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Old 01-30-2021 | 06:54 AM
  #311  
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Originally Posted by furloughfuntime
Did you read the article? Biden halted new leases on federal lands and announced his intention to buy electric vehicles. How is that a "slash and burn approach" or "meddling in major economic sectors"? I am trying to understand. The very fact that oil companies are allowed to lease federal lands shows that the federal government is not trying to destroy the industry. Would it also be meddling if the government bought cars with internal combustion engines? I don't see how this is slash and burn, but I guess we may have different definitions.

As far as the threat to pilot's jobs, that's just more fear-mongering. Nothing Biden has suggested could lead a reasonable person to believe that.

Creative destruction is part of technological change and innovation, and it's necessary. If you want them to "build the new system" so people can transition, that's exactly what these subsidies are for. Help a burgeoning industry gain its footing while we move to a more sustainable model.
Carter banned the recycling of nuclear fuel rods. Regan reversed it. To this day, there is no infastructure to recycle the rods. Once government bans something private industry stops investing in it because the risk of a future ban is too great.

Is it rediculous that over 40 years later we still just store the old rods in a containment pool instead of recycling them? Yes it is, but it is nonetheless true. Government regulation has an extremely long lasting chilling effect.
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Old 01-30-2021 | 07:03 AM
  #312  
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Originally Posted by tallpilot
Carter banned the recycling of nuclear fuel rods. Regan reversed it. To this day, there is no infastructure to recycle the rods. Once government bans something private industry stops investing in it because the risk of a future ban is too great.

Is it rediculous that over 40 years later we still just store the old rods in a containment pool instead of recycling them? Yes it is, but it is nonetheless true. Government regulation has an extremely long lasting chilling effect.
Uh huh...so was private industry was scared to brew beer after prohibition bc it might get banned again? Private industry won't do things that don't make money, if it's cheaper for them to throw them out, that's what they do unless told otherwise. Most of the time anyway.
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Old 01-30-2021 | 07:16 AM
  #313  
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Originally Posted by Hedley
If you are talking about the United LOA, it doesn’t terminate this summer unless demand is back and the pilots are needed, otherwise we have it until 10/22.
I thought the no furlough portion expires in June
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Old 01-30-2021 | 07:43 AM
  #314  
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Originally Posted by flynd94
Nothing burger. The Cares2 money expired 3/31. All these people were told they would be furloughed again when the money expired. The true test will be this summer when the LOA for pilot furloughs expires.
A nothing burger? Hardly that. It isn’t just the pilots who admittedly it’s often cheaper to keep around and keep current than to incur training costs, it’s the whole business. International flying is in the cr@pper and UA is affected by that as much as anyone. That ripples down. Do you seriously think that UA isn’t being hurt by having billions of dollars worth of wide bodies parked in the desert? Have you ever run a business? I mean even a lemonade stand? Because you clearly don’t understand the effect of that. Most of the big capital expenditures UA makes are financed through bond sales. A bond sale is essentially renting money. The last bond sale UA did they were expecting to pay 11% per year to rent that money:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...lion-junk-bond

and they couldn’t get enough takers to make it work:

https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/united-a...ints-1.1433725

the problem is they have a LOT of bonds maturing from previous years - bonds they sold at 3.5-4%. They don’t have the money to pay off those bonds, they’ll have to refinance them. So their debt service will climb substantially, those parked 787s costing them more and more until international flying resumes.

Even if they don’t furlough a single pilot you better believe it affects UAEX, and the career prospects for every UAEX employee.
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Old 01-30-2021 | 07:53 AM
  #315  
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Originally Posted by GA2Jets
Uh huh...so was private industry was scared to brew beer after prohibition bc it might get banned again? Private industry won't do things that don't make money, if it's cheaper for them to throw them out, that's what they do unless told otherwise. Most of the time anyway.
The comparison is terrible. Prohibition put a lot of legit business out of business but there were a lot of people making a lot of money brewing beer during prohibition. Repealing prohibition just made it legal again. No one was making money recycling nuclear fuel rods during the Carter ban.
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Old 01-30-2021 | 08:31 AM
  #316  
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Originally Posted by tallpilot
store the old rods in a containment pool instead of recycling them? Yes it is, but it is nonetheless true. Government regulation has an extremely long lasting chilling effect.
I get your point re. regulation.

But for clarity, recycling spent fuel doesn't eliminate the need to store spent fuel... the hot isotopes are still hot and still need to be stored. Recycling separates the very hot stuff (which needs very long-term stoarge) from not-so hot stuff which will decay sooner, and also separates out unburned fuel and which can be repackaged in new fuel and isotopes which can be used in medicine and industry (mostly for imaging).

Elements cannot be destroyed or modified (outside of a reactor core), they can only be chemically or physically separated from each other. If it has a long half-life, you're stuck with it.
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Old 01-30-2021 | 09:00 AM
  #317  
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Originally Posted by Hedley
If you are talking about the United LOA, it doesn’t terminate this summer unless demand is back and the pilots are needed, otherwise we have it until 10/22.

I meant the protections for us bottom dwellers on the list
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Old 01-30-2021 | 09:04 AM
  #318  
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Originally Posted by Excargodog
A nothing burger? Hardly that. It isn’t just the pilots who admittedly it’s often cheaper to keep around and keep current than to incur training costs, it’s the whole business. International flying is in the cr@pper and UA is affected by that as much as anyone. That ripples down. Do you seriously think that UA isn’t being hurt by having billions of dollars worth of wide bodies parked in the desert? Have you ever run a business? I mean even a lemonade stand? Because you clearly don’t understand the effect of that. Most of the big capital expenditures UA makes are financed through bond sales. A bond sale is essentially renting money. The last bond sale UA did they were expecting to pay 11% per year to rent that money:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...lion-junk-bond

and they couldn’t get enough takers to make it work:

https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/united-a...ints-1.1433725

the problem is they have a LOT of bonds maturing from previous years - bonds they sold at 3.5-4%. They don’t have the money to pay off those bonds, they’ll have to refinance them. So their debt service will climb substantially, those parked 787s costing them more and more until international flying resumes.

Even if they don’t furlough a single pilot you better believe it affects UAEX, and the career prospects for every UAEX employee.

It was a nothing burger as far a news. Everyone was told it was a temporary recall and when the money ran out they would be furloughed.

Next never assume anything. I don’t need to throw my educational background and previous career experience around like you do. Besides what do you know about aviation. Weren’t you just a regional pilot and a back seater. Not even a real pilot 🤣
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Old 01-30-2021 | 10:05 AM
  #319  
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Originally Posted by flynd94
It was a nothing burger as far a news. Everyone was told it was a temporary recall and when the money ran out they would be furloughed.

Ah, but the thread title is ‘the future of United Express.’ Do you assume the economic health of UA is irrelevant to that? The pilots eventually are all going to find jobs, but how quickly they do that and where they find jobs and how viable things like Aviate are is strongly dependent upon the business success of UA.

Do you truly believe that UA having a loss of $7.1 Billion, a loss only exceeded by them back in 2005 when they went into bankruptcy is “a nothing burger”? That it won’t affect UA and all of UAEX?

More fool you then.
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Old 01-30-2021 | 01:11 PM
  #320  
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Originally Posted by Gone Flying
I thought the no furlough portion expires in June
According to the LOA, United can furlough around 2,000 in June only if they sign up for all federal money (grants and loans). If they don’t, they can’t furlough until December. With the exception of putting seats back in the 175’s, the only triggers that could terminate the agreement this year would be profitability or recovery, both of which would make a furlough very unlikely. We just ran a big vacancy bid to get most people back into their previous seats and the company has said that they have no plans to furlough pilots.
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