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Vsop 01-18-2023 04:36 AM


Originally Posted by PilotWombat (Post 3573806)
Overall, I like it. Questions I came up with while reading it (haven't finished the NN yet, so maybe they're answered there):
  • I'm cautious about AeroMexico, Latin America, and (now, potentially!) Canada being excluded, but as stated earlier, they're still covered by 1.E.
  • India: "Atlantic Theater" is defined as all flying west of 90*E (all of India), but "Pacific Theater" is defined by referencing 1.B.45, which states: "flying on all routes (a) across the Pacific or Arctic ocean between North America (including Hawaii), on the one hand and Asia or Oceania, on the other hand". So is India counted as Atlantic of Pacific? -
  • Block hour floors: These are nice, but what do they represent? What proportion of 2019 flying? 2022 flying? Do the hours take into account whatever growth may exist with LATAM and the new Korean Air? - Answered in the NN. 80% of 2018/19
  • As stated here, what happens when a partner starts flying NB in theaters?
  • What happens to the block hour floor during [choose your favorite global disaster here]? (I understand there's 2.X.13) "Circumstance over which the Company does not have control" excludes "the state of the economy", but that didn't age well with the Pacific hour block floor during COVID. What excuse did they use there? Why protections do we have against that here?
  • Company can add two LAX-SYD flight pairs, allowing KLM to fly three additional AMS-JFK flights. It's one downside to using BH, but I think the NC makes a good case that the upsides far outweigh that potential downside.

You bring up great points that are to me big issues with this TA. I can’t find it, but ALPA had an illustration showing how each time we lowered the floor the company found a way to fly just the floor and no more. 80% of 2019 is not enough.

Bucking Bar 01-18-2023 04:43 AM


Originally Posted by crazyjaydawg (Post 3573648)
WOW was doing LAX-KEF with a 321N prior to COVID. The airline went belly-up, but that doesn’t mean that Delta isn’t afraid to dump billions in failing carriers all while costing us jobs.

Topped off a 321N to do FLL-SEA a few days ago. Took 2 hours of moving people around the jet to get into CG limits. Of course they all ran back to FC and C+ as soon as the seatbelt sign turned off. We wrangled them back to their seats 20 minutes before TOD.

Hawaii service has been stopping in SFO for gas.

Had high hopes for these NEOs but so far it has not been a plug-n-play replacement for a 757.

Gspeed 01-18-2023 05:13 AM


Originally Posted by myrkridia (Post 3573763)
I still don't understand why supersonic aircraft from JVs are being treated as a greater threat than to our WB flying than NBs. Neither exist as viable technology but one surely seems closer than the other...

I don’t necessarily disagree, but how close are we talking? More or less than 4 years?

tcco94 01-18-2023 05:14 AM


Originally Posted by Vsop (Post 3573495)
ok. I think you might want to brush up on the 321XLR and how Airbus is advertising it to airlines. Segments like TPA-CDG, DEN-LHR are within its capabilities. I understand that on many segments a wide body aircraft will make more economic sense, but my point stands that not addressing a market trend in long range narrow bodies is an error.

And you can fly transcons in the A220. Doesn’t mean airlines are going to do it though vs profits they make using heavy metal to do it. Same applies to routes that long. At least in the states where airlines have to actually make money, no one is flying a NB DEN-LHR. Just because an airplane can do it doesn’t always mean it makes sense to do so.

Planetrain 01-18-2023 05:23 AM


Originally Posted by Vsop (Post 3573864)
You bring up great points that are to me big issues with this TA. I can’t find it, but ALPA had an illustration showing how each time we lowered the floor the company found a way to fly just the floor and no more. 80% of 2019 is not enough.

I think the theater floors are meant to make sure no one particular theater loses substantial bid packet layovers. Because of the exchange of all the other agreements for one global agreement, the company gains flexibility on how they deploy DL WB metal. We gain 1:1 growth (amongst other things).

If all the theaters dropped to the floors simultaneously, it doesn’t mean management weaseled out of the agreement. It means a 9/11 or Covid: the foreign airlines would have had to drop substantially too.

I think the practical working of the theater floors *could* more play out with one theater much higher DL metal than our partners. This puts a limit of how much flexibility we give them with layovers.

EX: Atlantic DL metal 120%, Pacific DL 80%, SA DL 110%

Planetrain 01-18-2023 05:42 AM


Originally Posted by PilotWombat (Post 3573806)
Overall, I like it. Questions I came up with while reading it (haven't finished the NN yet, so maybe they're answered there):
  • I'm cautious about AeroMexico, Latin America, and (now, potentially!) Canada being excluded, but as stated earlier, they're still covered by 1.E.
  • India: "Atlantic Theater" is defined as all flying west of 90*E (all of India), but "Pacific Theater" is defined by referencing 1.B.45, which states: "flying on all routes (a) across the Pacific or Arctic ocean between North America (including Hawaii), on the one hand and Asia or Oceania, on the other hand". So is India counted as Atlantic of Pacific? -
  • Block hour floors: These are nice, but what do they represent? What proportion of 2019 flying? 2022 flying? Do the hours take into account whatever growth may exist with LATAM and the new Korean Air? - Answered in the NN. 80% of 2018/19
  • As stated here, what happens when a partner starts flying NB in theaters?
  • What happens to the block hour floor during [choose your favorite global disaster here]? (I understand there's 2.X.13) "Circumstance over which the Company does not have control" excludes "the state of the economy", but that didn't age well with the Pacific hour block floor during COVID. What excuse did they use there? Why protections do we have against that here?
  • Company can add two LAX-SYD flight pairs, allowing KLM to fly three additional AMS-JFK flights. It's one downside to using BH, but I think the NC makes a good case that the upsides far outweigh that potential downside.

India:
“Pacific Theater” means (a) Pacific Flying, as defined by Section 1 B. 45. and 2 A. 201., (b) flying on all routes between the United States and Hawaii, and (c) flying on all routes between (i) a point in the United States, and (ii) a point that is west of longitude 145° W (excluding any points in North America) and east of longitude 90° E.

Atlantic Theater” means flying on all routes between (a) a point in the United States, and (b) a point that is east of longitude 30° W and west of longitude 90° E.

90E cuts through Bangladesh. India looks to be wholly Atlantic.

Funk 01-18-2023 05:48 AM


Originally Posted by Vsop (Post 3573860)
Funk you did a great job of explaining why the business case of hub to hub NB is hard to make. That is what I was glossing over when I said some segments favor a 350.
My worry is growth to secondary markets on a NB that we would be excluded from.

I still think the business case for NB at distance is pretty thin. It only really makes sense if you’re someone like JB, trying to get your toe in the market. The moment that JB has the steady demand and suitable airport slot, they’ll open they’re first WB route. We have enough network and market to feed those ocean crossings via WB. Neither we, nor our JVs are going to fly NB aircraft and use up a valuable airport slot anytime we can fly even the smallest WB (300ER or 787 if you’re a JV).

Vsop 01-18-2023 06:15 AM


Originally Posted by Funk (Post 3573932)
I still think the business case for NB at distance is pretty thin. It only really makes sense if you’re someone like JB, trying to get your toe in the market. The moment that JB has the steady demand and suitable airport slot, they’ll open they’re first WB route. We have enough network and market to feed those ocean crossings via WB. Neither we, nor our JVs are going to fly NB aircraft and use up a valuable airport slot anytime we can fly even the smallest WB (300ER or 787 if you’re a JV).

I don’t disagree, but how many 757s have we flown transatlantic or to South America? You have to admit that the threat of NB taking a WB spot is greater than a supersonic jet taking a spot, and we saw a need to negotiate for those.

brakechatter 01-18-2023 06:26 AM


Originally Posted by Vsop (Post 3573646)
Trip I generally like your positive outlook, but to me this oversight is egregious.

We fly a lot of random routes to CDG/AMS/LHR mostly in the sooner or later retiring 7ER that could be accomplished by our partners in an NB. Those will not count against our scope with this global agreement.

On top of that I assume that our 320 category pilots would enjoy a RDU-CDG flight every once in awhile.

All this TA needs to be a win is some sort of balanced long haul NB hours clause. To me it’s a no until it is included.

You need to read the agreement again. The Company can throw a narrow body on RDU-CDG, but it won't count towards the hours that they have to put on a wide body. Plus there is additional protections in Section 3 should they decide to send narrowbodies over the ocean on a regular basis.

PilotWombat 01-18-2023 06:47 AM


Originally Posted by Planetrain (Post 3573924)
India:
“Pacific Theater” means (a) Pacific Flying, as defined by Section 1 B. 45. and 2 A. 201., (b) flying on all routes between the United States and Hawaii, and (c) flying on all routes between (i) a point in the United States, and (ii) a point that is west of longitude 145° W (excluding any points in North America) and east of longitude 90° E.

Atlantic Theater” means flying on all routes between (a) a point in the United States, and (b) a point that is east of longitude 30° W and west of longitude 90° E.

90E cuts through Bangladesh. India looks to be wholly Atlantic.

Right...but I think most people would agree that India is in Asia, which is by definition, Pacific flying. 60*E makes more geographical sense to me, but then, nobody asked me.

In either case it gets counted as part of the total block hours, but it matters which theater it gets counted for, because that means less other flights required in that theater to meet the block floor.


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