A350-1000 and other Fleet News
#491
I think we are competing well with them - we're flying A330 on those routes while they are flying the A321. Our CPM has got be be low. We think we can command a revenue premium as well, and can carry a fair bit of cargo too. Plus we have feed on both ends of AMS and CDG.
#492
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Dec 2006
Position: 737 FO
Posts: 2,370
The dynamics of it? Yes. Kicking back in Corinthian leather chairs swirling thousand dollar Scotch in a snifter and lighting Ghurka Royal Courtesan's with $100 bills is fun until the money runs out and you wish you had those Billions in burnback money back and are not faced with overlapping fields of fire from redundantly irrational critical mass competitors and suddenly have to shrink to profitability again.
The so called "pilot shortage" is somewhat saving them from themselves, but its sugar high in limiting competitors growth rates will only last so long. When the next "lost decade" happens we will have to deal with uber junior ULCC's who now seat dump millions of lay flat premium seats below our costs. We can deal with them now on our terms by peeling off some profits, or we can deal with them later on their terms by surrendering marketshare to salvage yields in a crumbling revenue environment.
IMO all such attempts now should be met with crushing resistance before the cancer spreads. But that requires long term thinking and B-schools don't focus on that anymore.
The so called "pilot shortage" is somewhat saving them from themselves, but its sugar high in limiting competitors growth rates will only last so long. When the next "lost decade" happens we will have to deal with uber junior ULCC's who now seat dump millions of lay flat premium seats below our costs. We can deal with them now on our terms by peeling off some profits, or we can deal with them later on their terms by surrendering marketshare to salvage yields in a crumbling revenue environment.
IMO all such attempts now should be met with crushing resistance before the cancer spreads. But that requires long term thinking and B-schools don't focus on that anymore.
Your whole premise is based on being the smartest guy in the room, but declaring something like their lower costs doesn't make it fact.
#493
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jul 2010
Position: window seat
Posts: 12,524
They may charge less, but I'm not convinced that JetBlue has lower TATL costs than us on a seat mile basis, especially with the whole inability to carry cargo part.
Your whole premise is based on being the smartest guy in the room, but declaring something like their lower costs doesn't make it fact.
Your whole premise is based on being the smartest guy in the room, but declaring something like their lower costs doesn't make it fact.
Focusing on quarterly numbers while a competitor grows on their terms in our premium markets will prove to be a bigger mistake than paying bilions for regionals to close them, bowing down to another regional for 300M of our own money to prevent liquidation and selling off hedges right before they spiked in value.
#494
A sweetheart deal on 15-20 777X to be the U.S. launch customer would be pretty interesting.
#495
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Sep 2020
Posts: 278
#496
#497
Line Holder
Joined APC: Feb 2021
Posts: 57
Huh? That sentence is a head-scratcher. If the margin isn't there, the route isn't sustainable, and it'll disappear. Also, if your argument is that a Skyteam ticket costs too much, it seems a bit misleading to compare pricing on individual legs; real world pax flying with one of the immunized JVs are likely connecting at least once via a much deeper network than B6 alone can offer. That convenience naturally commands a premium.
Of course, each of the big 3 should be keeping a close eye on B6 and Norse/Play/et al., but so far the threat hasn't demonstrated any teeth.
Of course, each of the big 3 should be keeping a close eye on B6 and Norse/Play/et al., but so far the threat hasn't demonstrated any teeth.
Last edited by fadecfault; 04-15-2023 at 12:34 PM.
#498
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Sep 2020
Posts: 278
#499
This would be best case. Im sure the company realizes the 787 has a lot to offer. The question is does it offer any capability that the A359 lacks or more than the A339 provides, especially as a 767 replacement? Moreover, it might be the right time to throw Boeing a bone to keep Airbus in check on pricing. Many airlines operate A350s and 787s together, including our JV partners AF and VS. Plus we already have a mixed narrow body fleet, albeit much larger fleets.
#500
This would be best case. Im sure the company realizes the 787 has a lot to offer. The question is does it offer any capability that the A359 lacks or more than the A339 provides, especially as a 767 replacement? Moreover, it might be the right time to throw Boeing a bone to keep Airbus in check on pricing. Many airlines operate A350s and 787s together, including our JV partners AF and VS. Plus we already have a mixed narrow body fleet, albeit much larger fleets.