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Old 12-07-2016, 07:07 AM
  #451  
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Originally Posted by Elliot View Post
Why the drama? Is the outlook of your "safe space" in jeopardy since the person who suffocated business/economy has only a month left in public housing?

I've worked in safety for almost ten years. It's possible for an experienced crew to have just as high of an Operational Risk Management (ORM) score as a junior/less experienced crew. (e.g. C-5 crash at Dover, with two IP's & an EP.)

Whaat? Dang, you worked a bunch o' crap into that short post. A dig at millennials; a dig at democrats w/a possible racist dig at blacks w/the public housing comment and then a chest thump w/a dig at the AF and experienced pilots in general. I give it a 9.75 on the BOC meter.
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Old 12-07-2016, 07:07 AM
  #452  
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Originally Posted by Tanker1497 View Post
ORM...there's a real solid safety tool. We used it, right up until we couldn't use it and fly!
Not really the point. Experienced crews are as accident prone, in separate areas, as less experienced crews.

Also, your D.O. or scheduling shop has an issue if you need to avoid ORM to perform the mission! Let me guess, Active Duty?
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Old 12-07-2016, 07:08 AM
  #453  
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Originally Posted by CheapTrick View Post
Whaat? Dang, you worked a bunch o' crap into that short post. A dig at millennials; a dig at democrats w/a possible racist dig at blacks w/the public housing comment and then a chest thump w/a dig at the AF and experienced pilots in general. I give it a 9.75 on the BOC meter.
Wow, you're sensitive? I never realized that a certain group were the only ones living in public housing? (Never anything close to a racist comment.)
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Old 12-07-2016, 07:11 AM
  #454  
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Originally Posted by Elliot View Post


Not really the point. Experienced crews are as accident prone, in separate areas, as less experienced crews.

Also, your D.O. or scheduling shop has an issue if you need to avoid ORM to perform the mission! Let me guess, Active Duty?
I agree totally with you on the experience point you were making. There but for the Grace of God, right? As to the OPR, believe it or not, I was Guard! Our unit really leaned forward to get er done, OPR be damned at times. It wasn't that way until my last five years of 20.
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Old 12-07-2016, 07:12 AM
  #455  
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Originally Posted by Elliot View Post
Why the drama? Is the outlook of your "safe space" in jeopardy since the person who suffocated business/economy has only a month left in public housing?

I've worked in safety for almost ten years. It's possible for an experienced crew to have just as high of an Operational Risk Management (ORM) score as a junior/less experienced crew. (e.g. C-5 crash at Dover, with two IP's & an EP.)
I've known many an ignoramus with a decade of experience in their given fields. If you see drama in my post, or think my interest in preserving an exceptional safety record has anything to do with one's "safe space", I pity your inability to think critically.

If you understand ORM in aviation, you know there is an inverse correlation between risk levels and experience in type, especially in the first 500 hours. A particularly unforgiving aircraft like the MD88 (and unpredictable avionics like those in the Chinese-operated 90s) will exacerbate challenges...your hyperbole aside.

Sure, experienced crews can bring elevated ORM levels to any operation. But on average over thousands of operations in any given month, less experienced crews (and captains) will bring more risk. If you disagree, perhaps we should mask flying experience in Airline Apps?
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Old 12-07-2016, 07:14 AM
  #456  
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Originally Posted by motof16 View Post
It's seems like we're missing the real driver of the junior A positions being given out. It's not retirements, aircraft movements, or hiring. It's the senior FOs, many of whom experienced REAL stagnation (5-7 years M88B as the plug), are now above 50% seniority in their category. They get weekends, holidays, green slips, LCA trip buys, and the schedule they want. They are royalty of their category and the last two years have seen their QOL accelerate rapidly!

When I ask them why they aren't bidding the left seat I get two answers: 1) Not until I can make more money over there, 2) Not until I can hold a line consistently. Every one of them has a bid in for left seat but with a caveat for a certain seniority or line.

Thusly and forsooth, demand for the left seat bottom 15% will remain steady while the supply of "seniority appropriate" FOs will be very low. I predict we will see M88A and 717A positions go VERY junior for the next 2-3 years until 2014+ hires occupy the bottom of each category to meet the threshold set by the senior FOs.
Bingo. Most of the civilians hired in the 2000s both before and after 9/11 had years of left seat jet time. That fourth stripe was never going to be the carrot. Most military pilots hired were ACs or single seaters. When hiring resumed the +1 was in effect. (IP, LCA, CP, MA, PHD etc.) You climb the ladder once to find out what's at the top. The second time you are looking for the best rung for QOL and pay.
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Old 12-07-2016, 07:25 AM
  #457  
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Originally Posted by TED74 View Post
I've known many an ignoramus with a decade of experience in their given fields. If you see drama in my post, or think my interest in preserving an exceptional safety record has anything to do with one's "safe space", I pity your inability to think critically.
Your original post didn't sound like "critical thought" it sounded as though you were bringing up the (age old) argument of limiting progression due to a perceived level of experience, or lack thereof.

Critical thought isn't just asking questions, it's asking the "right" questions in a thoughtful manner.


Originally Posted by TED74 View Post
If you understand ORM in aviation, you know there is an inverse correlation between risk levels and experience in type, especially in the first 500 hours. A particularly unforgiving aircraft like the MD88 (and unpredictable avionics like those in the Chinese-operated 90s) will exacerbate challenges...your hyperbole aside.
RE: ORM. You reference two separate measurements. One, an ORM score which is COMPLETELY subjective based on the unit and individual's input. Two, accident analysis derived from a imperfect data.
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Old 12-07-2016, 07:49 AM
  #458  
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so... Back on topic... Anyone know when the class dates will be for next year? Are they expecting classes every Monday?
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Old 12-07-2016, 07:57 AM
  #459  
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Originally Posted by Elliot View Post

Critical thought isn't just asking questions, it's asking the "right" questions in a thoughtful manner.
You mean like this?

Originally Posted by Elliot View Post
Why the drama? Is the outlook of your "safe space" in jeopardy since the person who suffocated business/economy has only a month left in public housing?
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Old 12-07-2016, 08:00 AM
  #460  
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Originally Posted by Machnumber View Post
so... Back on topic... Anyone know when the class dates will be for next year? Are they expecting classes every Monday?
have buddies in both the Jan 3 and Jan 9 classes
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