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ReadOnly7 04-10-2026 09:50 PM


Originally Posted by BlueScholar (Post 4021886)
We all know if you want a country to have peaceful intentions, then you should repeatedly bomb them and invade them. Surely an Iranian citizen will love the countries that destroyed their homes, workplaces, economy and future, and they will never hold a grudge! That's why Middle Eastern conflicts are resolved quickly with no bad blood whatsoever!

worked for Japan….but their culture actually values honor, so never mind.

ReadOnly7 04-10-2026 09:56 PM


Originally Posted by AntiCompanyMan (Post 4022001)
Remind me again, what is the definition of insanity?

The stupidest and most often misquoted statement of all time. Thats what it is

MaxQ 04-11-2026 03:54 AM


Originally Posted by at6d (Post 4022139)
Are we still on Ukraines side?

No.
Currently we are unofficially aligned with Ukraine’s aggressor.
There has not been any funding for US military aid since 2024. Whatever aid is being sent there is from the 2024 funding, and even some of that has been delayed, rerouted, and in general hampered.

CBreezy 04-11-2026 04:08 AM


Originally Posted by at6d (Post 4022139)
Are we still on Ukraines side?

I'm not naturally a supporter of Ukraine. I'm a supporter of not allowing nuclear armed countries from going in and taking over entire countries. This is especially true regarding Russia since they have made it known they effectively want to reboot the USSR. You think they'll just stop in Kiev?

MaxQ 04-11-2026 04:13 AM


Originally Posted by Merequetengue (Post 4021917)
Ukraine isn't the main topic here, but since you brought up spending, it's worth noting the irony: the resources being poured into the current conflict with Iran could have been far better invested in supporting Ukraine against Russia. That would have actually served clear U.S. strategic interests, weakening the one rival that competed with the U.S. for global supremacy for 50 years, generating real soft power in Eastern Europe, and accelerating the degradation of Russian military and economic capacity... which, by the way, is already happening after their "3-day special military operation" stretched into years. And let's not forget, Russia and Iran aren't separate problems. They are allied, sharing intelligence and military technology. Weakening one weakens the other. Instead, this approach left both standing while opening a new front against an adversary that the administration's own intelligence assessments did not consider an imminent threat. Russia, on the other hand, is not a potential threat. It is actively invading a European country right now.

But here's the paradox: the argument seems to be that this sky-is-falling mentality, the idea that an imminent Iranian attack was so inevitable and catastrophic that it justified anything, excuses everything. Save it from what, exactly? The U.S. entered this era as the undisputed superpower, largest economy, strongest military, unmatched global influence, allies who showed up unconditionally. The only legitimate concern on the table was the national debt, which, by the way, is another broken promise, partly thanks to the very war being celebrated here. There was no burning house to rescue. The paradox is that the very decline being used to justify these decisions... is being caused by these decisions. And it gets worse: this wasn't even a genuine sky-is-falling moment. The administration's own assessments said Iran was not an imminent threat. So the house wasn't burning. They knew it wasn't burning. And they lit it anyway.

And even on its own terms the argument fails. If the threat was so existential that it justified all of this, where's the result? Iran's nuclear program wasn't obliterated. The threat remains. So you paid the full price in treasure, alliances and credibility, and the problem is still there.

And here's what makes it even more contradictory: acting recklessly without measuring consequences is what you'd expect from an actor with nothing to lose. The U.S. is the opposite, precisely because of everything it has built, it has more to lose than anyone. That's not a reason for timidity, but it is absolutely a reason for strategic thinking over impulsive action.

As you said yourself, anyone with a modicum of common sense can see it. "No more wars" was the pitch. The result so far has been a new war, trade wars, diplomatic chaos, weakened alliances, a brain drain accelerated by an open war against academic institutions and research centers, and zero clear strategic wins anyone has been able to articulate here. I'll leave the floor open, if there are concrete positive outcomes from this approach, I'd genuinely like to hear them laid out.

Maybe governing the most powerful country in history requires a bit more brain than balls.

Superb post.

SampsonSimpson 04-11-2026 05:45 AM


Originally Posted by Profane Kahuna (Post 4022045)
.


It’s staggering how many conspiracy nutjobs have congregated in this thread.

It’s like a lounge for anti semitic pilots to blow their dog whistles.



Originally Posted by Profane Kahuna (Post 4022079)
If you have a point, try to do a better job of stating it.


.

You are trying to imply that people are anti-semitic because they disagree with or are against the actions of Israel….

Thats full on nut job s$&t.

Clear now?

CX500T 04-11-2026 05:55 AM


Originally Posted by SampsonSimpson (Post 4022188)
You are trying to imply that people are anti-semitic because they disagree or are against the actions of Israel….

Thats full on nut job s$&t and projection.

Clear now?

Had a neighbor claim my wife was antisemitic because she said Israel shouldn't be dictating US foreign policy.

They must have missed the eight foot tall menorah on my front lawn during the holidays. My wife looks like Fran Dreschers younger sister. She's very definitely, obviously Jewish. If the star of David necklace she usually wears also wasn't enough of a hint.

Neighbor who accused her of being an antisemitic Jew?

Plain old money WASP married to a lawyer.

rickair7777 04-11-2026 06:27 AM


Originally Posted by Ice Bear (Post 4022141)
Don't know as much about this and not trying to stir the pot, but a quick search pulls up https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israeli_support_for_Hamas. Not advocating for or against, but interesting there's a Wiki about it.

1. Don't take wiki strictly at face value, unless maybe it's an article about a series of children's books, or domestic cats.

2. IL being involved in influencing hamas, paying sources, buying off agents, etc, etc is par for the course, why would they not? Business relationships get complicated in that part of the world.

But that does not mean it's plausible that Bibi arranged for and initiated Oct 7, we will not entertain that here.

There are also people who say FDR intentionally arranged Pearl Harbor to facilitate his geopolitical agenda :rolleyes: That's kind of a natural consequence of the fog of intel leading up to the attack. Kind of like 9/11, there were indications, but there are *always* indications and trick is to not jump at too many shadows, while also not missing the main event.

rickair7777 04-11-2026 06:35 AM


Originally Posted by CX500T (Post 4022192)
Had a neighbor claim my wife was antisemitic because she said Israel shouldn't be dictating US foreign policy.

They must have missed the eight foot tall menorah on my front lawn during the holidays. My wife looks like Fran Dreschers younger sister. She's very definitely, obviously Jewish. If the star of David necklace she usually wears also wasn't enough of a hint.

Neighbor who accused her of being an antisemitic Jew?

Plain old money WASP married to a lawyer.

You can disagree with IL government without being anti-semetic.

I certainly don't trust the IL government, but that doesn't mean I automatically assume the worst. I do understand their unique geopolitical predicament.

METO Guido 04-11-2026 06:56 AM


Originally Posted by rickair7777 (Post 4022207)
You can disagree with IL government without being anti-semetic.

I certainly don't trust the IL government, but that doesn't mean I automatically assume the worst. I do understand their unique geopolitical predicament.

Unique and seemingly forever intractable. Displaced populations of Palestine are, in the consensus of international tribunal opinion, entirely illegal. Some of the occupation action since ‘67 considered evidence of war crimes. This reality cannot be ignored. No matter how pro or anti ‘bibi’ you are.

SoFloFlyer 04-11-2026 07:00 AM


Originally Posted by CX500T (Post 4022192)
Had a neighbor claim my wife was antisemitic because she said Israel shouldn't be dictating US foreign policy.

They must have missed the eight foot tall menorah on my front lawn during the holidays. My wife looks like Fran Dreschers younger sister. She's very definitely, obviously Jewish. If the star of David necklace she usually wears also wasn't enough of a hint.

Neighbor who accused her of being an antisemitic Jew?

Plain old money WASP married to a lawyer.

No point in having discussions with those types of people. They’re so far removed from reality any conversation is pointless. Idk where putting America first and thinking the the Israelis shouldn’t have a say in our politics is antisemitic, but here we are

Excargodog 04-11-2026 07:49 AM

From Axios:


Updated 1 hour ago - World

U.S. warships cross Strait of Hormuz for first time since Iran war began

https://www.axios.com/_next/image?ur...jpg&w=128&q=75
Add Axios on GoogleAdd Axios as your preferred source to

see more of our stories on Google.
https://images.axios.com/lLWpGCNwhXG...37.jpeg?w=3840A naval vessel in the Strait of Hormuz in March 2026. Photo: Sahar AL ATTAR / AFP via Getty Images
Several U.S. Navy ships crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Saturday, a U.S. official told Axios.

Why it matters: The move was not coordinated with Iran. It is the first time U.S. warships crossed the strait since the beginning of the war.
  • The operation was aimed at increasing confidence for commercial ships to cross, sources say. It came as peace talks between the two sides kicked off in Pakistan.
  • "This was an operation that focused on freedom of navigation through International waters," the U.S. official said.
Driving the news: The official said the Navy ships crossed the strait from east to west to the Gulf, and then made their way back through the strait to the Arabian Sea.
  • The Iranian government reportedly called the crossing a ceasefire violation and threatened to attack the ships, per state media reports.
  • A U.S. official says the U.S. received no such warning.


DeltaboundRedux 04-11-2026 09:07 AM


Originally Posted by ReadOnly7 (Post 4022144)
The stupidest and most often misquoted statement of all time. Thats what it is


No, the stupidest and most often misquoted statement of all time is "You can't yell fire in a crowded theatre."

John Carr 04-11-2026 10:12 AM


Originally Posted by CBreezy (Post 4022168)
This is especially true regarding Russia since they have made it known they effectively want to reboot the USSR. You think they'll just stop in Kiev?

It's been discussed in the Ukraine threads. If, IF they could actually take Kiev, it'd be a pyrrhic victory.

With what men, material, and resources would they be able to traipse through the rest of Ukraine and start knocking on Poland's door?

Profane Kahuna 04-11-2026 05:03 PM


Originally Posted by SampsonSimpson (Post 4022188)
You are trying to imply that people are anti-semitic because they disagree with or are against the actions of Israel….

Thats full on nut job s$&t.

Clear now?



Nope….. I am saying that when people write nut job conspiracy theory stuff about ‘‘Israel paid hamas to do Oct 7’ then there is usually a bunch of other crazy anti semitic stuff there too.



.


ShyGuy 04-11-2026 05:52 PM

Who actually thinks these “talks” are legit. It’s just BS. The U.S. has already shown Iran TWICE that negotiations are just code talk for getting men and equipment into position to attack Iran.

This Pakistan trip is simply buying time to get the MEUs and support into the area in position.

$20 says we have boots on the ground within a month, maybe Kharg island.

METO Guido 04-11-2026 06:24 PM


Originally Posted by ShyGuy (Post 4022399)
Who actually thinks these “talks” are legit. It’s just BS. The U.S. has already shown Iran TWICE that negotiations are just code talk for getting men and equipment into position to attack Iran.

This Pakistan trip is simply buying time to get the MEUs and support into the area in position.

$20 says we have boots on the ground within a month, maybe Kharg island.

what is boots on ground exactly? At what odds?


Nearly two-thirds of Americans believe President Trump will send U.S. ground troops to Iran as the Middle East conflict rages on, despite Trump saying the opposite, according to a new survey.

The Reuters/Ipsos poll, released Thursday, found that while some 65 percent of U.S. adults think Trump will eventually order troops into a large ground-scale invasion, few back such escalation.

ShyGuy 04-11-2026 07:22 PM


Originally Posted by METO Guido (Post 4022406)
what is boots on ground exactly? At what odds?

Are you really asking what boots on the ground means?

METO Guido 04-11-2026 08:37 PM


Originally Posted by ShyGuy (Post 4022422)
Are you really asking what boots on the ground means?

New to book making? One month. On Iranian dirt. Battalion strength or greater. Odds; 1-1, 2-1 ?

BlueScholar 04-12-2026 05:40 AM

https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-p...uz-2026-04-12/

Maybe the president and Secretary of State should have been negotiating instead of attending a UFC fight last night.

It turns out the solution to promote free transit of the SOH is to use the US Navy to stop all ships from using the SOH!

Cyio 04-12-2026 05:57 AM


Originally Posted by BlueScholar (Post 4022453)
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-p...uz-2026-04-12/

Maybe the president and Secretary of State should have been negotiating instead of attending a UFC fight last night.

It turns out the solution to promote free transit of the SOH is to use the US Navy to stop all ships from using the SOH!

I would argue that the SOH is open from a political practicality; whether insurance agencies will allow it is another question. Give the mine situation. Once that clears up, I bet shipping flows.
The IR military and upper leadership are dead or missing.
US/VZ oil has suddenly become a very hot commodity.
The Euros are quickly realizing they need to up their own defense to handle their part of the world.
Lots of US businesses are making serious money the longer the SOH doesn't return to past transit levels.
We have tested and beaten the Chinese tech stationed in IR handily.
We are making oil very expensive for our biggest near term threat and have essentially cut it off from the free flow of oil from its two biggest sources.
The $ moved back into a safe-haven resource and is now showing signs of destabilizing BRICS currencies, with India leading the charge to back away from that silly idea.
We will fully open the SOH, get the Uranium out, and make it happen sooner rather than later.
UN Sec Gen said the world is in a much safer place now that we carried out these strikes.
I won't go into the other geopolitical positives about this, as there are many, but I bet this ultimately speeds the end of the Ukraine war, and I guarantee it has slowed any ambition for a Taiwanese war.

vaksedtothemax 04-12-2026 06:11 AM


Originally Posted by BlueScholar (Post 4022453)
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-p...uz-2026-04-12/

Maybe the president and Secretary of State should have been negotiating instead of attending a UFC fight last night.

It turns out the solution to promote free transit of the SOH is to use the US Navy to stop all ships from using the SOH!

where are many oil tankers heading to at this very moment?

I’d guess you’re highly ticked off every time the President plays a round of golf also? How many vacation days did AutoPen take again?

vaksedtothemax 04-12-2026 06:13 AM


Originally Posted by Cyio (Post 4022455)
I would argue that the SOH is open from a political practicality; whether insurance agencies will allow it is another question. Give the mine situation. Once that clears up, I bet shipping flows.
The IR military and upper leadership are dead or missing.
US/VZ oil has suddenly become a very hot commodity.
The Euros are quickly realizing they need to up their own defense to handle their part of the world.
Lots of US businesses are making serious money the longer the SOH doesn't return to past transit levels.
We have tested and beaten the Chinese tech stationed in IR handily.
We are making oil very expensive for our biggest near term threat and have essentially cut it off from the free flow of oil from its two biggest sources.
The $ moved back into a safe-haven resource and is now showing signs of destabilizing BRICS currencies, with India leading the charge to back away from that silly idea.
We will fully open the SOH, get the Uranium out, and make it happen sooner rather than later.
UN Sec Gen said the world is in a much safer place now that we carried out these strikes.
I won't go into the other geopolitical positives about this, as there are many, but I bet this ultimately speeds the end of the Ukraine war, and I guarantee it has slowed any ambition for a Taiwanese war.

Incoming “ but Trump said he was going to kill 90 million people” nonsense.

good post btw. The Trump haters won’t be able to comprehend it, but good post nonetheless

dsevo 04-12-2026 06:16 AM


Originally Posted by vaxedtothemax (Post 4022460)
Incoming “ but Trump said he was going to kill 90 million people” nonsense.

good post btw. The Trump haters won’t be able to comprehend it, but good post nonetheless

Yep, nailed it. These people root against their own country just so they can “see,
told ya so.”

Lowslung 04-12-2026 07:13 AM


Originally Posted by Cyio (Post 4022455)
US/VZ oil has suddenly become a very hot commodity.
The Euros are quickly realizing they need to up their own defense to handle their part of the world.
Lots of US businesses are making serious money the longer the SOH doesn't return to past transit levels.
We have tested and beaten the Chinese tech stationed in IR handily.
We are making oil very expensive for our biggest near term threat and have essentially cut it off from the free flow of oil from its two biggest sources.

Apparently it needs to be said again: oil is a global commodity. This idea that Americans can somehow capitalize on shutting down 20% of the world’s supply is an isolationist fever dream. Sure, American oil companies might make some extra cash in the short term, but if high oil prices tank the global economy, as seems to be the path we are insisting on going down, they’ll suffer like everyone else. Oil isn’t just going to get expensive for our adversaries. It’s going to get expensive for everyone because that’s how the market works. Don’t kid yourself, this summer and beyond are going to be very difficult for our industry if things don’t take a turn very soon.

rickair7777 04-12-2026 07:14 AM


Originally Posted by BlueScholar (Post 4022453)
It turns out the solution to promote free transit of the SOH is to use the US Navy to stop all ships from using the SOH!

I'm surpised it took this long.

If IR is preventing our friends from using the strait, why would we allow them and their friends to use it? I think we allowed it to minimize escalation while negotiations were attempted.

Lowslung 04-12-2026 07:16 AM


Originally Posted by dsevo (Post 4022461)
Yep, nailed it. These people root against their own country just so they can “see,
told ya so.”

Strawman, but I guess it must make it easier for you to dismiss your fellow citizens if you force yourself to believe that.

No one here is rooting against the United States. Many of us are advocating for better decision making.

Extenda 04-12-2026 07:17 AM


Originally Posted by vaxedtothemax (Post 4022460)
Incoming “ but Trump said he was going to kill 90 million people” nonsense.

good post btw. The Trump haters won’t be able to comprehend it, but good post nonetheless

Since you’re so sure of yourself I’m curious as to how you see this whole thing ending. The peace talks apparently didn’t yield anything. Trump clearly wants them to open the strait. They aren’t going to. Shipping isn’t going to transit for fear of random mines and drones from anywhere along 300 miles of rocky and mountainous Iranian coastline.

So, where do you think we go from here? What’s the solution?

Merequetengue 04-12-2026 07:20 AM


Originally Posted by vaxedtothemax (Post 4022458)
where are many oil tankers heading to at this very moment?

I’d guess you’re highly ticked off every time the President plays a round of golf also? How many vacation days did AutoPen take again?

I don’t know, sorry i didn’t understand the explanation

https://x.com/factpostnews/status/20...tOrnMdFOUu0MqA

JamesNoBrakes 04-12-2026 07:41 AM


Originally Posted by Cyio (Post 4022455)
I would argue that the SOH is open from a political practicality; whether insurance agencies will allow it is another question. Give the mine situation. Once that clears up, I bet shipping flows.
The IR military and upper leadership are dead or missing.
US/VZ oil has suddenly become a very hot commodity.
The Euros are quickly realizing they need to up their own defense to handle their part of the world.
Lots of US businesses are making serious money the longer the SOH doesn't return to past transit levels.
We have tested and beaten the Chinese tech stationed in IR handily.
We are making oil very expensive for our biggest near term threat and have essentially cut it off from the free flow of oil from its two biggest sources.
The $ moved back into a safe-haven resource and is now showing signs of destabilizing BRICS currencies, with India leading the charge to back away from that silly idea.
We will fully open the SOH, get the Uranium out, and make it happen sooner rather than later.
UN Sec Gen said the world is in a much safer place now that we carried out these strikes.
I won't go into the other geopolitical positives about this, as there are many, but I bet this ultimately speeds the end of the Ukraine war, and I guarantee it has slowed any ambition for a Taiwanese war.

And there's photo-op on an aircraft carrier with the "mission accomplished" banner.

Extenda 04-12-2026 07:42 AM


Originally Posted by Merequetengue (Post 4022482)
I don’t know, sorry i didn’t understand the explanation

https://x.com/factpostnews/status/20...tOrnMdFOUu0MqA

Good lord we’re doomed.

JurgenKlopp 04-12-2026 07:45 AM


Originally Posted by Cyio (Post 4022455)
I would argue that the SOH is open from a political practicality; whether insurance agencies will allow it is another question. Give the mine situation. Once that clears up, I bet shipping flows.
The IR military and upper leadership are dead or missing.
US/VZ oil has suddenly become a very hot commodity.
The Euros are quickly realizing they need to up their own defense to handle their part of the world.
Lots of US businesses are making serious money the longer the SOH doesn't return to past transit levels.
We have tested and beaten the Chinese tech stationed in IR handily.
We are making oil very expensive for our biggest near term threat and have essentially cut it off from the free flow of oil from its two biggest sources.
The $ moved back into a safe-haven resource and is now showing signs of destabilizing BRICS currencies, with India leading the charge to back away from that silly idea.
We will fully open the SOH, get the Uranium out, and make it happen sooner rather than later.
UN Sec Gen said the world is in a much safer place now that we carried out these strikes.
I won't go into the other geopolitical positives about this, as there are many, but I bet this ultimately speeds the end of the Ukraine war, and I guarantee it has slowed any ambition for a Taiwanese war.

And this is your brain on Newsmax…

Hubcapped 04-12-2026 07:58 AM

Im curious if anyone is attempting to math out the consequences of losing the world’s confidence as a stable partner? Me thinks nooo


The isolationists cant seem to understand that our success is tied to global economic success. Interesting times ahead

airplanes 04-12-2026 08:04 AM


Originally Posted by Hubcapped (Post 4022490)
Im curious if anyone is attempting to math out the consequences of losing the world’s confidence as a stable partner? Me thinks nooo


The isolationists cant seem to understand that our success is tied to global economic success. Interesting times ahead

If FAFO is the the super clever conservative phrase of the moment, I think we are dancing well into our own FA and will be entering the FO period shortly.

Extenda 04-12-2026 08:12 AM


Originally Posted by airplanes (Post 4022491)
If FAFO is the the super clever conservative phrase of the moment, I think we are dancing well into our own FA and will be entering the FO period shortly.

Hot off the press. We can’t open the strait so now we’re going to be blockading it ourselves!

You can’t fire me I quit!

5D chess.

Judge Smails 04-12-2026 08:17 AM


Originally Posted by dsevo (Post 4022461)
Yep, nailed it. These people root against their own country just so they can “see,
told ya so.”

Riiight. I suppose blind support for dumb decision making equals patriotism.

Excargodog 04-12-2026 08:18 AM


Originally Posted by airplanes (Post 4022491)
If FAFO is the the super clever conservative phrase of the moment, I think we are dancing well into our own FA and will be entering the FO period shortly.

oil has been this high previously even without Hormuz being shut down. alt=""https://i.postimg.cc/76WNYVWT/IMG-8004.jpg

I don’t know that I would start screaming “The sky is falling!” just yet.

For that matter a lot of oil wells that were not economically viable to use at $60 a barrel are going to start producing again at $70. Not overnight, but more the longer this persists. And more wells will be developed because it makes sense economically to do that at the higher price.

H€LL, even California is getting on board.

https://biologicaldiversity.org/w/ne...ed-2026-03-06/


https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...s-crude-prices

AAdvocate 04-12-2026 08:23 AM


Originally Posted by dsevo (Post 4022461)
Yep, nailed it. These people root against their own country just so they can “see,
told ya so.”

It's disgusting. Never really seen anything like it really. I imagine this is what it was like during Vietnam.

AAdvocate 04-12-2026 08:25 AM


Originally Posted by Lowslung (Post 4022477)
Apparently it needs to be said again: oil is a global commodity. This idea that Americans can somehow capitalize on shutting down 20% of the world’s supply is an isolationist fever dream. Sure, American oil companies might make some extra cash in the short term, but if high oil prices tank the global economy, as seems to be the path we are insisting on going down, they’ll suffer like everyone else. Oil isn’t just going to get expensive for our adversaries. It’s going to get expensive for everyone because that’s how the market works. Don’t kid yourself, this summer and beyond are going to be very difficult for our industry if things don’t take a turn very soon.

Short term pain for long term gains. We can't keep kicking this can down the road like previous administrations. NACHO is finally addressing it.(Never Avoids Confronting Hard Obstacles)

METO Guido 04-12-2026 08:29 AM


Originally Posted by AAdvocate (Post 4022501)
It's disgusting. Never really seen anything like it really. I imagine this is what it was like during Vietnam.

Tore this place in half. Second only to the lost cause.



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