Naturally I’m fairly bullish, which I think most pilots have that type of attitude, it’s in our DNA. You have one life, we should at least attempt to make the best of it, hence why we all shied away from the desk jobs.

That being said, I’m not feeling great about this quick recovery into the summer with the vaccine rollout anymore. It seems like everyone outside of aviation has adjusted, and as a country we’re just taking our sweet time on cruise control, well the airlines don’t have time.

I think we’re going to see bankruptcy’s and shakeups. It is what it is.

https://www.bostonherald.com/2021/02/13/cohan-massachusetts-coronavirus-vaccination-rollout-is-slow-and-confusing-and-we-deserve-better/

☝️ This type of BS is being washed out by the mainstream media, complaints are going “unnoticed”, which is just classic. With Trump, love or hate him, he was ALWAYS being called out for lack of progress if it existed. Right now under Biden, his failure to get this rollout moving faster is not being published by the media as aggressively, and that’s a sin because every single day matters, literally.

Yea, I don't know how its going to shake out over the next 6 months. I'm hoping it returns to something resembling 2019 summer. But I'm planning for the worst, hoping for the best. Amazing how many people are still afraid to leave their home over this thing.

The vaccine rollout started slow but it’s accelerating and on track to make a substantial difference within a few months at most.

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/d...A&region=World

the subset of the population that commonly dies from covid is pretty small, maybe 50 million people in the US. Get them vaccinated and hospitals and funeral homes will quit being overrun.

The lag from people stop dying to people start flying? IDK. But the dying will largely be done soon

Someone dropped a 9.5 hour 4 day into open time during SAP this month, and yet the company keeps insisting that SAP is the problem and a depressing amount of pilots agree with them.

When surveyed the vast majority of the pilot group said they use SAP to drop low credit for high credit. So more efficient higher credit trips would lead to less need for SAP.

As for Covid the key is the vaccines are here and actually being distributed, and infections are down across the board. On top of that the low cost carriers are taking aircraft orders and hiring for growth. If the legacies are unable to adapt to the new environment of reduced business travel then it looks like the LCC's are ready to fill the void.

PSA will not see efficient pairings until they better pairings from the mothership and/or have an incentive to build more efficient pairings (trip and duty rigs)......

9.5hour 4 day?!?!?

Gotta love that min day language in the contract that let's it not apply on the first and last day.

If we want efficient trips we need trip and duty rigs. If we can make 4 days credit a minimum of 20 hours, then suddenly that 9.5 hour 4 day means that the company would be paying a pilot 10.5 hours to chill in the hotel. I'd bet you anything that that'd last for about a month before the company suddenly realizes efficient trips sound like a great idea.

Your statement is incorrect.

Here's the ACTUAL forecast, quoted from their own website today, February 16th:

• IATA’s baseline forecast for 2021 is for a 50.4% improvement on 2020 demand that would bring the industry to 50.6% of 2019 levels. While this view remains unchanged, there is a severe downside risk if more severe travel restrictions in response to new variants persist. Should such a scenario materialize, demand improvement could be limited to just 13% over 2020 levels, leaving the industry at 38% of 2019 levels.

Hold up, are you challenging Chris Ree Drules?

GTFO here with your facts. My cuzzin's sister's brother in law's grandmother's second child's nephew heard from a ramper's wife's stepsister's cousin that's an FA at Delta that SAP is undoubtedly 100% all of PSA's problems