Go Back  Airline Pilot Central Forums > Airline Pilot Forums > Major
DAL to reduce by 4-5% by 4th Qtr >

DAL to reduce by 4-5% by 4th Qtr

Search
Notices
Major Legacy, National, and LCC

DAL to reduce by 4-5% by 4th Qtr

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 09-17-2011, 06:47 AM
  #61  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined APC: Feb 2008
Posts: 19,273
Default

Originally Posted by captainv View Post
Well, Comair had 176 aircraft at its peak, by late next year it'll be 44.

ASA picked up United flying in IAD to substitute for flying pulled by Delta, and now they're losing 8 70-seaters to GoJet.

Mesaba is losing the Saabs.

A friend who reads the SEC filings and such said Skywest is planning to lose 170-ish airplanes from its fleet between 2011-2014, spread between Brasilias, CRJ-200s and EMB-145s.

So there's that.
Not to mention the tremendous increase in international flying since the joint venture started. We would be crushed as a standalone airline in the international arena.
sailingfun is offline  
Old 09-17-2011, 09:51 AM
  #62  
Gets Weekends Off
 
NuGuy's Avatar
 
Joined APC: Mar 2008
Posts: 3,838
Default

Heyas,

As I have stated all along, getting rid of the 50 seaters is fine, but:

1) Does nothing to replace mainline jobs

2) Provides talking point FUD, which distracts from the real problem

3) The real problem being 70-76 seaters, which have the range and lift to replace 100-125 seat aircraft. The entire DC-9 fleet was outsourced with them, probably along with some of the bottom 125 seat market to the tune of hundreds, and possibly thousands of mainline jobs (plus advancements).

The Alaska and JV problems are separate, but related. But here's the thing: Our sub 100 seat lift got outsourced because, ostensibly, the outsourced lift was cheaper.

DAL provided lift is cheaper than Alaska. DAL provided lift is also cheaper than many of the JV participants. Using the reasoning that what's good for the goose should also be good for the gander, why is DAL metal not repacing the "more expensive" lift under the DAL code?

We're getting it from both sides...

Nu
NuGuy is offline  
Old 09-17-2011, 10:42 AM
  #63  
Happy to be here
 
acl65pilot's Avatar
 
Joined APC: Jun 2006
Position: A-320A
Posts: 18,563
Default

Originally Posted by NuGuy View Post
Heyas,

As I have stated all along, getting rid of the 50 seaters is fine, but:

1) Does nothing to replace mainline jobs

2) Provides talking point FUD, which distracts from the real problem

3) The real problem being 70-76 seaters, which have the range and lift to replace 100-125 seat aircraft. The entire DC-9 fleet was outsourced with them, probably along with some of the bottom 125 seat market to the tune of hundreds, and possibly thousands of mainline jobs (plus advancements).

The Alaska and JV problems are separate, but related. But here's the thing: Our sub 100 seat lift got outsourced because, ostensibly, the outsourced lift was cheaper.

DAL provided lift is cheaper than Alaska. DAL provided lift is also cheaper than many of the JV participants. Using the reasoning that what's good for the goose should also be good for the gander, why is DAL metal not repacing the "more expensive" lift under the DAL code?

We're getting it from both sides...

Nu

To me the answer is simple economics. DAL cannot afford to take on the debt, and or the banks will not allow them to. That is the reason for the effort to cut our debt in almost half in five years. DAL knows it needs feed for the jets they do have (Asia WB flying) but cannot afford to buy the jets to feed it, ala ALK code share.

In reality it is the same everywhere. Once they get down a billion or two more in debt it is my opinion that the ability to buy jets now changes, and we may see some show up, but until then, DAL wants to keep their network intact even if they have less control of it. That is why we see so many code shares, marketing agreements, and alliance partners being added. It also shows that pilot costs are really negligible in the scheme of things.
acl65pilot is offline  
Old 09-17-2011, 12:34 PM
  #64  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined APC: Jul 2010
Position: window seat
Posts: 12,522
Default

Originally Posted by acl65pilot View Post
2021 is when most of the DCI agreements expire. I a sunset of all of them.

FYI, most of them start to allow significant pull-downs of their fleets starting in the next year or so.
Even the larger RJ's? If so, will our management "constructively engage" us to help fix this problem? Or will they continue to be extremely hostile signing cut throat bottom feeders into more long term contracts like they have been doing for the last year or so? If its the latter, will our union leadership call them out on it, or continue to pretend everything's fine?

And isn't the bulk of the SKYW ball and chain also coming to an end in the next couple years? Did we sell them the ATL gates or just rent them a portion of the ATL flying for that 10 year(ish) time frame that's about to end?
gloopy is offline  
Old 09-17-2011, 12:37 PM
  #65  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined APC: Jul 2010
Position: window seat
Posts: 12,522
Default

Originally Posted by acl65pilot View Post
Gloopy the problem is that we did outsource it, and it pays a lot less. To do pay and bennies on day one results in nothing ever being done. You have to have control of the market to effect the market forces. First would be to own the flying, then the pay. The hole is just to big to fill with a simple tire sealer.
That's exactly what I'm saying. We have to get it back first, and if a non linear pay and benefits system is the only way to do it then that's what has to be done. There is no moral high ground for anyone to take by acting like doing so would be bad for the profession or unfair to the pilot group when the alternative for not doing so is continued outsourcing which is far, far worse.
gloopy is offline  
Old 09-17-2011, 02:01 PM
  #66  
Da Hudge
 
80ktsClamp's Avatar
 
Joined APC: Oct 2006
Position: Poodle Whisperer
Posts: 17,473
Default

Originally Posted by gloopy View Post
That's exactly what I'm saying. We have to get it back first, and if a non linear pay and benefits system is the only way to do it then that's what has to be done. There is no moral high ground for anyone to take by acting like doing so would be bad for the profession or unfair to the pilot group when the alternative for not doing so is continued outsourcing which is far, far worse.
Can I get a bag tag that says gloopy speaks for me?
80ktsClamp is offline  
Old 09-17-2011, 02:06 PM
  #67  
No longer cares
 
tsquare's Avatar
 
Joined APC: Mar 2008
Position: 767er Captain
Posts: 12,109
Default

Originally Posted by acl65pilot View Post
To me the answer is simple economics. DAL cannot afford to take on the debt, and or the banks will not allow them to. That is the reason for the effort to cut our debt in almost half in five years. DAL knows it needs feed for the jets they do have (Asia WB flying) but cannot afford to buy the jets to feed it, ala ALK code share.

In reality it is the same everywhere. Once they get down a billion or two more in debt it is my opinion that the ability to buy jets now changes, and we may see some show up, but until then, DAL wants to keep their network intact even if they have less control of it. That is why we see so many code shares, marketing agreements, and alliance partners being added. It also shows that pilot costs are really negligible in the scheme of things.
What was all that we were hearing about.... uh.. sy...ner...gies?

I feel so synergized.
tsquare is offline  
Old 09-17-2011, 03:33 PM
  #68  
Super Moderator
 
Joined APC: Dec 2007
Position: DAL 330
Posts: 6,868
Default

Originally Posted by tsquare View Post
What was all that we were hearing about.... uh.. sy...ner...gies?

I feel so synergized.

Yep,

During the merger roadshow I distinctly remember being told that the combined pax load of DAL and NW would enable us to reach a tipping point in markets like BOS and LAX that had no dominant airline.

I guess they forgot to mention it would be Alaska that benefited from this (in LAX at least).

So a question to all - In what market did the post-merger DAL hit a tipping point and become the dominant carrier???

I remember some bean counter saying that if we get xx percentage of seats we could control the market and raise prices - I guess this could be happening - but I certainly don't see us dominating any previously up for grabs markets.

Scoop
Scoop is offline  
Old 09-17-2011, 03:55 PM
  #69  
Gets Weekends Off
 
qball's Avatar
 
Joined APC: Mar 2011
Position: Cockpit speaker volume knob set to eleven.
Posts: 1,410
Default

I think after the 75% reduction...we've got CVG locked up.


Originally Posted by Scoop View Post
During the merger roadshow I distinctly remember being told that the combined pax load of DAL and NW would enable us to reach a tipping point in markets like BOS and LAX that had no dominant airline.

I guess they forgot to mention it would be Alaska that benefited from this (in LAX at least).

So a question to all - In what market did the post-merger DAL hit a tipping point and become the dominant carrier???

I remember some bean counter saying that if we get xx percentage of seats we could control the market and raise prices - I guess this could be happening - but I certainly don't see us dominating any previously up for grabs markets.

Scoop

Last edited by johnso29; 09-17-2011 at 05:40 PM.
qball is offline  
Old 09-17-2011, 04:27 PM
  #70  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Boomer's Avatar
 
Joined APC: Jan 2008
Position: blueJet
Posts: 4,511
Default

Originally Posted by qball View Post
I think after the 75% reduction...we've got CVG locked up.
CVG is locked up, but the DAL percentage has dropped substantially (whether you count all Delta flights or just the mainline ones).
Boomer is offline  
Related Topics
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post
Razor
Cargo
0
02-04-2009 11:53 AM
Scoop
Mergers and Acquisitions
4
10-02-2008 09:45 AM
Past V1
Major
88
07-16-2008 07:28 PM
jetBlueRod
Major
80
06-11-2008 07:27 AM
freightguy
Major
39
12-13-2007 11:59 PM

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



Your Privacy Choices