Economic Impacts of Iran War
03-14-2026 | 03:14 PM
#81
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Joined: Jun 2022
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Only RU actually stands to benefit from this mess (they have plenty of oil themselves and what they can manage to sell around sanctions is probably their major source of hard currency).
PRC suffers from high oil prices like the rest of us. They would benefit from stability in the region (and in oil prices) more than they would from abstractly poking us in the eye. They also participate in anti-piracy ops in the region, in coordination with western navies. So not really a ridiculous idea. They are pretty practical.
PRC suffers from high oil prices like the rest of us. They would benefit from stability in the region (and in oil prices) more than they would from abstractly poking us in the eye. They also participate in anti-piracy ops in the region, in coordination with western navies. So not really a ridiculous idea. They are pretty practical.
03-14-2026 | 07:31 PM
#84
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I know what you're saying but I was given non-menial tasks for about a decade. I did more than my fair share of AD, and accumulated a critical mass of expertise and credibility.
But why attack my service history, instead of the merits of the discussion? I know some regular AD folks like to look down their noses at reservists, but if it helps I did start life as regular AD on day one (back when that was a thing) and made my own choices along the way. Not everybody who bailed on regular AD had a DUI.
But why attack my service history, instead of the merits of the discussion? I know some regular AD folks like to look down their noses at reservists, but if it helps I did start life as regular AD on day one (back when that was a thing) and made my own choices along the way. Not everybody who bailed on regular AD had a DUI.
03-14-2026 | 09:42 PM
#85
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lolz, the point has nothing to do with partisan politics. It wouldnt matter who was in charge. Starting a war with no clear ability to keep 20% of the worlds oil supply moving and ultimately asking for help with hat in hand from the chinese like a poor little orphan, weeks into the conflict is beyond ridiculous and embarrassing. I question the actual sanity of anyone that thinks both of those objective facts are in any capacity good for the US.
If anyone reads that as a partisan take then they need to reevaluate their ability to remain objective
If anyone reads that as a partisan take then they need to reevaluate their ability to remain objective
Last edited by Hubcapped; 03-14-2026 at 10:05 PM.
03-15-2026 | 05:39 AM
#86
off weekends (if Reserve)
Joined: May 2023
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Listen, I know insurance has been the big talk. But we all here operate large machines for big companies. And I guarantee none of you would operate a flight that flew over Iran. So how many of these tanker captains are willing to put themselves, their crew, and their ships in harms way. I’m just throwing this out there.
03-15-2026 | 07:05 AM
#87
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Prime Minister/Moderator
Joined: Jan 2006
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From: Engines Turn or People Swim
lolz, the point has nothing to do with partisan politics. It wouldnt matter who was in charge. Starting a war with no clear ability to keep 20% of the worlds oil supply moving and ultimately asking for help with hat in hand from the chinese like a poor little orphan, weeks into the conflict is beyond ridiculous and embarrassing. I question the actual sanity of anyone that thinks both of those objective facts are in any capacity good for the US.
If anyone reads that as a partisan take then they need to reevaluate their ability to remain objective
If anyone reads that as a partisan take then they need to reevaluate their ability to remain objective
03-15-2026 | 07:14 AM
#88
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Prime Minister/Moderator
Joined: Jan 2006
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From: Engines Turn or People Swim
I think you are very right to throw this out there. My company and I would imagine all of the companies that make up employers on this thread have the FAR 121.627 responsibility written into the FOM or equivalent. For those going to another tab to google, it is basically saying the the PIC cannot allow a flight to continue toward any airport for which it has been released if in the opinion of the captain the flight cannot be operated safely. Now I can tell you, having worked at JetBlue, the company really pushes the boundaries of that definition for every single flight to Port Au Prince……but I would Imagine a maritime equivalent exists for FAR 121.627.
But those crews operate in pirate-infested waters all the time, have for years in the modern era (for millennia, historically). It's just a matter of providing the right mitigation and potentially compensation.
Also aircrew are at quite a bit more risk from kinetic actions than 12 guys on a VLCC/ULCC... those things are *really* massive, so while they can suffer costly damage and potentially leak oil with really costly environmental consequences, they're not likely to sink and the crew isn't at anywhere near the same risk as aircrew.
Point being, long-term, global oil supply will not remain choked off because of crews... they'll be protected, incentivized, or replaced.
03-15-2026 | 01:08 PM
#89
SrFOorJrCAisthe?
Joined: Sep 2017
Posts: 1,643
Likes: 299
Guys, guys, guys. We are still paying less than we were for 89 from 2022-2023. Chill.
Too many people getting spun up. Natl avg in 2022 was $4.13...so.
We are absolutely obliterating a thorn in the side of the world, aka Iran. Step back and bask in the effective efforts of our forces and the IDF.
This operation is a perfect example of the insane shortsightedness and bonkers level of instant gratification that we, the US, and more of the world have now; no one stands to have any inconvenience in their lives or God forbid, actual sacrifice.
Love the news reads of "war drags on in the Middle East." GMAFB, ops haven't been happening for a month and they write it like its 5 years into a war.
Too many people getting spun up. Natl avg in 2022 was $4.13...so.
We are absolutely obliterating a thorn in the side of the world, aka Iran. Step back and bask in the effective efforts of our forces and the IDF.
This operation is a perfect example of the insane shortsightedness and bonkers level of instant gratification that we, the US, and more of the world have now; no one stands to have any inconvenience in their lives or God forbid, actual sacrifice.
Love the news reads of "war drags on in the Middle East." GMAFB, ops haven't been happening for a month and they write it like its 5 years into a war.
03-15-2026 | 01:23 PM
#90
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Joined: Apr 2011
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But those crews operate in pirate-infested waters all the time, have for years in the modern era (for millennia, historically). It's just a matter of providing the right mitigation and potentially compensation.
Point being, long-term, global oil supply will not remain choked off because of crews... they'll be protected, incentivized, or replaced.
Point being, long-term, global oil supply will not remain choked off because of crews... they'll be protected, incentivized, or replaced.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mark_Felt[/url]
https://youtu.be/vETxuL7Ij3Q?si=ijdANHKUU8_K_ky9
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