'm not buying that. I also don't remember either of those pilot groups having experience on a type that endeavor is supposedly trying to add and nor was the pilot group much less expensive than current 9e pilots are nor did it have pilots out west with mx bases and FAs and sim instructors etc etc. Nobody knows what's going to happen so why speculate anyway. Where do these 9e pilots think these 36 e175s are going? None of you seem to be able to answer that yet you know everything Delta has planned?
ASA flying is being scaled back to nothing as we speak so pilot shortage is irrelevant. We've continued to have strong hiring numbers across the board so we could easily staff a gradual increase of a new fleet type. Comair flying was also dismantled over time to multiple DCI carriers. So anything is possible. 9E could cease to exist in the near future too so idk. I dont know if 9E is going to get E175s or not or where they are coming from either. Our management does seem to be pushing for it though. They seem to believe that we'd be more valuable to Delta if we could fly both CRJs and EJets.
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Old 03-24-2018, 09:49 PM
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I don't think any of us know what will happen to any regional in the next few years. If you did, you're in the wrong career because you could make a lot more money as a stock market broker with that kind of insight. There is no doubt that the regionals are going to change in the future, I I just hope we all can support each other when that happens. All this bickering about who's gonna fly what and who's company can staff better brings me down a bit. But I have this hope in the back of my head that us regional guys are starting to realize we have the upper hand and will pull each other up to finally bring an end to this subpar lifestyle that was created to lower ticket prices.
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Old 03-24-2018, 10:01 PM
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Originally Posted by poorflyer View Post
I don't think any of us know what will happen to any regional in the next few years. If you did, you're in the wrong career because you could make a lot more money as a stock market broker with that kind of insight. There is no doubt that the regionals are going to change in the future, I I just hope we all can support each other when that happens. All this bickering about who's gonna fly what and who's company can staff better brings me down a bit. But I have this hope in the back of my head that us regional guys are starting to realize we have the upper hand and will pull each other up to finally bring an end to this subpar lifestyle that was created to lower ticket prices.
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