Regional collapse
#31
Line Holder
Joined: Jun 2014
Posts: 277
Likes: 31
I agree with the lack of CA comments. It also points to lack of check airmen. Look how long new FOs are sitting waiting on OE. Some regionals are in the 5-8 week wait time. So it's not necessarily a hiring problem, it's a CA/CKA issue.
These are just my thoughts and I have 0 knowledge of the backdoor deals mainline carriers have with their respective regional carriers: Regionals can only pay so much before they get too expensive for their codeshare partners. Start throwing in company contributed 401k and some other benefits like soft pay items or higher credit trips for a better QOL and you might, might, see some retention. This may not even be possible since it's still a cost to the company, but just something rolling around in my head. But I truly believe bonuses are not where it's at.
These are just my thoughts and I have 0 knowledge of the backdoor deals mainline carriers have with their respective regional carriers: Regionals can only pay so much before they get too expensive for their codeshare partners. Start throwing in company contributed 401k and some other benefits like soft pay items or higher credit trips for a better QOL and you might, might, see some retention. This may not even be possible since it's still a cost to the company, but just something rolling around in my head. But I truly believe bonuses are not where it's at.
#32
Banned
Joined: Jun 2021
Posts: 794
Likes: 0
Bonuses are a strategic method used by Airlines to bend their pilots over so they don’t actually have to pay them what they deserve as a GROUP (increased pay rates).
First, they can pull the plug on any bonus payout the second we have a Recession that creates a short term pilot surplus as we saw with Covid.
Second, they can target their specific needs without having to compensate the entire pilot group. Example: 40k bonus for New hires (dumpster fire regionals who can’t convince CFI’s to join their crappy airline), or 40k+ bonus to upgrade (SkyWest, Endeavor, Envoy, PSA, etc) so they can attempt to keep left seat retention at ease without actually having to increase wages for Captains.
We don’t have a “pilot shortage” we have a “profit shortage” specifically at the regionals in the left seat. A regional 15 year Captain makes less than a second year FO at most ULCC’s.
I cannot stand John Oliver, but this segment on “Trucker shortage” felt awfully familiar. I highly recommend you take the time to watch this. You’ll notice a lot similarities….
https://youtu.be/phieTCxQRLA
First, they can pull the plug on any bonus payout the second we have a Recession that creates a short term pilot surplus as we saw with Covid.
Second, they can target their specific needs without having to compensate the entire pilot group. Example: 40k bonus for New hires (dumpster fire regionals who can’t convince CFI’s to join their crappy airline), or 40k+ bonus to upgrade (SkyWest, Endeavor, Envoy, PSA, etc) so they can attempt to keep left seat retention at ease without actually having to increase wages for Captains.
We don’t have a “pilot shortage” we have a “profit shortage” specifically at the regionals in the left seat. A regional 15 year Captain makes less than a second year FO at most ULCC’s.
I cannot stand John Oliver, but this segment on “Trucker shortage” felt awfully familiar. I highly recommend you take the time to watch this. You’ll notice a lot similarities….
https://youtu.be/phieTCxQRLA
Last edited by KirillTheThrill; 04-04-2022 at 02:00 PM.
#33
Line Holder
Joined: Dec 2021
Posts: 47
Likes: 0
#34
New Hire
Joined: Jan 2022
Posts: 9
Likes: 0
I don’t think raising rates will solve the issue in this current hiring market. Even if a first year captain was making $130/hour many would still leave for a major. The stability and longevity of the majors isn’t something a regional airline can compete with. There would be an increase in retention as people would be less likely to go to an LCC but I don’t think it would be enough to solve the issue.
Honestly, I’m not sure how a regional airline could keep their captains when the majors are willing to take them with only 100 TPIC.
Honestly, I’m not sure how a regional airline could keep their captains when the majors are willing to take them with only 100 TPIC.
#35
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Sep 2019
Posts: 1,538
Likes: 0
#37
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 3,201
Likes: 32
From: 4A2FU
A friend of mine just interviewed at United. Mid 30s, white male, wife, kids, SIC time at a regional and nothing else. No training department experience, no masters degree, no volunteer work, no job fairs, no other extra curricular activities.
#38
Line Holder
Joined: Jun 2017
Posts: 991
Likes: 9
stop it. That goes against the narrative.
#39
Line Holder
Joined: Jan 2022
Posts: 248
Likes: 0
If the regionals didn't sink to the current hiring qualifications that they are showing now, at least one would have collapsed already. People are getting hired that are of absolutely terrible quality and should never be airline pilots in the first place, so that is helping things limp along a bit longer than they really should.
Even with this, and the E3's, we should have at least one collapse by the end of the year. I am guessing consolidation is the key going forward at the regional levels.
For the legacy carriers, watch code share agreements replace the regionals. AA is the first to really test this with the agreement with JetBlue. JetBlue is becoming the ULCC regional for AA. As it grows, JetBlue will take over the regional type flying with airbuses and AA mainline will do the mainline flying.
Even with this, and the E3's, we should have at least one collapse by the end of the year. I am guessing consolidation is the key going forward at the regional levels.
For the legacy carriers, watch code share agreements replace the regionals. AA is the first to really test this with the agreement with JetBlue. JetBlue is becoming the ULCC regional for AA. As it grows, JetBlue will take over the regional type flying with airbuses and AA mainline will do the mainline flying.
JetBlue could have been a real contender in the industry, but sank to the bottom with this Spirit purchase offer.
#40
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Dec 2020
Posts: 279
Likes: 0
If you can get a call with just SIC time, no degree, no recs, no flow and nothing else to stand you out then more power to you. Just saying it's incredibly unlikely still when they have plenty of other applicants in the system who hold all plenty of qualifications to interview first.
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