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50 seat RJ gones by 2013. Whats to come of this?

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50 seat RJ gones by 2013. Whats to come of this?

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Old 05-24-2008 | 09:56 PM
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Originally Posted by sargeanb
I wonder what fuel prices embraer used when they came up with this: http://www.embraercommercialjets.com...tela=economics

I think it's a bit flawed. Im flying mostly E135's out of CVG, which I know will be gone by the end of the year. And at least for our company, we're supposed to be getting rid of all the 50 seaters in 5 or 6 years, as per mainline's wishes. The lower frequency of flights accompanying the use of the 70+seaters will mean less pilots will be needed, so the belt tightening will continue...

I want to know what idiot thinks there is even a break even mark for an airplane. I know at ExpressJet our break even for charter is 1 seat sold!! And we are making a good profit on that!

In all reality the break even point for an airplane depends on the market it is flying in. As well as if there is another airplane of the same size that burns less gas or a larger one that burns the same. Otherwise, until you invent a more efficient 50-seater, there is no price a gas that will prevent it from making money.
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Old 05-25-2008 | 05:53 AM
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Maybe the Boyd Aviation consulting business will be gone by 2013.

Airplanes don't grow on trees, Mr. Boyd,

The RJs are here to stay until the industry can sustain a changeover.

That changeover requires surplus cash.

Who has any today????
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Old 05-25-2008 | 07:35 AM
  #53  
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Originally Posted by TonyWilliams
I wonder why we never hear from the major / legacy pilot groups clamoring to do ALL their company flying ?

If company XXX has a need for a 19 / 30 / 50 / 70 / 76 seat aircraft on any route, why doesn't that pilot group demand that it be done by company pilots in company planes ?

Why is there a floating (and arbitrary) line of how many seats to be flown by company pilots ?
I have a feeling it has a lot to do with the wang! Small plane, small wang? The major guys often look down on the guys flying smaller aircraft. Back in the day you didn't always fly the little plane to get to the big one and for some reason the pilots that got to the big one first thought less of the small plane pilot. They would not want to bruise thier egos by having to fly a little airplane.
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Old 05-25-2008 | 07:39 AM
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Originally Posted by B727DRVR
At least that military vs. civilian v. military attitude seems to have died out.
This is only because there are more former RJ pilots at the majors now. And one of them has shown a carrier pilot how to land an airplane full of paying passengers with out dislodging thier teeth.
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Old 05-25-2008 | 03:00 PM
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Originally Posted by STILL GROUNDED
And one of them has shown a carrier pilot how to land an airplane full of paying passengers with out dislodging thier teeth.
Amazing.........a mil guy can be taught something.
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Old 05-25-2008 | 03:14 PM
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Originally Posted by blastoff
Since much of the airline pilot profession, especially Legacies, is dominated by ex-military guys, some would consider it sacrilege to force a new-hire to go from F-15 to a Beech 1900.
OK, how did the mil guys affect the legacys? The number of mil guys will continue to decrease as the mil gets smaller and they will be replaced by civilian.

In "The Airline Pilots" by Hopkins, the early days, 1930's or so, are discussed about the lack of mil guys. Mil avaition was small for many years. Have the majors changed because of the mil guys? WWII and Viet Nam pushed huge numbers of mil to the airlines but what is the affect?

I understand the part about some of the mil egos. A few times I was amazed the plane could fly with with the huge ego "load" of my copilot.

Should the 121 world be all civilain? Not looking for flame but trying to see where this is going.

No, I will not be upset to be FO to my much younger CA. I am lucky to find a job.
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Old 05-25-2008 | 03:22 PM
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At the NWA/DAL joint merger presentation, the NWA rep stated that they are looking for 100 seat jets that are fuel efficient to replace DC9s and MD80s, but that they are not available at a reasonable price at the moment. Until then, I think the RJs will be flying but it looks like 50 seat RJs will be phased out in numbers over the next few years. 76 seat RJs will continue on until they are replaced with 100 seat jets. The 100 seat jets will be flown by mainline pilots unless mainline pilots give up on the current scope clause. NWA alone has 8 regionals flying their routes and that's way too many. Looks like the new DAL will try to consolidate and narrow down regionals flying for them.
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Old 05-25-2008 | 04:45 PM
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So is there going to be jobs?
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Old 05-25-2008 | 08:43 PM
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Originally Posted by SmoothOnTop
,

The RJs are here to stay until the industry can sustain a changeover.

They are not here to stay. When it is cheaper to park them than it is to fly them they will go away. That day is coming soon.
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Old 05-26-2008 | 01:55 PM
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Originally Posted by tprangner
So is there going to be jobs?
You mean at the majors or at the regionals? I believe there will be jobs at the majors. Whether they will be quality jobs with decent pay, I don't know. I hope so. At regionals, I believe there will continue to be needs for experienced pilots.
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