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Old 12-16-2020, 12:11 PM
  #331  
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Originally Posted by Gunfighter View Post
I've run into a tremendous number of "lucky" millionaires. Most of them were prepared for opportunity and knew what it was when they saw it. I've caught some great opportunities, but also missed some great ones because I didn't see them. There are numerous people, who were presented with the same opportunity (SBUX, AMZN, NFLX, 2007-2012 real estate), with access to similar financial resources, but didn't know what they were looking at.

I actually lost a friendship after handing over one such opportunity. I didn't have the financial resources and bandwidth to take on two storage facilities simultaneously, so I took the largest one I could while handing over the second. The friend passed on the deal over a 5-10% price difference, then became increasingly bitter as it became apparent he had walked away from a 7 figure payday.

Luck is often found at the intersection of Opportunity and Preparation. If you stay on Preparation Road long enough, you will reach the Opportunity intersection. It's only a matter of time.

My worst miss was Bitcoin. A friend pointed me toward it in 2011 or 2012. He wanted me to buy a thousand but I didn't really understand it and was running a business so I didn't take the time to investigate. It was trading at three bucks. That's twenty million plus today. He sold his too early but did make seven figures on the deal. I had the three thousand and could have afforded the loss.

Easy come, easy go.
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Old 12-16-2020, 12:24 PM
  #332  
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Originally Posted by TegridyFarms View Post
For starters—I have been incredibly lucky. First major investment was circa 2009 with SBUX when it was hovering around $10 and nobody would ever buy a $5 latte again. I put pretty much 80% of every penny I had to my name into that stock. That gave me a six figure starting point two years later.

Once I sold SBUX I decided that was a combination of luck and skill. I decided at that point to buy a little company that was mailing discs out called Netflix, which also doubles as my biggest regret. To the guy in this thread who said “I love stories like these, when the taxi driver starts talking about how much money he makes....” screw that.

NFLX Paid $16.02 a share and sold for $42. Had 1,200 shares. Still a nice profit. Today had I held that, those 1,200 shares alone would be worth $605,000. I fell victim to reading internet message boards on finance, listening to people say “bears make money, bulls make money, pigs get slaughtered.” Lesson learned.

Since then I have had some luck with some biotechs. Other than that I look for emerging markets/sectors/companies. WKHS, RMG, PLUG, BLINK, FCEL being just that in the EV sector. These are going to be huge going forward. I also own RIDE which I bought in the SPAC phase when it was DPHC (actually a reverse merger concept with WKHS).

Opportunities are there if you read, know what you own and go from there. I’ve made some mistakes (NFLX, FB—again sold way too soon, etc.) but that is tuition. Outside of that I have had some pretty good success and once the ball gets rolling, it becomes easier and easier. So for someone with $10,000–once you hit $25,000 that’s a big deal. Then $100k happens and from there as long as you’re disciplined and willing to stick to a plan good things happen.

Have my parents to thank honestly for seed money. They had set money aside for college for me and ended up giving me a portion of it once I got a scholarship. Best of luck Deltoids, just like our day jobs there are a million ways to do it—just be smart about it.
the resounding theme here is that the hardest part of investing is sitting on your hands and letting the companies and markets do the heavy lifting. I too have “taken profits” on positions that would be worth a life changing amount had I held them until today. But, that’s part of the journey with long term, buy and hold investing. You won’t understand it until you go through the course at HKU.

I like Tegridy’s dabbling in these EV stocks; I’ve done well trading contracts on them, but like he said the sector is HOT right now. Many have virtually zero fundamentals behind them and are nothing more than the figment of someone’s imagination (NKLA for example). These are fun to trade but 1% will live on to be the next TSLA. I wouldn’t start with them if I were building out a portfolio at this moment.

As always; NTFAFAP (Never take financial advice from a pilot)
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Old 12-16-2020, 12:52 PM
  #333  
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Originally Posted by mispoken View Post
the resounding theme here is that the hardest part of investing is sitting on your hands and letting the companies and markets do the heavy lifting.
You've identified one of the best things about real estate. The illiquidity acts as forced hand sitting.
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Old 12-16-2020, 02:00 PM
  #334  
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Originally Posted by Big E 757 View Post
I think he was joking. To only be up 10% in a hedge fund account and be up 87% in “another” account. I think he was throwing a little shade towards the investment community while subtly letting us know he has an 87% return this year on his personal trading account. Well done, JB.
It is really more like trading around a position using options, but I read about the idea in a book on hedge funds.
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Old 12-16-2020, 02:08 PM
  #335  
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Originally Posted by mispoken View Post
Options trading is a great side hustle, but definitely not for everyone.

There are lot of misconceptions out there about the risk/reward of options, and I don’t believe (if you’re serious about it) you should attempt to dispel those myths on an airline pilot forum.

My recommendation, if anyone is serious about options trading, is to start learning the tastytrade methodology. It’s a probability based method that requires you trade small and often. It’s commissions are capped at $1 to open (per contract) and $0 to close. Their platform is top notch, uptime far exceeds think or swim, interactive brokers and fidelity (I’ve used them all). Tastyworks is everything you could want for trading.

Best of all, their programming is head and shoulders better than the crap you see on CNBC. It’s educational and entertaining. They’re underdogs in options trading but they blow the competition away in every aspect. Their favorite customer are the small fish like us.

If you want to trade options with fidelity you can, you can open a margin account, but be warned their desktop platform sucks and trading via the web interface is clunky and annoyingly difficult.

Always happy to discuss options and creating your own wealth through investing be it with options or straight equities. Don’t leave it to “the experts”. You’ll probably do “ok” but it may not create the generational wealth you have in mind, if that’s a goal of yours.

EDIT;

tastyworks is the platform www.tastyworks.com
tastytrade is their “media” and education network www.tastytrade.com
imho, people way overthink options trading. All these complex options are a waste of time and limit your income. The best phrase I ever read regarding options, and it is absolutely 100% true is that 'you never make money buying anything'. Sell puts.... sell calls.... make money. dyodd, ymmv, etc etc etc
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Old 12-16-2020, 03:37 PM
  #336  
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Originally Posted by mispoken View Post
I like Tegridy’s dabbling in these EV stocks; I’ve done well trading contracts on them, but like he said the sector is HOT right now. Many have virtually zero fundamentals behind them and are nothing more than the figment of someone’s imagination (NKLA for example). These are fun to trade but 1% will live on to be the next TSLA. I wouldn’t start with them if I were building out a portfolio at this moment.

As always; NTFAFAP (Never take financial advice from a pilot)
Lol 100% agree with the last part. As far as the EV sector and particularly NKLA... that company makes zero rational sense. WKHS is one of three finalists for a $6B+ USPS market.

I’ve toured their facility. It is impressive. I’ve listed all of the hot EV sector plays I have. I funded my WKHS play with TSLA profits. Didn’t sell all my TSLA, but initially the investment began with TSLA profits. Once up ~40%... I averaged up with my own money.

USUALLY, with a spec play I will not initiate a position with more than $10,000. If my $10,000 turns to $17,000, I have no problem averaging up. Protecting the seed money is key IMO.

This is probably the best conversation I have ever read on APC. Some intelligent points in this thread.
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Old 12-16-2020, 03:59 PM
  #337  
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Originally Posted by JamesBond View Post
imho, people way overthink options trading. All these complex options are a waste of time and limit your income. The best phrase I ever read regarding options, and it is absolutely 100% true is that 'you never make money buying anything'. Sell puts.... sell calls.... make money. dyodd, ymmv, etc etc etc
That’s exactly right.

Owning the underlying stock and writing covered calls and put contracts. Especially on the weekly level or a few days out from monthly OPEX.

Another thing—back in March opportunities presented themselves that we haven’t seen in a while. There was a market wide fire sale in March.

For reference (these were purchases I made on 3/18/20).

BA 3/18/20- $100.79 Close today 12/16/20- $227.03. I sold at $177.50.

LYV 3/18/20- $25.54 (reference CEO and Mark Cuban, I am not that smart. I just followed the money). Close today 12/16/20- $73.68. (Still holding).

PTON 3/30/20- $30.00. Today’s close $133.92. (This is a grand slam—still holding).

V 3/18/20- $146.61 will hold forever. Just added at this price.

SBUX 3/18/20- $52.36. Close today $103.27. Still holding.

These types of opportunities when presented allow options traders to buy calls far out that are almost guaranteed and make thousands and thousands of dollars.

If you have the money—you buy the shares, and write contracts for some passive income as we go along. I’ve been writing puts on the above basically since acquiring/adding in March. Just a bit behind how I think and trade. Love love love talking about this ****.
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Old 12-16-2020, 04:16 PM
  #338  
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Originally Posted by Gunfighter View Post
You've identified one of the best things about real estate. The illiquidity acts as forced hand sitting.
good point; I never thought about it like that, actually.
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Old 12-16-2020, 04:20 PM
  #339  
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Originally Posted by JamesBond View Post
imho, people way overthink options trading. All these complex options are a waste of time and limit your income. The best phrase I ever read regarding options, and it is absolutely 100% true is that 'you never make money buying anything'. Sell puts.... sell calls.... make money. dyodd, ymmv, etc etc etc
yep; selling premium is the way to go. But adding a long put or call to cover the short contract to limit your downside and preserve buying power is easy to do. Managing buying power is the other half of the options battle.

One of my favorite ways to trade is around earnings due to increase volatility. Writing an iron condor or iron butterfly and targeting a 20-30% profit the day after earnings are released is pretty easy money. But, its complexity over say, a naked put, makes managing it if the stock blows out one of the short contracts a bit of a PITA.

I declare a complete deviation from the “side hustle” topic.
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Old 12-16-2020, 04:47 PM
  #340  
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Originally Posted by mispoken View Post
yep; selling premium is the way to go. But adding a long put or call to cover the short contract to limit your downside and preserve buying power is easy to do. Managing buying power is the other half of the options battle.

One of my favorite ways to trade is around earnings due to increase volatility. Writing an iron condor or iron butterfly and targeting a 20-30% profit the day after earnings are released is pretty easy money. But, its complexity over say, a naked put, makes managing it if the stock blows out one of the short contracts a bit of a PITA.

I declare a complete deviation from the “side hustle” topic.

Naked puts can kill an account, especially if you are on portfolio margin. Always use a spread on the down side.
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