Originally Posted by But seriously (Post 2979425)

All of the math is an estimate at best, and more likely a WAG. There are two huge unknown factors:

1. Outside Attrition - it’s hardly useful to use the past as a predictive tool considering what everyone anticipates the Legacy hiring to be over the next few years

2. The Flow Agreements - There is not a single pilot who has flowed to AA under an agreement that was in place when they were hired (at least in the last 20 years). The flow agreement staying constant for 5 years is extremely unlikely.

Originally Posted by shinydiscoballs (Post 2979476)

Keep Calm the Union is at it, and will share the facts! ;)

Originally Posted by Chato (Post 2971686)

my theory is that the company asked ALPA to stop updating the interactive seniority list with estimated flow dates probably cause they showed 8+ years to flow and this hurts recruiting. Now everyone has to do their own math and figure out when they’ll likely flow.

Originally Posted by Pedro4President (Post 2979606)

Our MEC just put out a list two weeks prior to your comment and just updated it today with expected flow dates.

Originally Posted by Cujo665 (Post 2977542)

when I say this time next year finishing probation will get you to a decent ACMI or a major... that’s the majors, not legacies. Places like Jetblue, Spirit, Frontier. 2-4 years will be legacy material. A 5.5-6 year flow will only be people with no degree, only want AA and are to lazy to fight for the front door..

Originally Posted by itsmytime (Post 2979621)

this is already happening. A buddy of mine is still on IOE at a regional, and already has an interview with one of the three you mentioned.

Originally Posted by Chato (Post 2979619)

yeah somebody had asked about a month ago if they were going to release an updated one, and at that point they said no more. I guess they changed their mind

Originally Posted by itsmytime (Post 2979621)

this is already happening. A buddy of mine is still on IOE at a regional, and already has an interview with one of the three you mentioned.

Originally Posted by tommy2times (Post 2979656)

I reckon they didn’t enjoy sitting at the airport for 8 hours at a time and then getting a call in the last 5 minutes of it to do a long turn because it is legal.