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-   -   F9/NK rises like a Phoenix (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/jetblue/148485-f9-nk-rises-like-phoenix.html)

Ordie17 10-24-2024 05:06 AM


Originally Posted by APCHCLIMB (Post 3846790)
the real question is, are JB’s problems going away anytime soon?

Everyone is waiting for your answer.

Don't know who they is, but they'll be waiting a while. I just fly planes

Roy Biggins 10-24-2024 09:29 AM

F9 and Spirit need each other. I feel bad for what Spirit has been put through. I could give 2 sh!ts about Frontier. If that merger was approved, it would certainly pave the way for an LCC merger. Consolidation to scale is going to be necessary going forward. There's just no getting around that.

Aviatormar 10-24-2024 10:01 AM


Originally Posted by Roy Biggins (Post 3847098)
F9 and Spirit need each other. I feel bad for what Spirit has been put through. I could give 2 sh!ts about Frontier. If that merger was approved, it would certainly pave the way for an LCC merger. Consolidation to scale is going to be necessary going forward. There's just no getting around that.

Huh? How do we need each other? Our financials come out this week, and we are going to show some decent results. I know, I know... we look the same on the outside, but I can assure you we are VASTLY different airlines on the inside.

GrayFlyer 10-24-2024 11:38 AM


Originally Posted by Aviatormar (Post 3847105)
Huh? How do we need each other? Our financials come out this week, and we are going to show some decent results. I know, I know... we look the same on the outside, but I can assure you we are VASTLY different airlines on the inside.

He's saying you need economy of scale going forward to compete against airlines which have 1000 planes. Just like the rest of us.

Bluediver 10-24-2024 11:58 AM


Originally Posted by Flyby1206 (Post 3846866)
Fair point, that’s more of a management/shareholder concern so we can get a better price in the merger and/or the JB C-suite can have a job in the new company.

https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-and-department-transportation-launch-broad-public-inquiry-state

YOU SHALL NOT PASS!

Flyby1206 10-24-2024 12:07 PM

Man… what the F

Bluediver 10-24-2024 12:58 PM


Originally Posted by Flyby1206 (Post 3847148)
Man… what the F

. I think the former leader at JB pi$$3d in someone’s cheerios.

Flyby1206 10-24-2024 02:19 PM


Originally Posted by Bluediver (Post 3847176)
. I think the former leader at JB pi$$3d in someone’s cheerios.

Quite possible. I was thinking Buttigieg wants to make a name for himself for another presidential run in 2028. Hedging his bets by making moves now vs after Election Day.

Supermid 10-24-2024 04:29 PM

What a colossal waste of taxpayer money.

Bgood 10-24-2024 06:44 PM


Originally Posted by GrayFlyer (Post 3847138)
He's saying you need economy of scale going forward to compete against airlines which have 1000 planes. Just like the rest of us.

I'd agree with this. If F9NK happens, they will be around the size of B6. This is not considering:

1. The reductions NK is doing with selling airframes to raise liquidity, mostly recently the announcement of selling 23 more frames today.

2. The attritions at NK that are waiting to happen as soon as the other guys start pumping up hiring again.

3. The unfortunate furloughs(hope this turns into just attrition to the legacies).

It also depends on what is done with the future airframes on the order book for F9 and NK. But either way, the combination wouldn't even be big enough to trouble SWA. That's just how big UAL, AA, DAL, and SWA is. Which is why I agree with GrayFlyer statement.

What are the current number of airframes at F9 and NK and what does the future order book for both look like? I remember some deferment happened at NK for airframes. Only looking at APC numbers, I came up with under 300 airframes combined between F9 and NK(subtracting the 23 airframes[does this include some 319s?] from NK and their 319s).

As of today, B6 is a little over 300 airframes. I didnt subtract AOG from any of the 3 mentioned Airlines for Neo issues. Majority of our (B6) 321neos has been deferred to 2029. We will only be getting A220s (27 this year, roughly 20 each year afterwards) and about 5 321 neos next year (2 of which is XLR). We will still net a slight growth in airframes each year as we get rid of the 190s (by Sept 2025), but not too big.


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