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-   -   Economic Impacts of Iran War (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/major/152485-economic-impacts-iran-war.html)

rickair7777 04-05-2026 05:49 AM


Originally Posted by jerryleber (Post 4019795)
Really? Please explain how this is a win.

The tactical part. Which was never in any doubt.

What' questionable is how you translate that to a strategic win in the short term

game 04-05-2026 06:18 AM

I wonder how the markets will react to the very presidential POTUS message this morning. Will the markets see this message as a defiant statement of strength or an outburst of desperation (admission of weakness/lack of control)?

jerryleber 04-05-2026 08:03 AM


Originally Posted by JamesNoBrakes (Post 4019851)
Iran is now 3 weeks away from a nuclear bomb.

Says who other than Benjamin Netanyahu for the past thirty years?

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/Vc_NanZ-Jos

Was 'obliterating' this capability the objective of this war?

Excargodog 04-05-2026 08:38 AM


Originally Posted by jerryleber (Post 4019852)
Says who other than Benjamin Netanyahu for the past thirty years?

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/Vc_NanZ-Jos

Was 'obliterating' this capability the objective of this war?

Nope. This was our last big favor to Europe before telling them, defend yourselves guys and gals. You are on your own now after 108 years of us bailing you out.

METO Guido 04-05-2026 08:44 AM


Originally Posted by JamesNoBrakes (Post 4019851)
Iran is now 3 weeks away from a nuclear bomb.

Iran possesses motive & means. Let’s say survival of Israel is in your hands. Is rev guard superpower an eventuality you’d be prepared to accept? At least the Tel Aviv tiger is crystal clear in purpose. They’ve reached a functional accord with Egypt & the house of Saud. That should count for something.

Ice Bear 04-05-2026 09:20 AM


Originally Posted by JamesNoBrakes (Post 4019851)
Iran is now 3 weeks away from a nuclear bomb.

Also satire? It's impossible to recognize now. The Onion will be out of business when "Praise be to Allah" is posted on Easter.
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldT...51998782539414

Happy to hear about the WSO rescue. Saddened to see on-going consequences to our companies like reduced international flying, less widebody vacancies, and reductions in hiring. Obviously fuel ramifications as well.

FangsF15 04-05-2026 09:55 AM

[mod input]. Ok folks. Have deleted a bunch of off topic and flamebait/partisan posts.

Once again, APC is not the place to argue partisan

Freds Ex 04-05-2026 09:57 AM


Originally Posted by METO Guido (Post 4019864)
Iran possesses motive & means. Let’s say survival of Israel is in your hands. Is rev guard superpower an eventuality you’d be prepared to accept? At least the Tel Aviv tiger is crystal clear in purpose. They’ve reached a functional accord with Egypt & the house of Saud. That should count for something.

Count for something, maybe, but probably not much. Hitler reached a functional accord with Stalin in 1939 which didn't even last two years before Operation Barbarossa. Keep an eye on Polymarket to see when Israel is going to begin their invasion of Egypt and Saudi Arabia because those are part of the plan too.

AntiCompanyMan 04-05-2026 10:13 AM


Originally Posted by Excargodog (Post 4019863)
Nope. This was our last big favor to Europe before telling them, defend yourselves guys and gals. You are on your own now after 108 years of us bailing you out.

How is this a favor to Europe?

Prior to the war, the SOH was open with oil flowing. Now, Iran is emboldened to exert control over the SOH with no feasible response other than boots on the ground.

Sanctions against Iranian oil have been relaxed and they now control 20% of global oil supply.

Provoking an energy crisis by initiating a strategically incoherent war of choice with ill-defined objectives sure doesn't seem like a "big favor" to anyone. Causing the closure of the SOH and then telling Europe to deal with it because reopening is too difficult is a "big favor" to you?

METO Guido 04-05-2026 10:34 AM


Originally Posted by Freds Ex (Post 4019894)
Count for something, maybe, but probably not much. Hitler reached a functional accord with Stalin in 1939 which didn't even last two years before Operation Barbarossa. Keep an eye on Polymarket to see when Israel is going to begin their invasion of Egypt and Saudi Arabia because those are part of the plan too.

Israeli pop is 9.5m. By comparison, Cuba is 10, the Tar Heel state 11. After Iran, dealing with the West Bank and what’s left of Lebanon poses the more immediate concern if their recent moves foretell coming attractions. Hitler occupied Odessa. Plowing ahead to the Volga in winter ultimately cost them everything. IDF leadership isn’t crazy.


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