Futures already down another 4% for Monday..

 

Good. This drives down inflation. The printing presses over the last 76 years needed to be tamed.

Oil is down too. 😁

 

It's over a hundred now. Use your Google-fu, it's not hard to find

Christine Lagarde is ready to talk, she said so Friday. Her statement is readily available. Let you fingers do the walking.

 

I have never met anyone with the my level of critical thinking. This means my opinions often times go against the grain.

That being said:

The country added jobs

50 countries have asked for expedited tariff negotiations

Domestic demand (except DCA) is still quite high, most foreigners don’t fly our metal anyways. It’s easier to just send pax to AMS and let them take care of the balance.

There is still a plane shortage, parking 757s would just mean furloughing and having to retrain at a later date. It would reduce substantial lift and KILL a quick recovery when this thing flashes over.

Furloughs and displacements can take 9 months, recovery takes 18 months. We are retiring 500 a year, that’s 1500 over the same time period.

Our fleet mix doesn’t make MDs efficient. We have the most diverse fleet.

How long can other countries hang onto tariffs vs the USA? Here is a hint. How many countries have trade ports on both coasts, two major oceans, a rail and highways system, colleges, energy, metals, skilled labor, education opportunities, clean air, clean water, food and an undefeated Navy to protect all that and enforce trade on the open seas? You know the answer. Trust me, most of these countries are screaming behind closed doors trying to asses how long they can economically hang on and how to exit this dilemma while saving their political butts.

My .02, you’ll be ok. You could end up stuck for a while, but not 99% system seniority for half a decade.

I think you are good to go.

Now if nukes go off in Iran and NK, AND China goes after Taiwan AND the US steps in AND Russia decides to slaughter themselves in Poland, you might end up flying CRAF as half your classmates and everyone retired with the past five years will get recalled.

 

Did your critical thinking include when those jobs were added in relation to the start of tariffs and federal layoffs?

 

It is funny to see the right wing tell me how good it is that the stock market is tanking.

6 months ago it was a different story.

At least be consistent (royal you, I have no idea what you're story is)

 

I'm not so quick to stick it to allies who have died beside my brothers.

It's a major difference between you (and yours) and me.

 

no, blanket tariffs do not drive down inflation

 

And it tanked after 9/11 for 56 days. What time frame are we looking at? Pull up every correction since .com bust. Sure NASDAQ took a decade, but everything else just goes up. People don’t have pensions, anyone remotely considering retirement is buying a business, equities or real estate. Companies and real estate is still expensive, that leaves equities.

What direction can the market move when people start piling in at 5000? Sure the hedges finally made money on a short position, but they’ll be the ones buying at the top after retail, State Street, Blackrock and Vanguard kick it back up to 6000.

DYODD

I’m actually considering leverage if we go below 5000. Buy wonderful companies at a discount.

 

Canada had the 3rd largest Navy in WWII and it's expeditionary ground forces were large enough to warrant their own beach on D-Day.

Their military contributions to Gulf War I and Gulf War II were considerably less enthusiastic.

"What have you done for me lately?" isn't kind, but it's not unfair to say that the miltary alliance of the US and Canada (visa va the former British Empire/Commonwealth), under whatever rubric/treaty/understanding you'd care to mention, definitely would suggest that the US does the heavy lifting. Rightly or wrongly.

It's not 1945, of course. But modern Canada is richer and has more men (3x more +) and GDP (12x more) to feed into the meat grinder in 2025 vs 1945; it chooses not to.

It's not unfair to notice it.