DAL to reduce by 4-5% by 4th Qtr
#71
#72
To me the answer is simple economics. DAL cannot afford to take on the debt, and or the banks will not allow them to. That is the reason for the effort to cut our debt in almost half in five years. DAL knows it needs feed for the jets they do have (Asia WB flying) but cannot afford to buy the jets to feed it, ala ALK code share.
In reality it is the same everywhere. Once they get down a billion or two more in debt it is my opinion that the ability to buy jets now changes, and we may see some show up, but until then, DAL wants to keep their network intact even if they have less control of it. That is why we see so many code shares, marketing agreements, and alliance partners being added. It also shows that pilot costs are really negligible in the scheme of things.
In reality it is the same everywhere. Once they get down a billion or two more in debt it is my opinion that the ability to buy jets now changes, and we may see some show up, but until then, DAL wants to keep their network intact even if they have less control of it. That is why we see so many code shares, marketing agreements, and alliance partners being added. It also shows that pilot costs are really negligible in the scheme of things.
Meh. As Roseanne Roseannadanna used to say "It's always something"...
Nu
Last edited by NuGuy; 09-17-2011 at 04:44 PM.
#73
#74
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Feb 2008
Posts: 19,273
We still hold delivery positions for something like 30 777's. Sadly we have let the last 10 or so lapse. They require a 18 month confirmation. Delta is happy with its wide body fleet at the moment according to Anderson. The focus is the new interiors on the 767's which from a passenger standpoint will make them brand new. If you have not seen the first one completed its actually perhaps the best interior I have seen on any jet in any fleet.
#75
Moderator
Joined APC: Oct 2006
Position: B757/767
Posts: 13,088
We still hold delivery positions for something like 30 777's. Sadly we have let the last 10 or so lapse. They require a 18 month confirmation. Delta is happy with its wide body fleet at the moment according to Anderson. The focus is the new interiors on the 767's which from a passenger standpoint will make them brand new. If you have not seen the first one completed its actually perhaps the best interior I have seen on any jet in any fleet.
#76
Runs with scissors
Joined APC: Dec 2009
Position: Going to hell in a bucket, but enjoying the ride .
Posts: 7,722
So...if that one is still flying, it's already 20 years old. No matter, I'm sure Richard will find a suitable repalcement...like a 737-1000-ER, with 6 lie-flat seats.
#77
Can't abide NAI
Joined APC: Jun 2007
Position: Douglas Aerospace post production Flight Test & Work Around Engineering bulletin dissembler
Posts: 11,989
^^^^
Wouldn't it be awesome if we had a union committee to investigate all this stuff for us? I mean this is really some digging in the weeds as we try to imagine all the ways they could end-around our scope clause. Or, what if the union employed a law firm to dig into the legalese and think a step ahead of the company?
Wouldn't it be awesome if we had a union committee to investigate all this stuff for us? I mean this is really some digging in the weeds as we try to imagine all the ways they could end-around our scope clause. Or, what if the union employed a law firm to dig into the legalese and think a step ahead of the company?
Worse, we write scope with rosy predictions of our future. In reality, scope is tested during periods of economic crises. People make fun of those of us who would like to take a risk management approach to our job protection provisions. IMHO you want Chicken Little ensuring your contract's provisions will be operative if the Sky does Fall!
We are fortunate to have some very smart and experienced people serving in ALPA who can do a pretty good job with "T-LAR" (that looks about right) engineering within the political structure of the union.
The lack of action based on objective analysis was one of the reasons that I considered DPA and still do listen to what TC puts out. Unfortunately, they've taken the worst aspects of ALPA's political head in the sand approach and expanded it to include inaccurate information as a tenet in their political platform. If ALPA is a C student, the DPA never returned from recess and is behind the school house smoking a joint while complaining about the teachers.
* In the past, management ordered jets which exceeded scope limits and were able to get scope liberalized "just in time" to take delivery. This pattern is exactly why the current orders for next generation small mainline jets off the property is highly alarming, despite the denials that these airplanes will be outsourced.
Last edited by Bucking Bar; 09-18-2011 at 07:31 AM.
#78
Can't abide NAI
Joined APC: Jun 2007
Position: Douglas Aerospace post production Flight Test & Work Around Engineering bulletin dissembler
Posts: 11,989
That's exactly what I'm saying. We have to get it back first, and if a non linear pay and benefits system is the only way to do it then that's what has to be done. There is no moral high ground for anyone to take by acting like doing so would be bad for the profession or unfair to the pilot group when the alternative for not doing so is continued outsourcing which is far, far worse.
Actually, if you graph out aircraft pay versus productivity the big jets are mostly underpaid relative to their smaller peers. Airlines like GoJets and Colgan fall off the chart at the bottom.
But, what we were told in our last concessionary scope agreement was that management would not operate the jets at mainline regardless of the cost structure. There were other costs involved that outweighed pilot costs. In response, it is my opinion ALPA should treat unity like a religion, or like a Marine treats an injured soldier in the field. Management needs to understand we will not abandon a member. If one pilot has a problem, then 12,000 pilots have a problem and it is going to be YOUR problem in a BIG way.
ALPA needs to get back to our evolutionary roots ... UNITY.
Look at it this way. Humans were about the least likely animal to take over the planet. We lack enough fur to make it through the winter. A house cat has better claws than we do for catching food. It was not until we started using our brains to get along and work together than we stopped running from animals intent on eating us, that we learned to hunt and eat them. Genetically we are hired wired to work together, except for this strange mutation called "pilot."
If we could get unified we would be chasing wooly mammoths off cliffs in no time.
#79
#80
(retired)
Joined APC: Apr 2011
Position: Old, retired, healthy, debt-free, liquid
Posts: 422
However, with the exception of our large brains which have allowed us to adapt to our surroundings without going through the evolutionary process for physical adaptation, humans aren't much different than other mammalian herd grazers or pack predator species. If you give them enough space, food, and females to fornicate for propagating the species, they aren't going to move an inch or lift a finger (claw, hoof, etc.) except to take a c##p.
Pilots are about comfort and survival. There are pilots who are comfortable and there are those who are not. The center of the herd is comfortable. The very old, weak, very young and periphery individuals are not and have a greater chance of getting picked off.
Unity is a great "rally" word. However, even if the herd is "unified," a number of "edge" individuals are going to get eaten.
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