APC Oil talk
#21
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 2,045
Likes: 257
From: A320 FO
Drill all you want the refineries in the US are not set up to refine the type of oil we have in abundance here in the US. They’re set up to refine oil from the Middle East, if they refined US oil they’d do so at a loss. That’s why we export all of our oil. But hey, pilots know everything…
Anyway where are the new AEs!?
Anyway where are the new AEs!?
#23
On Reserve

Joined: Jun 2016
Posts: 128
Likes: 6
From: Here
well sure…but also your 401k, assuming it was in an index like most people should be doing almost doubled the last four years. We also got enormous contractual gains. Most people, me included, had their salary double the last 4 years.
I think it’s a tall task for any administration to replicate how good the last four years have been for legacy airline pilots.
I hope you’re right and the next four years are even better.
However, no way are we going to see 20% returns on the S&P in perpetuity.
I think it’s a tall task for any administration to replicate how good the last four years have been for legacy airline pilots.
I hope you’re right and the next four years are even better.
However, no way are we going to see 20% returns on the S&P in perpetuity.
At Delta, a primary driver to the increase of anyones 401K in a MUTUAL FUND were company contributions, not return on investment. Not sure who you include in your generalization of "most" people, are these people who have upgraded to captain? Did they move from a regional to mainline? A significant change in salaray has been the result of a significant change of position independant of who is running the government.
A hope of perpetual returns in the stock market of anything other than the average historical norm of 10 percent 'ish is baseless strawman.
Everyone hopes the future is better. The fact is that it will be both, better and worse.
#24
Line Holder
Joined: Sep 2014
Posts: 1,407
Likes: 500
This is not reality. The last four years were most significantly impacted by what happened in 2020-COVID. An unprecedented number of senior pilots left Delta followed by unprecedented hiring, both are exclusive of who was running the administration. The salaries of all major airline pilots have been baked into the cake for decades; again, independent of administration. Your salary increases because it is contractual. That has been accellerated recently as a result of tumult caused by COVID.
At Delta, a primary driver to the increase of anyones 401K in a MUTUAL FUND were company contributions, not return on investment. Not sure who you include in your generalization of "most" people, are these people who have upgraded to captain? Did they move from a regional to mainline? A significant change in salaray has been the result of a significant change of position independant of who is running the government.
A hope of perpetual returns in the stock market of anything other than the average historical norm of 10 percent 'ish is baseless strawman.
Everyone hopes the future is better. The fact is that it will be both, better and worse.
At Delta, a primary driver to the increase of anyones 401K in a MUTUAL FUND were company contributions, not return on investment. Not sure who you include in your generalization of "most" people, are these people who have upgraded to captain? Did they move from a regional to mainline? A significant change in salaray has been the result of a significant change of position independant of who is running the government.
A hope of perpetual returns in the stock market of anything other than the average historical norm of 10 percent 'ish is baseless strawman.
Everyone hopes the future is better. The fact is that it will be both, better and worse.
All this flies in the face of the argument that “thank God ______ got elected, now things can start to get a lot better"
My point is the last four years have been a golden age of prosperity and advancement for legacy airline pilots that is unlikely to be even close to replicated regardless of who is in charge.
#25
Banned
Joined: Sep 2016
Posts: 8,831
Likes: 499
#26
Line Holder
Joined: Sep 2014
Posts: 1,407
Likes: 500
#27
Banned
Joined: Sep 2016
Posts: 8,831
Likes: 499
i am not sure forcing investment with 401ks will yield infinite growth forever. large numbers catch up to us all
#28
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Jan 2014
Posts: 2,286
Likes: 18
I think we’re kind of talking past each other. I’m not claiming what happened the last four years was because of whoever was in charge. A series of events unfolded where we got massive seniority boost, massive pay raises, and massive stock market returns. I don’t think pointing out how the market has done the last 4 years is a strawman, as everyone clings to that as an argument whenever their candidate is in charge.
All this flies in the face of the argument that “thank God ______ got elected, now things can start to get a lot better"
My point is the last four years have been a golden age of prosperity and advancement for legacy airline pilots that is unlikely to be even close to replicated regardless of who is in charge.
All this flies in the face of the argument that “thank God ______ got elected, now things can start to get a lot better"
My point is the last four years have been a golden age of prosperity and advancement for legacy airline pilots that is unlikely to be even close to replicated regardless of who is in charge.
he who controls the executive branch also controls the NMB.
With that in mind, good luck to us on our upcoming Section 6. I’ll be lol’ing at all the flight deck consternation.
#29
Line Holder
Joined: Jan 2006
Posts: 1,738
Likes: 15
Also looking at the last 4 presidential terms (using Election Day to Election Day):
From Election 2020 to 2024, the S&P was up 77%.
From Election 2016 to 2020, the S&P was up 57%
From Election 2012 to 2016, the S&P was up 48%.
From Election 2008 to 2012, the S&P was up 55%.
Oh, and both Election 2000-2004 and Election 2004-2008 were both negative!
Draw your own conclusions, but Biden, Trump, and Obama all oversaw roughly equal periods of stock market growth.
Last edited by iahflyr; 11-24-2024 at 07:35 AM.
#30
Line Holder

Joined: Feb 2020
Posts: 1,189
Likes: 327
You’re living in a fantasy world. 3 weeks after the election, the S&P 500 is at 5969. On Election Day, it closed at 5782. That’s barely up 3%. A little short term pop for sure, but I don’t expect a 1% a week increase to continue going forward. Certainly not massive amounts of newly minted millionaires.
Also looking at the last 4 presidential terms (using Election Day to Election Day):
From Election 2020 to 2024, the S&P was up 77%.
From Election 2016 to 2020, the S&P was up 57%
From Election 2012 to 2016, the S&P was up 48%.
From Election 2008 to 2012, the S&P was up 55%.
Oh, and both Election 2000-2004 and Election 2004-2008 were both negative!
Draw your own conclusions, but Biden, Trump, and Obama all oversaw roughly equal periods of stock market growth.
Also looking at the last 4 presidential terms (using Election Day to Election Day):
From Election 2020 to 2024, the S&P was up 77%.
From Election 2016 to 2020, the S&P was up 57%
From Election 2012 to 2016, the S&P was up 48%.
From Election 2008 to 2012, the S&P was up 55%.
Oh, and both Election 2000-2004 and Election 2004-2008 were both negative!
Draw your own conclusions, but Biden, Trump, and Obama all oversaw roughly equal periods of stock market growth.
But seriously, anyone who thinks the POTUS has much if any effect on the stock market, gas prices, price of eggs, etc etc in the short term is a partisan hack. Economic policies set by one administration generally have effects down the line. Deregulation of the banking industry took a long time before it caused the '08 recession.
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