LOA17 is out
#361
#362
Line Holder
Joined APC: Mar 2022
Posts: 43
Please point out what exactly you belief solidifies your belief that 1f7 is gone? What the hell kind of assumption is that, he, the arbiter, would not have forced mediation? Third round of an federal arbitration for me and it has always gone to mediation.
#363
You’ve read the motion to dismiss, right? There’s no refutation that this is a JV, the company lawyers cite a bunch of case law specific to JVs, and even seek protections that that are afforded to JVs. All they say is that it isn’t a merger.
#364
If this LOA passes, here are everyone’s takeaways:
Company - They can violate the contract at will, drag it out in court, and at the last possible moment throw out a bone to the MEC. The MEC will send it right to the membership for ratification, and even help sell it as a great deal with no downsides. Not only will the pilots settle for a small percentage of their actual damages, they’ll also vote to change the contract and let the violation continue indefinitely.
MEC/NC - The company will open with a low bid, and stay low. Don’t expect to gain more than about 1% even after a years worth of negotiations. When the company says something is off the table, believe them. Even when the pilots say no, they mean yes; they just want reassuring and maybe an extra one percent so they can feel like they are in control.
The membership - Always vote yes for the first offer. By the time it goes out for ratification the MEC has already decided there are no crumbs left to ask for. A no vote will not lead to a better offer.
Company - They can violate the contract at will, drag it out in court, and at the last possible moment throw out a bone to the MEC. The MEC will send it right to the membership for ratification, and even help sell it as a great deal with no downsides. Not only will the pilots settle for a small percentage of their actual damages, they’ll also vote to change the contract and let the violation continue indefinitely.
MEC/NC - The company will open with a low bid, and stay low. Don’t expect to gain more than about 1% even after a years worth of negotiations. When the company says something is off the table, believe them. Even when the pilots say no, they mean yes; they just want reassuring and maybe an extra one percent so they can feel like they are in control.
The membership - Always vote yes for the first offer. By the time it goes out for ratification the MEC has already decided there are no crumbs left to ask for. A no vote will not lead to a better offer.
Everybody should read through this. https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justi...n-airlines-and
The actual PDF of the lawsuit is pretty eye opening. The control AA can exert over JB, not just with regards to northeast flying, is not ideal.
The way the JV is structured, jetblue is disincentivized to launch its own trans-Atlantic flights, certainly with anything larger than a 321. JetBlue pulls revenue from AA flying 777s to LHR. JetBlue pilots get nothing from that. JetBlue gets revenue from a republic E175 flying an NEA flight under a CPA with AA. What do you think will happen when JetBlue’s smallest airplane is a 140 seater optimized for flights 2+ hours. Do we really think we will continue to fly short stuff on our metal once the RJ economics get better and the pilot shortage evens out? Our growth metrics in the LOA are a joke.
Without 1F8 relief, the NEA is at risk, and some of our best growth possibilities (WB international) are gone. They say only the 1F8 stuff is at risk, but really, is AA going to want to continue the NEA if they don’t get to feed their international? That’s the whole point of the NEA. And if 1F7 gets ruled in ALPAs favor….hooooboy the NEA is done. Either way, the company (really both AA and B6) won’t allow the NEA to not happen. They will ask for more relief and offer more, whether it’s 1F7 and 1F8 or just 1F8.
Remember, Chris Kenney put out an email 2/14/21 saying this is the end of the road there’s nothing left and it will be scary if we vote no. Here we are again 13 months later in the same spot. We have leverage. And this isn’t good for us regardless. We give this huge JV relief for a decade to partner with the largest carrier in the world and give jetblue the ability to pull revenue from both widebody international AND capacity purchase agreement RJs, while simultaneously getting rid of e190s, just think about how this COULD turn out in 3-5-7 years. Not saying it will. Right now the economics favor us getting AA’s slots in NYC. AA can exert a lot of control over JB around the entire JB network with this arrangement. The fact that B6ALPA thinks they have the nuclear option to shut this down with the LOA17 language is laughable.
Vote no. It’s the only logical vote. Protect jobs. These “collars” and weak LOAs don’t protect jobs. Chris Kenney doesn’t protect jobs. Selling scope relief for 3% and a few grand doesn’t protect jobs.
The actual PDF of the lawsuit is pretty eye opening. The control AA can exert over JB, not just with regards to northeast flying, is not ideal.
The way the JV is structured, jetblue is disincentivized to launch its own trans-Atlantic flights, certainly with anything larger than a 321. JetBlue pulls revenue from AA flying 777s to LHR. JetBlue pilots get nothing from that. JetBlue gets revenue from a republic E175 flying an NEA flight under a CPA with AA. What do you think will happen when JetBlue’s smallest airplane is a 140 seater optimized for flights 2+ hours. Do we really think we will continue to fly short stuff on our metal once the RJ economics get better and the pilot shortage evens out? Our growth metrics in the LOA are a joke.
Without 1F8 relief, the NEA is at risk, and some of our best growth possibilities (WB international) are gone. They say only the 1F8 stuff is at risk, but really, is AA going to want to continue the NEA if they don’t get to feed their international? That’s the whole point of the NEA. And if 1F7 gets ruled in ALPAs favor….hooooboy the NEA is done. Either way, the company (really both AA and B6) won’t allow the NEA to not happen. They will ask for more relief and offer more, whether it’s 1F7 and 1F8 or just 1F8.
Remember, Chris Kenney put out an email 2/14/21 saying this is the end of the road there’s nothing left and it will be scary if we vote no. Here we are again 13 months later in the same spot. We have leverage. And this isn’t good for us regardless. We give this huge JV relief for a decade to partner with the largest carrier in the world and give jetblue the ability to pull revenue from both widebody international AND capacity purchase agreement RJs, while simultaneously getting rid of e190s, just think about how this COULD turn out in 3-5-7 years. Not saying it will. Right now the economics favor us getting AA’s slots in NYC. AA can exert a lot of control over JB around the entire JB network with this arrangement. The fact that B6ALPA thinks they have the nuclear option to shut this down with the LOA17 language is laughable.
Vote no. It’s the only logical vote. Protect jobs. These “collars” and weak LOAs don’t protect jobs. Chris Kenney doesn’t protect jobs. Selling scope relief for 3% and a few grand doesn’t protect jobs.
I wish I could mass-email it to the pilot group.
#365
The REAL Bluedriver
Joined APC: Sep 2011
Position: Airbus Capt
Posts: 6,881
Even if we lose 1F7, which is not a foregone conclusion, the NEA probably makes no sense for AA without 1F8. 1F8 is focus city to international within the range of an LR, and soon an XLR. That's a LOT more than 9 routes, it's almost all the important international routes AA wants JB to feed. It is critical. It is basically the reason for the NEA, for AA. It might also put most of JB's future transatlantic growth at risk of being rethought.
#366
The REAL Bluedriver
Joined APC: Sep 2011
Position: Airbus Capt
Posts: 6,881
#368
In a land of unicorns
Joined APC: Apr 2014
Position: Whale FO
Posts: 6,471
The camel got its nose in the tent with LOA 12 and the creation of the NEA. The company's greed and disregard for us pilots tried to wiggle it in farther. While far from perfect, LOA 17 stops it from going any further, ties the company's hands more with the new collars for the whole NEA, and gives us pilots the ability to kill the NEA in eight years just by withholding consent for it to continue. That's an eternity from now, but it's an expiration date for temporary scope relief that could give us a huge amount of leverage should the company need it to continue. That's no guarantee, but neither was Delta's profit sharing when it began.
That is why LOAs are dangerous, their enforcement depends on what was said during the bargaining process, and that is not visible to the voting pilots. At my previous shop, we lost an arbitration over a line that was highlighted green on an email sent 3 years ago. CBA language is generally much easier to protect, because the idea of NEA likely did not exist when your scope clause was discussed, and thus they can't find anything suggesting that this kind of deal should be allowed.
#369
Line Holder
Joined APC: Nov 2013
Position: A320 Captain
Posts: 61
Voting results should be posted tomorrow afternoon.
A NO vote leads to a ruling from the arbitrator, which most likely results in protecting and upholding 1.F.8
1.F.8 is the crux of the NEA
A NO vote brings tremendous leverage to the pilot group.
Or, just vote yes, take the cash and close your eyes
A NO vote leads to a ruling from the arbitrator, which most likely results in protecting and upholding 1.F.8
1.F.8 is the crux of the NEA
A NO vote brings tremendous leverage to the pilot group.
Or, just vote yes, take the cash and close your eyes