CPP
08-18-2018, 02:11 PM
#5
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: May 2017
Position: Reverse Cowgirl
Posts: 418
Originally Posted by Blackhawk
Wow. Thirteen years.
Well, at 19+ years I guess I can’t say much.
Well, at 19+ years I guess I can’t say much.
08-18-2018, 02:31 PM
#6
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Sep 2014
Posts: 828
Originally Posted by PontiusPilot
It won't be taking 13 years for people at the bottom end of the pool. The "flow" time will likely go down to around 4-5 years in 2020.
With hiring at UAL at its current pace I would predict a new hire could be at United in 3-4 years. There are not that many in the CPP pool. We all know that hiring rate could change up or down very quickly!
08-18-2018, 06:10 PM
#8
Gets Everyday Off
Joined APC: Aug 2016
Position: Relaxed
Posts: 6,949
Originally Posted by PontiusPilot
It won't be taking 13 years for people at the bottom end of the pool. The "flow" time will likely go down to around 4-5 years in 2020.
Because there is a gap of few hires until 2014. I said just a few years ago they were flowing 25 year Envoy Pilots. If today they told a new hire 25 years it would be laughable.
My example with Envoy was if flow was 300 a year and hires in the flowing year were 100, they would flow through a couple or three years in a year of flows. Then, when they hit 2014/2015 hires there are a lot more of that DOH.
Hiring by the majors is going to increase over the next handful of years. So numbers quoted are probably not too far off. Of course, hiring will be so rapid then that flows will not mean much in a few years.
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