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Old 05-26-2020, 12:29 PM
  #491  
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Originally Posted by Excargodog View Post
I said that in my second posting. In my first posting his link was nonfunctional and I simply wanted to know the source.
Sorry, I see that now! Gotcha!
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Old 05-26-2020, 01:41 PM
  #492  
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Originally Posted by CX500T View Post
Because we can see TSA Data.
Reading the tea leaves?
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Old 05-26-2020, 01:57 PM
  #493  
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Originally Posted by 305808 View Post
Why is TSA data so important when the most important factor is bookings forward. That will determine furloughs and not the TSA trends which lag the future demand picture. Load factors are more important than yields because it determines staffing in the medium term. Yields matter for the long term and are expected to be paltry until bankruptcies begin and the few strong emerge.
If we get to say 1 million by September (just throwing numbers out my ass) That would just be another aid in the forecasting of next years flying... If we're still stuck at 4-500k by September then

Also aids in our personal planning, "do I sell the farm?" "Am I ok renewing that car lease" etc etc.
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Old 05-26-2020, 03:16 PM
  #494  
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I am calling 500,000 pax as an important "achievement" level. However these numbers, however good, are just body counts and we don't know how profitable things are. But the more the merrier, obviously
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Old 05-26-2020, 03:57 PM
  #495  
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Originally Posted by senecacaptain View Post
I am calling 500,000 pax as an important "achievement" level. However these numbers, however good, are just body counts and we don't know how profitable things are. But the more the merrier, obviously

True, but without everyone including privately owned F9 just opening up their books to you, you NEVER know how profitable things are.

but I’m predicting that domestic flying will hit 90% of last year’s numbers within 30 days of the opening of certain theme parks...
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Old 05-26-2020, 04:07 PM
  #496  
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Originally Posted by Excargodog View Post
True, but without everyone including privately owned F9 just opening up their books to you, you NEVER know how profitable things are.

but I’m predicting that domestic flying will hit 90% of last year’s numbers within 30 days of the opening of certain theme parks...
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Old 05-26-2020, 04:10 PM
  #497  
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Originally Posted by Excargodog View Post
True, but without everyone including privately owned F9 just opening up their books to you, you NEVER know how profitable things are.

but I’m predicting that domestic flying will hit 90% of last year’s numbers within 30 days of the opening of certain theme parks...



Universal Studios Theme Park, FL (June 5)
Legoland (June 1)
Disney World (rumored mid-June)
Sea World (??? mid-June)

Las Vegas casinos (June 4)
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Old 05-26-2020, 04:14 PM
  #498  
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Originally Posted by Excargodog View Post
True, but without everyone including privately owned F9 just opening up their books to you, you NEVER know how profitable things are.

but I’m predicting that domestic flying will hit 90% of last year’s numbers within 30 days of the opening of certain theme parks...
Disney announced today that they will announce their opening date this week. Will probably be in the next 2-3 weeks. But will be limited and will require masks. I doubt most people will be interested in wearing a mask in 100 degree heat in 85% humidity in central Florida...Until these mask requirements go away, the parks will be ghost towns...
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Old 05-26-2020, 04:23 PM
  #499  
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Originally Posted by TaylorPilot View Post
Disney announced today that they will announce their opening date this week. Will probably be in the next 2-3 weeks. But will be limited and will require masks. I doubt most people will be interested in wearing a mask in 100 degree heat in 85% humidity in central Florida...Until these mask requirements go away, the parks will be ghost towns...
many news reports that RV's are popular this summer

https://www.travelpulse.com/news/fea...to-travel.html
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Old 05-26-2020, 06:58 PM
  #500  
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Originally Posted by TaylorPilot View Post
Disney announced today that they will announce their opening date this week. Will probably be in the next 2-3 weeks. But will be limited and will require masks. I doubt most people will be interested in wearing a mask in 100 degree heat in 85% humidity in central Florida...Until these mask requirements go away, the parks will be ghost towns...
While I personally am NO fan of the damn masks, I tolerate them, even during 6+ hours in an airline cabin during my (numerous) deadheads. I see very few people NOT wearing masks while in indoors in public. People have gotten used to them. So, with that said, I think you'll see PLENTY of families at the theme parks - even in Florida. People want OUT.
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