Coronavirus Plans
03-01-2020, 12:23 PM
#11
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Feb 2016
Posts: 1,237
Originally Posted by Excargodog
Only one out of every 1,000 people in Hubei Province has contracted the coronavirus.There have been 66,337 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in China's Hubei Province, where the outbreak began in December. That sounds like a lot, but keep in mind that the population of Hubei is 59,170,000.The province is slightly smaller than Nebraska, but with thirty times as many inhabitants. With this sort of population density, it's a positive sign that just .11% (roughly 1 in 1000) of the population has caught COVID-19. Even if there were 53,000 unreported cases, that would mean only one out of every 500 people in Hubei caught the virus. Given the population density in most other countries is significantly lower than in China, we can expect that the coronavirus will have a much harder time spreading in much of the world.
in the us good luck keeping people at home when they need a Starbucks
03-02-2020, 06:40 AM
#14
Perennial Reserve
Joined APC: Jan 2018
Posts: 11,499
As Testing Quickly Ramps Up, Expect More U.S. Coronavirus Cases
March 1, 20202:48 PM ETNELL GREENFIELDBOYCE
Enlarge this imageAn ambulance worker adjusts her protective mask as she wheels a stretcher into a nursing facility in Kirkland, Wash., on Saturday where more than 50 people were found to be sick and are being tested for COVID-19 virus.
Elaine Thompson/APUpdated at 10:21 p.m ET
As labs across the United States quickly ramp up their ability to test for the novel coronavirus, public health officials are anxiously awaiting results that could start to reveal its secret movements around the country.
New cases of the coronavirus were identified in at least four states on Sunday: New York, Rhode Island, California and Washington.
"We now have 75,000 tests available out there in the United States, and over the next week that will expand radically," said Alex Azar, Secretary of Health and Human Services, on ABC's This Week.
"Right now, it's important that we test people who have any type of respiratory illness — respiratory symptoms--that is unidentified," Azar said.
He said more than 3,600 people have been tested so far nationwide. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, which provides testing and also confirms positive test results from state labs, says it has run fewer than 500 tests.
https://www.npr.org/2020/03/01/81095...onavirus-cases
What we are likely to find is that this cat is very much out of the bag already and the vast majority of those with it:
1. Don’t even know they have it.
2. Think it’s just a cold.
3. Are going to get over it pretty much on their own.
People with serious preexisting diseases who get it may be in a world of hurt, just like they are if they get seasonal flu.
03-02-2020, 07:00 AM
#15
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jul 2018
Posts: 449
The good news is that at this point while the mortality rate is relatively high in confirmed cases (compared to the Flu), we're only really testing people who are getting severely ill needing hospitalization. While most people who get infected are either asymptomatic or experiencing minor symptoms so they're not being tested, and likely are assuming they have a basic cold or the flu then proceed to recover at home just fine.
The result of this is that while yes we definitely should expect confirmed cases to increase rapidly as testing ramps up, realistically we should see the rate of severity and mortality decrease as more mild cases are added to the statistics.
If you are looking for something proactive you could do help your personal health I'd recommend making sure you have gotten your Flu shot this year as we're still in the middle of a very rough Flu season. It won't help with Covid-19, but it will make one less thing you need to worry about.
The result of this is that while yes we definitely should expect confirmed cases to increase rapidly as testing ramps up, realistically we should see the rate of severity and mortality decrease as more mild cases are added to the statistics.
If you are looking for something proactive you could do help your personal health I'd recommend making sure you have gotten your Flu shot this year as we're still in the middle of a very rough Flu season. It won't help with Covid-19, but it will make one less thing you need to worry about.
03-02-2020, 07:10 AM
#17
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2019
Posts: 377
Originally Posted by Approach1260
If you are looking for something proactive you could do help your personal health I'd recommend making sure you have gotten your Flu shot this year as we're still in the middle of a very rough Flu season.
03-02-2020, 10:11 AM
#19
Perennial Reserve
Joined APC: Jan 2018
Posts: 11,499
Originally Posted by hydrostream
Successful containment kept most of those from being a bigger deal.
Nonsense. The inherent nature of the viruses was far more limiting than anything human beings did. Most of those have host animals and some have insect vectors. Where the environment is right, they cross over. Where it isn’t, they die out. Very few of those have a lifecycle that is dependent on human to human transmission.
Last edited by Excargodog; 03-02-2020 at 10:30 AM.
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