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Old 04-17-2015, 05:30 PM
  #4431  
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Originally Posted by aewanabe View Post
S

Deliveries looking forward: 2015, 12 with 5 already here; 2016, 10; 2017, 10; 2018, 6; 2019, 15; 2020, 15; 2021, 16 and 2022, 16. All deliveries from now until 2019 are 321 CEOs (legacy engines). 2018 is 5 321 CEOs and the first 320 NEO. All deliveries after 2018 are 320 NEO, with the first jet built in Mobile slated to come to JetBlue. No current orders for 321NEO/LR, but the thought is that will be next. 330s well off in the distance, at least 5 years due to the initial investment to make a viable fleet size.
Are the yearly increases in the aircraft been about standard from the last couple of years? Or are those numbers bigger? Reason I ask is assuming about 12 pilots per plane that would be averaging 120+ new hires a year per plane (which I figure they are taking that into account with the 300? I am still learning all this. I am currently in phase 2 of the hiring process and looking forward to all the potential growth.

Last edited by OVBIII; 04-17-2015 at 05:32 PM. Reason: Updated explanation
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Old 04-17-2015, 06:55 PM
  #4432  
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Originally Posted by aewanabe View Post
Some numbers from today's leadership briefing at Recurrent, for those of you interested: hiring for the year projected at 300, with 100 of those already in class or on property. We've forecasted attrition at 130 for the year, with the current number tracking that exactly. The 300 number takes the attrition into account, with the vast majority being years 1-3 bailing for the big 3. No E190 deliveries until 2021, which will be E2 versions if at all. Leadership feeling is we probably won't end up taking those. If we do it will be to replace older jets and keep the fleet count level at 60. Based on our experience as the 190 launch customer we won't take E2s without seeing someone else have success with them first.

Deliveries looking forward: 2015, 12 with 5 already here; 2016, 10; 2017, 10; 2018, 6; 2019, 15; 2020, 15; 2021, 16 and 2022, 16. All deliveries from now until 2019 are 321 CEOs (legacy engines). 2018 is 5 321 CEOs and the first 320 NEO. All deliveries after 2018 are 320 NEO, with the first jet built in Mobile slated to come to JetBlue. No current orders for 321NEO/LR, but the thought is that will be next. 330s well off in the distance, at least 5 years due to the initial investment to make a viable fleet size.

Since this info comes from our official leadership briefing it is, of course, subject to change at a moment's notice. Hope this helps and good luck to those of you trying to come here.
Thanks for the info- hope the growth continues here.
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Old 04-17-2015, 07:09 PM
  #4433  
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Originally Posted by OVBIII View Post
Are the yearly increases in the aircraft been about standard from the last couple of years? Or are those numbers bigger? Reason I ask is assuming about 12 pilots per plane that would be averaging 120+ new hires a year per plane (which I figure they are taking that into account with the 300? I am still learning all this. I am currently in phase 2 of the hiring process and looking forward to all the potential growth.
We staff at 14 pilots/jet, so 14x12 equals 168 for growth plus 130 for attrition equals 300 for the year (298 for non-pilot math). 100 of those are here already so 200 more to go for the year. Next year is 10 deliveries so 140 pilots behind you next year not counting attrition (retirements, which are single-digit for the year, plus guys leaving for elsewhere which will continue to be 100-150 as long as the big 3 keep hiring big numbers). Make more sense now? Congrats on phase 2 and we hope to welcome you aboard soon!

As far as the actual delivery numbers go, the curve has been flattened a bit. Previously we were expecting 18 jets this year and next which were making both Wall St and our CFO nervous with the capacity expansion and capital expenditures that would have been required. So by taking 12 for now we've pushed the back end of our current planned deliveries out by a few years. Clear as mud?
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Old 04-17-2015, 07:57 PM
  #4434  
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Originally Posted by aewanabe View Post
We staff at 14 pilots/jet, so 14x12 equals 168 for growth plus 130 for attrition equals 300 for the year (298 for non-pilot math). 100 of those are here already so 200 more to go for the year. Next year is 10 deliveries so 140 pilots behind you next year not counting attrition (retirements, which are single-digit for the year, plus guys leaving for elsewhere which will continue to be 100-150 as long as the big 3 keep hiring big numbers). Make more sense now? Congrats on phase 2 and we hope to welcome you aboard soon!

As far as the actual delivery numbers go, the curve has been flattened a bit. Previously we were expecting 18 jets this year and next which were making both Wall St and our CFO nervous with the capacity expansion and capital expenditures that would have been required. So by taking 12 for now we've pushed the back end of our current planned deliveries out by a few years. Clear as mud?
Our CFO is always nervous

I do wonder what they will replace the 60 190s with?
Go with an all Airbus fleet? Farm it out? Fly them till they die?( that won't take long)
We need the 100 seat plane (IMO) I guess we will soon find out.


I remember last year we got a brief like that, next day they deferred some of the planes. Talk about OSC and LSC not talking to each other.

Last edited by pilotpayne; 04-17-2015 at 08:20 PM.
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Old 04-17-2015, 09:26 PM
  #4435  
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Originally Posted by aewanabe View Post
Some numbers from today's leadership briefing at Recurrent, for those of you interested: hiring for the year projected at 300, with 100 of those already in class or on property. We've forecasted attrition at 130 for the year, with the current number tracking that exactly. The 300 number takes the attrition into account, with the vast majority being years 1-3 bailing for the big 3. No E190 deliveries until 2021, which will be E2 versions if at all. Leadership feeling is we probably won't end up taking those. If we do it will be to replace older jets and keep the fleet count level at 60. Based on our experience as the 190 launch customer we won't take E2s without seeing someone else have success with them first.

Deliveries looking forward: 2015, 12 with 5 already here; 2016, 10; 2017, 10; 2018, 6; 2019, 15; 2020, 15; 2021, 16 and 2022, 16. All deliveries from now until 2019 are 321 CEOs (legacy engines). 2018 is 5 321 CEOs and the first 320 NEO. All deliveries after 2018 are 320 NEO, with the first jet built in Mobile slated to come to JetBlue. No current orders for 321NEO/LR, but the thought is that will be next. 330s well off in the distance, at least 5 years due to the initial investment to make a viable fleet size.

Since this info comes from our official leadership briefing it is, of course, subject to change at a moment's notice. Hope this helps and good luck to those of you trying to come here.
Thank you very much for this post!

Based on this information, do you believe the relatively quick upgrades will stick around for guys hired soon?
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Old 04-18-2015, 02:33 AM
  #4436  
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Thanks again for answering my questions. I am really hoping my phase 2 goes well!
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Old 04-18-2015, 05:24 AM
  #4437  
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Originally Posted by Snickers View Post
Thank you very much for this post!



Based on this information, do you believe the relatively quick upgrades will stick around for guys hired soon?

It's really hard to say. If we get a CBA in 2 years that fixes reserve, and increases pay the guys holding off for quality of life may decide to bid over. That will push captain far more senior.
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Old 04-18-2015, 10:49 AM
  #4438  
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Originally Posted by Snickers View Post
Thank you very much for this post!

Based on this information, do you believe the relatively quick upgrades will stick around for guys hired soon?
I'll echo what Southerner said. Reserve can be pretty onerous for commuters, so Captain tends to go more junior than would be natural otherwise. For perspective, I've been here 8 years and am still very junior on the 190 in BOS, including the random involuntary reserve stint. It's only tolerable because I live in base, IME. The guys holding CA at 2-4 years are gonna be junior a long time, I think.
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Old 04-21-2015, 05:03 PM
  #4439  
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very happy to have been called for the May 13 new hire class I hear it's going to be the biggest of the year.

Can anyone give more insight on the training schedules lately at the lodge? People going home weekends? Large breaks? Still get to bid on said schedule based on seniority? (Take breaks or get through faster) good food?

Any info would be great can't wait to start!
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Old 04-21-2015, 05:40 PM
  #4440  
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Originally Posted by Pitchtrip83 View Post
very happy to have been called for the May 13 new hire class I hear it's going to be the biggest of the year.

Can anyone give more insight on the training schedules lately at the lodge? People going home weekends? Large breaks? Still get to bid on said schedule based on seniority? (Take breaks or get through faster) good food?

Any info would be great can't wait to start!
Some get 10 day breaks after indoc, some don't. Breaks are bid on at same time as aircraft bid. April 1 class breaks went to the Junior guys (no one really wanted the break) but word is that most classes the breaks go senior.

Several 2-2.5 day breaks throughout training. Not a great idea to go home until after the P phase unless you are smarter than the average bear. Between P and M phase seems to be a decent time to venture home but only two weeks remain in training at that point.

Food is above average. My only complaint is that instead of getting a meal per diem to spend as one sees fit, you get a "use it or lose it" credit, not elgible to be used at the bar. That amount of credit is sufficient to keep your belly full, and if you have money left over at the end of the day, you can stock up on junk food.

Hope this helps. If anyone has any other questions, feel free to contact me.
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