kingairfun

I think the people who cheer on spikes are just that jaded politically, OR don't want to come to the realization that they were very, very wrong in both the severity of Covid. And the response, which sure seems like an overreaction. It may be like finding out the voices in your head aren't really there

Anson Harris

Another prediction, based on a subjective interpretation of data. Many are just waiting to pounce on any statistical increase so that they can attribute it to relaxing the lockdown. There's no proof that one caused the other (and there never will be).

For just one example, look at the plot of New York's daily deaths. It's not a smooth curve; it has ups and downs. What causes this? Something called the "real world," which is a very complex place that resists modeling. Simplistic stats can never prove the reason why something occurs.

bradthepilot

Thanks. Will be interesting to see how this plays out.

Bozo the pilot

Take a wild guess.

DarkSideMoon

Calm down buddy, I wasn’t cheering anything on, I wasn’t the one who made the initial claim, I was just posting a source that Brad asked for.

John Carr

Same type of people that were hoping for an economic crash/depression way before the WhuFlu because they’d hope it’d be detrimental to current POTUS.

Well, I guess they kind of got their wish in the form of the economy.

Duffman

I don't think that many people are trying to sink the ship they're on. We were overdue for a healthy correction before COVID19 because it was, I think, the longest bull market in history and the entire market was overvalued. Also, I don't think anybody wants a spike in viruses. I think they just freak out when they see people doing stuff that could spread the virus and put us back to square 1. The virus isn't GOP or Dem, it doesn't care and the situation isn't just limited to the binary red or blue actions. Realistically, we shot our load on the first CARES act and Trump flat out said he's not doing another shutdown. The virus didn't go away and it likely won't without deliberate societal actions to reduce the spread, vaccinate, etc. I really hope I'm wrong and I want everyone to tell me "I told you so," but at the same time, I'm trying to be realistic.

Also, BIB is the 2x biopharma NASDAQ ETF and, for when the time comes, SPXS is the 3x short of the S&P500.

Excargodog

I didn’t say you were doing it, but some certainly are. But Even so, researching what you posted it still seems pretty bogus. Not just out of date but wrong.

In NYC with a population density of 25,000 people per square mile, it may be unusual to move someone from one hospital to the next. In that four county area in Alabama the population density is about 180 per square mile - most of that in Montgomery County, and there’s simply isn’t a hospital with an ICU on every third block. In rural Alabama a 60 mile drive for an appendicitis isn’t all that uncommon. The fact remains that at no time did Alabama even come close to having their cases exceeding their ICU bed numbers - unlike New York.

senecacaptain

thread drift alert

CAirBear

Anyhow... Does anyone have a solid Flights per day number of each airline for June and July? As someone stated earlier, the amount of Pax screened, currently, was somewhat limited because of the incredibly reduced capacity of flights.

NK we will have gone from an average of 56 a day in May to over 200 for June. July is looking at 500ish a day or, roughly 70% of our same capacity vs last summer.

What % will the Big 3 be flying June/July?