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Old 09-15-2017, 11:04 AM
  #151  
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Originally Posted by ShyGuy View Post
All a moot point if Age 65 changes or goes away?
Yea if they change it to 75, maybe. Changing it to 67 will not change much. They'll hire 600 and not 750 per year.
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Old 09-15-2017, 12:04 PM
  #152  
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Any numbers for FEDEX beyond 2036?

Thanks, their profile only have up to 2036.
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Old 09-15-2017, 12:18 PM
  #153  
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Originally Posted by ShyGuy View Post
All a moot point if Age 65 changes or goes away?
Or if there is a new global ice age, or a zombie apocalypse, or total thermal nuclear war with absolute global destruction, or the sun could implode. You never know!
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Old 09-15-2017, 12:22 PM
  #154  
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Originally Posted by TransWorld View Post
So, if my addition for AA pilots is correct:

57% will retire in the next 10 years

89% will retire in the next 20 years.

The other majors are not too far behind. --- Just kind of takes your breath away.
Right. AAG/DAL seem to have been doing a "decent" job at trying to hire to cover it. UAL on the other hand....

If they stick to the 2018 projection, added to 2017's count, it BARELY covers mandatory retirements for those 2 years. Let alone early outs, guys that may have left, etc.
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Old 09-15-2017, 12:57 PM
  #155  
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Originally Posted by Airhoss View Post
Or if there is a new global ice age, or a zombie apocalypse, or total thermal nuclear war with absolute global destruction, or the sun could implode. You never know!
Yeah. Anytime someone marvels at the retirements someone always has to come in with a reminder that it won't matter if the world ends. And I not talking about you "airhoss" just piggybacking on your reply.
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Old 09-15-2017, 01:22 PM
  #156  
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Originally Posted by Yuko View Post
Any numbers for FEDEX beyond 2036?

Thanks, their profile only have up to 2036.
Fedex will go single pilot by then.
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Old 09-15-2017, 02:56 PM
  #157  
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Originally Posted by itsmytime View Post
Yeah. Anytime someone marvels at the retirements someone always has to come in with a reminder that it won't matter if the world ends. And I not talking about you "airhoss" just piggybacking on your reply.
Exactly. It's when monkies fly out of our butts, THEN there's trouble.

Those monkies will soon carry people, and that's gross.
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Old 09-15-2017, 09:10 PM
  #158  
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Originally Posted by ShyGuy View Post
All a moot point if Age 65 changes or goes away?
If, as the most likely rumor has it, they shift manditory to age 67, the most is everything shifts to the right 2 years. Not that radical a difference.

AA mandatory of 57%, instead of 10 years would be 12 years. And so on.

Black swan events can happen. But aging out marches on. Unlike in 2001, the retirements are like a steamroller. Anything getting in its way most likely would be a bump in the road, not a big 'lost decade' canyon.

Of course, the world could end tomorrow. But don't hold your breath. YMMV
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Old 09-16-2017, 06:14 AM
  #159  
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Originally Posted by John Carr View Post
Right. AAG/DAL seem to have been doing a "decent" job at trying to hire to cover it. UAL on the other hand....

If they stick to the 2018 projection, added to 2017's count, it BARELY covers mandatory retirements for those 2 years. Let alone early outs, guys that may have left, etc.
I have no idea what the headshed over at UAL is thinking. Other than they've got some construction and instructor issues at the moment.
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Old 09-16-2017, 08:26 AM
  #160  
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Originally Posted by Airhoss View Post
I have no idea what the headshed over at UAL is thinking. Other than they've got some construction and instructor issues at the moment.
It is odd, but they've effectively just said we have about 200 vacancies to fill immediately.

Maybe they also know age 67 is coming?
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