TSA Numbers
10-31-2020, 04:44 AM
#1181
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Feb 2020
Posts: 419
893K, while down from previous Friday, it is still up as % of 2019 at a robust 38%
Unfortunately, yesterday's 43% was due to last year's abnormally low Thursday (was Halloween) numbers. Maybe people are superstitious and didn't want to fly with the witches last year
Unfortunately, yesterday's 43% was due to last year's abnormally low Thursday (was Halloween) numbers. Maybe people are superstitious and didn't want to fly with the witches last year
Last edited by spirited; 10-31-2020 at 05:13 AM.
10-31-2020, 05:31 AM
#1182
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Nov 2019
Posts: 1,256
Originally Posted by spirited
893K, while down from previous Friday, it is still up as % of 2019 at a robust 38%
Unfortunately, yesterday's 43% was due to last year's abnormally low Thursday (was Halloween) numbers. Maybe people are superstitious and didn't want to fly with the witches last year
Unfortunately, yesterday's 43% was due to last year's abnormally low Thursday (was Halloween) numbers. Maybe people are superstitious and didn't want to fly with the witches last year
10-31-2020, 08:25 AM
#1183
Gets Weekends Off Rarely
Joined APC: Feb 2019
Posts: 185
Originally Posted by AirlineAnalyst
Here are the results of the projections made with October 1st data:
750K
Projection: October 3rd (+/- 1 day)
Actual: October 3rd
We achieved 752,032 on October 3rd. See italicized comment below.
7-Day Rolling Average of Passengers
Projection: October 9th (+/- 3 days)
Actual: October 9th
We achieved 794,308 on October 9th. At the time, this was a new record. See italicized comment below.
Mythical10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
Projection: October 14th (+/- 4 days)
Actual: October 12th
We achieved 35.003% on October 12th, dipped below 35% on October 13th, and returned to >35% on a 7-day rolling basis every day since October 14th.
Post-Lockdown % High
Projection: October 27th (+/- 7 days)
Actual: October 29th
We achieved 37.62% on October 29th. This a new record for our 7-day rolling average %. At no other time post lockdowns have we achieved this level over 7 days.
We have fallen lower on the rolling average number of passengers in recent days primarily due to much fewer passengers that travel during these weeks (even in normal years). This is evidenced by our new record for 7-day rolling average % but not a new record for our 7-day rolling average number of passengers.
750K
Projection: October 3rd (+/- 1 day)
Actual: October 3rd
We achieved 752,032 on October 3rd. See italicized comment below.
7-Day Rolling Average of Passengers
Projection: October 9th (+/- 3 days)
Actual: October 9th
We achieved 794,308 on October 9th. At the time, this was a new record. See italicized comment below.
Mythical
Projection: October 14th (+/- 4 days)
Actual: October 12th
We achieved 35.003% on October 12th, dipped below 35% on October 13th, and returned to >35% on a 7-day rolling basis every day since October 14th.
Post-Lockdown % High
Projection: October 27th (+/- 7 days)
Actual: October 29th
We achieved 37.62% on October 29th. This a new record for our 7-day rolling average %. At no other time post lockdowns have we achieved this level over 7 days.
We have fallen lower on the rolling average number of passengers in recent days primarily due to much fewer passengers that travel during these weeks (even in normal years). This is evidenced by our new record for 7-day rolling average % but not a new record for our 7-day rolling average number of passengers.
Great work AA! Thanks.
11-01-2020, 03:53 AM
#1184
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Feb 2020
Posts: 419
Originally Posted by spirited
893K, while down from previous Friday, it is still up as % of 2019 at a robust 38%
Unfortunately, yesterday's 43% was due to last year's abnormally low Thursday (was Halloween) numbers. Maybe people are superstitious and didn't want to fly with the witches last year
Unfortunately, yesterday's 43% was due to last year's abnormally low Thursday (was Halloween) numbers. Maybe people are superstitious and didn't want to fly with the witches last year
11-01-2020, 04:41 AM
#1185
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Nov 2016
Posts: 303
Originally Posted by spirited
so we paid for that 43% with the 34% for this year's Halloween. However, adding both days together, this year and the previous, 38.4% - 40 woulda been better, but 38.4 is not bad
11-01-2020, 11:17 AM
#1186
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Oct 2019
Posts: 391
Originally Posted by spirited
893K, while down from previous Friday, it is still up as % of 2019 at a robust 38%
Unfortunately, yesterday's 43% was due to last year's abnormally low Thursday (was Halloween) numbers. Maybe people are superstitious and didn't want to fly with the witches last year
Unfortunately, yesterday's 43% was due to last year's abnormally low Thursday (was Halloween) numbers. Maybe people are superstitious and didn't want to fly with the witches last year
11-01-2020, 01:41 PM
#1188
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Oct 2019
Posts: 391
Originally Posted by TransWorld
Looks like gaining 1% a week bodes well for my prediction of 75-80% by next summer.
11-01-2020, 04:44 PM
#1189
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Oct 2019
Posts: 1,281
Originally Posted by Soxfan1
another positive - November schedules start today, and it looks like most airlines will be running slightly more seats in the first half and even more second half vs Oct. I’m thinking we see nice solid numbers this week in that 1%-1.5% WoW YoY zone.
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post
