Originally Posted by sailingfun (Post 2891816)

Those growth numbers with compounding will require about 18% more pilots in the next 4 years if it’s airframes and block hours. That’s 2700 pilots on top of retirements. I suspect they were talking ASM growth. With the fleet upsizing going on that requires far fewer pilots.

Originally Posted by gzsg (Post 2896080)

How many retirements in the next 4 years Sailing? Plus 2700.

How many is that per year?

Originally Posted by DWC CAP10 USAF (Post 2896096)

2020-2024 forecast retirements due to age 65 is 2905.

2018 was 353 forecast, 473 actual, so approx 33% more than forecast.

Originally Posted by gzsg (Post 2896115)

So 6,563 new hires in 48 months.

Sailing?

Originally Posted by DWC CAP10 USAF (Post 2896096)

2020-2024 forecast retirements due to age 65 is 2905.

2018 was 353 forecast, 473 actual, so approx 33% more than forecast.

Originally Posted by DWC CAP10 USAF (Post 2896096)

2020-2024 forecast retirements due to age 65 is 2905.

2018 was 353 forecast, 473 actual, so approx 33% more than forecast.

Originally Posted by sailingfun (Post 2896366)

As each pilot leaves early he comes out of the future planned retirements. 33% May leave early in 2023 but 2023 will probably have 33% fewer forecast retirements in 2022 than today.

Originally Posted by Hillbilly (Post 2896357)

That's actually a 5 year period, so 60 months. Comes out to just over 1300 per year.

Originally Posted by RunFast (Post 2896677)

Any suggestions?